Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

I would just kick off, but do feel free to bring a coffee in as you sit down. And let me just start by saying a massive welcome to you for being here, our first Capital Markets Day in 6 years. We all know how busy agendas are and to give us this time is really appreciated.

For those of you that don't know me, my name is Dalton Philips. I'm the CEO. I joined Greencore in 2022. And my background is almost exclusively in food. And in fact, I was CEO of Morrison some years ago. So I got to see firsthand Greencore up close. Let me just point to the agenda there that we've got up on the screen.

Look, the first part of this morning is all around the core business, and we see real opportunities to materially improve the business beyond the core. So we're going to spend the first part of this morning on Greencore today, where we're at and the opportunities to grow. Then we're going to have a Q&A session. And then post that, we're going to get you on your feet, and we've got a series of different workshops, 4 workshops that we'll be taking you around, then we'll have more time for Q&A. We'll come back here then for a session before lunch, where we'll talk sustainability, we'll talk growth and expansion, and then Catherine will give you some thoughts on the financial trajectory of the business.

In total, we've got about 30 of our senior leadership team here today. So there'll be loads of opportunity to interact with them, grab them, ask them your questions. And of course, as I said, we'll have opportunity for sort of main plenary questions. Then we'll break for lunch. I hope that as many of you can stay for lunch as possible. We have a number of our chefs here and trust me, you won't be sure of eating your fill. There's some fantastic food and everything you're eating today is, of course, made by Greencore.

So look, let me pause there, and I'm going to hand you over to our Chairman, Leslie, who might just say a few words to kick the session of today. And if you're at the back and you want to see, just squeeze in, there's lots of seats still here, okay?

Leslie de Walle   Independent Non-Executive Chairman

Thank you, Dalton. So as Dalton said, I'm Leslie Van de Walle, I'm the Chairman of the Board of Greencore. Like Dalton, I joined at the end of 2022. And at that time, shareholders were asking me all the same question, why did you join Greencore? And my answer were honest and truthful, which was, number one, food manufacturing has always been my love and I love this industry. And therefore, it was a great opportunity for me to come to my first love.

The second reason is I've known Greencore for a long time as competitor, as a peer, as a customer sometimes and I've always thought this was a great company. But in 2022, when I joined with Dalton, it was clear that the company had lost its way, had made with hindsight some mistakes during the pandemic, but also it was very clear to me and Dalton that there was a clear path to going back to our previous profitability, the famous 106.

Now obviously, 2 years later, we're very much on our way to doing that, and shareholders are asking me another question. They're saying the share price has tripled. So should I stay invested? My answer is very clear also. I think there are 3 reasons why investors should remain invested in the company. One, we're not finished with the job. There's still a lot of opportunities to improve the business in terms of operations, where on the Lee and Steve, you will see there is much more to come.

Also, as we improve our system, which are very outdated, we'll be able to find new efficiencies and cost opportunities. And thirdly, as we've now pruned our portfolio and shared the loss-making businesses, Andy and his team will be able to focus on growth, and you will see that there is growth with our existing customers, through our innovation skills, new channels, but also our excellent service levels, so lots of opportunities organically.

Also, as we become the best operator in food manufacturing in the U.K., we'll become the natural owners for many, many businesses in the U.K. for sure and perhaps internationally. And therefore, with our strengthened balance sheet, a great customer service and experience, we will be able within obviously a very disciplined financial to be able to make M&As and create values by being the natural owners and best owners of many businesses in the U.K. and internationally.

So why should we be invested? This is only the beginning in my view of Greencore's success stories. And hopefully, at the end of the day, when you see all the presentation, you will share my confidence and optimism about the company.

Thank you again for attending. It's great to see so many people interested in our story, and I'll hand over to Dalton.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Thank you, Leslie. So let's get into it. And look, there are 4 objectives today. Number one, to showcase the strength and depth of our management team. And as I said, you'll meet over 30 of them today. The second is to bring to life the opportunity to strengthen the core business. If you've been following us for a while, we call Horizon 2 and to take us beyond historic levels of profitability. The third is to share our thinking on the opportunities to grow beyond the core, Horizon 3, and then fourthly, to set up the medium-term financial targets.

So let's get into it, and I'll start by going back to 2022, when I joined the business, and several things struck me when I joined. The first was, I could see there was really good people. The second that we make really good products, and I obviously knew that from my time at Morrison. And then the third was the deep customer relationships that we have. And in many cases, the customers see us as an extension of their business.

