Company Valuation: Henderson Land Development Company Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 160,734 131,928 116,435 114,257 136,237 164,220 - -
Change - -17.92% -11.74% -1.87% 19.24% 20.54% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 249,526 208,160 186,647 178,574 192,913 218,174 213,516 191,027
Change - -16.58% -10.33% -4.33% 8.03% 13.09% -2.14% -10.53%
P/E ratio 12.2x 14.3x 12.6x 18.2x 24.7x 21.2x 17x 12.9x
PBR 0.48x 0.4x 0.36x 0.35x 0.42x 0.5x 0.49x 0.48x
PEG - -0.5x - -0.6x -2x 0.5x 0.7x 0.4x
Capitalization / Revenue 6.83x 5.16x 4.22x 4.52x 5.29x 5.77x 5.56x 5.31x
EV / Revenue 10.6x 8.15x 6.77x 7.07x 7.49x 7.67x 7.23x 6.18x
EV / EBITDA 20x 26.9x 22.1x 19.8x 31.9x 24.1x 21.1x 16.8x
EV / EBIT 20.8x 28.9x 23.6x 20.9x 34.6x 26.5x 23.1x 18.4x
EV / FCF -4.61x 26.2x 18.9x 14.3x - -30.5x -30.8x -32.7x
FCF Yield -21.7% 3.82% 5.3% 6.99% - -3.28% -3.25% -3.05%
Dividend per Share 2 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.26 1.263 1.265 1.269
Rate of return 5.42% 6.61% 7.48% 7.63% 4.48% 3.72% 3.73% 3.74%
EPS 2 2.73 1.91 1.91 1.3 1.14 1.602 1.991 2.635
Distribution rate 65.9% 94.2% 94.2% 138% 111% 78.8% 63.5% 48.1%
Net sales 1 23,527 25,551 27,570 25,256 25,741 28,459 29,533 30,905
EBITDA 1 12,495 7,747 8,446 9,024 6,044 9,045 10,129 11,392
EBIT 1 11,990 7,207 7,907 8,533 5,575 8,240 9,233 10,381
Net income 1 13,195 9,239 9,261 6,296 5,653 7,596 9,561 11,400
Net Debt 1 88,792 76,232 70,212 64,317 56,676 53,954 49,296 26,807
Reference price 2 33.20 27.25 24.05 23.60 28.14 33.92 33.92 33.92
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,841,387 4,841,387 4,841,387 4,841,387 4,841,387 4,841,387 - -
Announcement Date 22/03/22 21/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 23/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million2HKD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
21.17x7.67x24.12x3.72% 20.98B
18.11x5.37x14.9x2.76% 52.38B
24.03x4.57x19.19x1.06% 33.72B
9.34x1.55x7.66x3.81% 33.48B
6.19x0.8x1.7x8.09% 29.75B
16.71x3.3x16.3x2.1% 28.74B
20.63x7.76x22.01x0.92% 28.19B
10.51x2.55x8.78x3.54% 22.93B
12.18x1.89x15.92x3.11% 22.26B
13.09x29.88x - 1.98% 21.46B
Average 15.19x 6.53x 14.51x 3.11% 29.39B
Weighted average by Cap. 15.50x 5.88x 14.26x 3.08%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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