Projected Income Statement: Henderson Land Development Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Henderson Land Development Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 90,101 88,792 76,232 70,212 64,317 62,752 53,921 49,286
Change - -1.45% -14.15% -7.9% -8.4% -2.43% -14.07% -8.6%
Announcement Date 23/03/21 22/03/22 21/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 23/03/26 - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Henderson Land Development Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,562 54,850 3,186 4,568 2,815 3,801 5,233 4,161
Change - 2,040.91% -94.19% 43.38% -38.38% 35.04% 37.65% -20.48%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,510 -54,165 7,945 9,892 12,482 -2,616 -7,155 -6,935
Change - -1,301% 114.67% 24.51% 26.18% -120.96% -173.54% 3.07%
Announcement Date 23/03/21 22/03/22 21/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Henderson Land Development Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 50.36% 53.11% 30.32% 30.63% 35.73% 23.48% 31.78% 34.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 48.65% 50.96% 28.21% 28.68% 33.79% 21.66% 28.95% 31.21%
EBT Margin (%) 50.82% 65.36% 42.19% 37.88% 32.62% 25.13% 31.57% 34.11%
Net margin (%) 40.74% 56.08% 36.16% 33.59% 24.93% 21.96% 26.69% 32.38%
FCF margin (%) 18.03% -230.22% 31.09% 35.88% 49.42% -9.77% -25.14% -23.48%
FCF / Net Income (%) 44.25% -410.5% 85.99% 106.81% 198.25% -34.42% -94.19% -72.53%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.22% 2.61% 1.71% 1.73% 1.17% 1.35% 1.3% 1.66%
ROE 3.14% 3.98% 2.79% 2.83% 1.94% 2.29% 2.32% 2.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 7.15x 7.11x 9.84x 8.31x 7.13x 7.72x 5.96x 4.87x
Debt / Free cash flow 19.98x -1.64x 9.59x 7.1x 5.15x -23.99x -7.54x -7.11x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.24% 233.14% 12.47% 16.57% 11.15% 14.2% 18.39% 14.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.33% 438.98% 41.13% 54.08% 31.19% 46.77% 57.85% 41.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 56.81% -101.26% 40.1% 46.18% 22.55% -145.33% -73.14% -60%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.461 0.1415 2.299 2.987 3.16 0.1494 0.0494 0.3659
Change - -90.31% 1,524.73% 29.93% 5.79% -95.27% -66.93% 640.63%
Dividend per Share 1 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.762 1.263 1.265
Change - 0% 0% 0% 0% -2.08% -28.36% 0.14%
Book Value Per Share 1 67.67 69.2 67.74 67.45 66.55 66.55 67.64 68.91
Change - 2.26% -2.12% -0.43% -1.34% 0% 1.64% 1.88%
EPS 1 2.11 2.73 1.91 1.91 1.3 1.14 1.602 1.991
Change - 29.38% -30.04% 0% -31.94% -12.31% 1.41% 24.27%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,841,387 4,841,387 4,841,387 4,841,387 4,841,387 4,841,387 4,841,387 4,841,387
Announcement Date 23/03/21 22/03/22 21/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 23/03/26 - -
1HKD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 24.7x 19.2x
PBR 0.46x 0.45x
EV / Sales 5.29x 7.12x
Yield 5.73% 4.11%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
30.74HKD
Average target price
33.23HKD
Spread / Average Target
+8.11%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 12 Stock
  4. Financials Henderson Land Development Company Limited