That being said, the business was in a really difficult place. It was post-COVID and it was facing a mountain of inflation. There was massive P&L pressure. And you might remember, that year, we made -- well, in 2021, we made GBP 39 million.

There was huge integration pains going on across the business as we were moving from a business unit structure, 5 business units to 1 functional structure. We were lacking operating discipline, the operating disciplines that I would have expected in a business of this scale, and there was underinvestment in the infrastructure and tasks were and to many cases, still are being done on paper. In fact, one of our largest sites was operating Lotus Notes and floppy disks back in 2022.

And then finally, there was real ambiguity about where the business was heading. So we set out a plan. We called it the Horizon strategy. There are 3 parts to that: the first was Horizon 1, stabilize the business; Horizon 2 was start rebuilding profitability and returns, and this was the famous GBP 106 million that Leslie referenced; and then the third Horizon was to explore new growth opportunities. And that brings us to today.

So we achieved Horizon 1 in 2023. And last year, we made real strides towards Horizon 2 by materially increasing both the ROIC and the operating profit and actually other metrics that you can see on the right-hand side of that slide. And we started to build the foundation towards Horizon 3.

And so today, I see a very different Greencore. We still have good people. We still make great products. We still have deep customer relationships, but also we're starting to deliver on our financial goals and that functional model is bringing real benefits and one that I hear often from our customers is the single more strategic relationship that we bring to them.

You'll see today the new commercial and operating excellence programs that we have in place, and there's a real rigor and discipline today in how we manage our business. And we began a big investment in our infrastructure, the Making Business Easy program that we started last year, and we're making real progress on our strategic framework and our ambition.

And so I'd like to talk to you about that strategic framework. And when we developed this, we went back to our roots, those of you that have been following us for some years will have heard of the Greencore way. And essentially, we took the best of the Greencore way, and we combined it with our Horizon strategy. And let me orientate you to this page because this is essentially the bedrock of what we're going to be discussing today.

In the top left, you see our purpose. To the right of that, you see our ambition. I'll go through these in a moment. And then the middle part strengthen our core that Horizon 2 and to the right of that grow and expand Horizon 3. And that all sits on the foundation the Greencore way of winning.

So let me talk about our purpose, making everyday taste better. It's really the essence of why we're here, uniting to us as a colleague base of about 14,000 people. And each word has been chosen for a specific reason. So the making is absolutely a call to action. It's the nature of our business. We are manufacturers. We make things. Every day is the everyday nature of the operations. This is a 24/7 business, 365 days of the year. But the everyday also calls to the positive difference we want to bring to everyday lives.

Taste, well, look, I hope you've seen a lot of taste already. I mean taste is about making great food that people absolutely love. And then better is all around the commitment to continuous improvement, never been complacent. And I really don't want to lose the everyday nature of our business. And actually, this slide, I think, is one of the most fun slides that we have in our organization, and it never ceases to impress me the scale and complexity of what we do every day.

So every day, we manage unique customer relation and customer recipes over 3,000 for our customers. Every day, we evaluate new product concepts over 1,000 a year. Every day, we have just-in-time procurement capabilities and over 1,800 separate ingredients deliveries a week from over 250 U.K. and global suppliers. And every day, we do 1,200 product quality checks. That's 9,000 a week. That's nearly 0.5 million a year. We have incredible technical capabilities. And every day, we produce 3.3 million products that are on customer shelves often only hours later. And every day, we do 10,000 convenience store deliveries to every postcode in the U.K. And that means that over 50% of U.K. consumers get to eat Greencore product every month.

And so this slide, the reason why it's such a great slide is it illustrates both the complexity and the seamless integration of our daily operations and that would be incredibly difficult for anybody else to replicate. And what's not on this slide is that every day, we deliver at about 99% service levels into our customer.

So let me go back to this framework and our ambition. Our ambition to be good is only good. It's not good enough. We strive for much, much more. You'll see it from the 30 people you speak to today. We want to lead the way in convenience food. And leading means leading where we play. So we want to be #1 in the categories we play in. And if we're not #1 to be #2. We want to grow. We want to be seen as a company to follow, and we want to be seen as a business that does business the right way.

So let me turn back to the base of the strategic framework. And everything we do and the opportunity that's ahead of us sits on this space, this is the pillars of our organization. And I'll talk you through some of these key pillars. There's 5 of them that we're going to highlight. And you're going to see that throughout this morning's presentations.

The first is lasting partnerships, that's about building deep, enduring partnerships that are focused on the long term. About 50% of our volume is on secure long-term agreements. And we work with all the top U.K. retailers, and we're in constant dialogue with them. And constant dialogue means every single day, we're talking to them.

Great food is about high-quality, tasty, safe, affordable food. You'll have tasted some of that this morning. And we have such broad capabilities where we can make this great food, so sandwiches, sushi, salads, bircher, breakfast parts, pokey bowls, ready meals, ambient source of salads, I could go on. We make so many different products. We have such broad capabilities.

And to do that, to make really great food, you need to have world-class food innovation. You'll meet many of our chefs today. There's over 30 years of Michelin star experience amongst our chef population. And Andy has a team of over 100 people who just focus on food innovation, and that's probably why we're able to win so many awards.

The third pillar is all around delivery excellence. This is about being the most efficient supplier to our customers. There are many parts of this. You'll hear Lee talk about it today. But you'll also hear us talk about technology, which is an absolute enabler to this delivery excellence. And we've had historic underinvestment, so that's why we launched our Making Business Easier transformation program to address the outdated infrastructure we have in the business, to streamline processes and to improve the quality of our data.

The fourth area that underpins our business is sustainable choices, and that is embedding sustainability into the decision-making we make so that what's good for the planet can be good for Greencore. You'll hear Fran talk about this later, but 3 key focus areas: responsible sourcing and human rights in our supply chain; making with care, so we've got net zero operations; and then thirdly, feeding with pride, so that's all around healthy and sustainable diets and sustainable packaging.

And of course, underpinning all of this is people and look, it's a real cliche. Many companies say people are our greatest assets, but they really are our greatest asset. They are the people that make 3.3 million products every day. And after raw materials and packaging, it's our second largest cost base. So hence, our absolute focus on engagement and productivity. And we want a workforce that's empowered, that's ambitious, that's diverse and that's responsible in their work. And the team will talk to you about this today, but you'll hear 4 themes. And you're going to hear it right across the organization, this functional model that is driving significant benefits and much more than we originally anticipated.

You'll hear a lot of talk around retention, this war on talent at all levels and we've improved our voluntary retention by 6%. You'll hear us talk about driving engagement at all levels. Now our engagement is good, it's 81%. That's 2% above the U.K. norm, but we never want to ease up on that. And then finally, enabling technologies. Again, this theme going through today, but enabling technologies in the people space to help us manage our people in a more effective way.

And so those strong foundations, they allow us to strengthen and unlock further value in our core. This is what Leslie was talking about earlier. So let me talk about our core business. And firstly, I'd say our core business operates in attractive and growing markets. Convenience food has real tailwinds. If you think about it, the grocery market is growing at about 3.3%, convenience food is growing at 4% and the food-to-go market is growing at 5.6%. So there are 4 tailwinds.

You'll be familiar with them, but there is momentum in private label in the market. It's growing 70 basis points ahead of branded products in the last 5 years. There's momentum in convenience store growth, 1,100 stores to be opened in the next 5 years, fueling further convenience food demand. There's momentum in premium alternatives.

We talk about premiumization. Premium ready meals, for example, has grown 19% in the last 4 years. And there's momentum in consumers seeking healthier alternatives and nearly half of all consumers say they want healthier products because for a variety of reasons, and that drives premiumization and attracts new customers into our categories. So that's, firstly, there's momentum in the -- there's tailwinds in this market, but the second is and much more important for us is that there's a lot of self-help that we can take control of. And in the last 2 years, we've step changed 3 key areas. We're going to go into this in some detail today.

Now look, there's much more to go after. But on our portfolio management or you might think of it is the category returns lens. We've had a relentless focus on that and ROIC improved by 310 basis points since 2022. Six categories back then had negative ROIC. By the end of this year, none of them will. So you're going to hear about that today.

The second is commercial excellence. So Andy was courageous. He stepped away from a whole series of low-returning contracts. He resigned over GBP 200 million worth of volume. And that freed up 15% of our capacity to sell accretively. And so the team has been building the capabilities to enable us to sell that capacity and to grow profitably. You're going to hear a lot about the insight-driven work that goes on behind the scenes. You're going to hear a lot about the product development engine that the team has built, and you're going to hear a lot about the procurement excellence model that underpins it.

And then if I turn to operating excellence, and Lee has put together such an impressive excellence agenda, delivered over 843 projects last year, many focused on network optimization, standardization, labor and waste. Some of them really big, some of them really small, all of them delivering pound notes into our P&L. And of course, there's a huge opportunity in automation.

Some of our sites and many of you have been in them are heavily automated, but others are incredibly manual. And there's a real unlock here given that over GBP 300 million a year is spent on direct labor. And then, of course, underpinning all of this is a central cost base, something that Catherine is relentless on. We've done a lot. There's a lot more to do. But I think the bottom line is that through these interventions, we know that there is a significant opportunity to drive the core beyond historic levels of performance.

So let me now talk about the opportunities to grow and expand beyond the core, what we call Horizon 3. And we think about it across 3 axes. So we think about channel, category and country and across 2 further dimensions, organic and inorganic. So I talk about organic, there's new channels. So there are people who eat our categories, sandwiches, for example, but we're not serving them.

If you think about the foodservice market or the food-to-go -- sorry, the direct-to-consumer market. So the U.K. food-to-go market is worth GBP 25 billion. So we're looking at those channels where we can leverage our scale. We're also looking at new categories. So the convenience food market is worth about GBP 50 billion, and there are large attractive categories where we don't currently play and we, again, can leverage our customer relationships to expand into these.

And then, of course, there are new countries. So in the medium term, there is the opportunity to take the Greencore way of winning to adjacent countries. And look, an obvious example would be Ireland, given the similar market dynamics. But look, over time, we could see the potential in the EU of leveraging our model in some of the underdeveloped categories and markets there.

And of course, there are inorganic opportunities, and we would do this in a very disciplined way. And we'll talk to you this morning in more detail about how we think about that. But look, essentially, there are 3 lenses. Firstly, evaluating the strategic fit of any target, does that target have structural growth in its category? Can we win in that category? The second is considering the target's impact on our ESG profile. So can we improve it? And then thirdly, the target's impact on our group returns profile. Will it be accretive? So look, for the right opportunity, we're confident in our ability to deliver significant value through the implementation of the Greencore way of winning.

So we'll bring it back to this framework. I really want you today to see the same opportunity that we see in Horizon 2 and 3. There's just an incredible opportunity. And if we look to the financial output of this integrated strategy, as we progress, absent of any material M&A, we'll be targeting the following medium-term targets in our core business.

So ROIC, that's going to take primacy. That's our North Star, and we'll be targeting at least 15%. Revenue growth, we'll be targeting 3% to 5%. But look, we're not going to be slaves to this number. If Andy comes back with a contract that needs -- that we don't want to renew because the commercials aren't there, we're going to let it go. We are not going to be slaves to it. But in general, we'll be targeting 3% to 5%. In operating group profit, we'll be 7% and above. In cash conversion, at least 55% and leverage between 1 and 1.5x, but clearly with some flexibility for the right M&A to increase that, assuming there is a clear line of sight to a fast level of deleveraging.

So let me close by summarizing how we see the thesis of our investment case. Number one, we operate a robust -- we have a robust core business that provides a strong platform for growth. Robust because the convenience food market is growing and it has structural tailwinds, robust because we're in a leading position in some very attractive markets, robust because we have deep long-term and secure partnerships with the top U.K. retailers, robust because we have outstanding food innovation capabilities that drive stickiness and growth and robust because we operate at scale with a level of complexity that would be very hard to replicate.

Secondly, there's significant further upside in our core business, and you're going to hear that this morning in some detail. Thirdly, we've got a strong balance sheet, and we're about to become very cash generative. Fourthly, there are significant opportunities for us to expand beyond the core. And finally, and critically to me is the strong management team who are delivering. We've got a track record of delivery, and you'll meet so many of them today.

So look, in closing, this is a really great business. and we're only just getting going. So with that, let me hand you over to Nigel, and he'll talk to you about what we do to drive returns in our portfolios.

Nigel Smith   Chief Strategy, Planning & Development Officer

Thanks, Dalton, and very good morning to everybody. My name is Nigel Smith, and I lead Strategy for Greencore. I joined the group in 2017, and I've held a variety of roles since then. I joined the executive team in 2021 to lead our then transformation program, Better Greencore. I now have responsibility for corporate strategy, business planning and M&A.

Before I get into the presentation proper, I did just want to amplify something that Dalton touched on in terms of how the group has changed over the last few years. And if I think about my own experience, I'm now entering my eighth year as part of Greencore. And I can say hand on heart that we are in the best shape that certainly I've ever seen us.

We're a team, and I don't just mean the people that you're going to speak to today, I mean the people right across Greencore. We're a team with real ambition, with clarity on where we're going, with proper depth of expertise in what needs to be done to make us a better business. And frankly, it's a team that's now enjoying and starting to reap the benefits of really delivering on what we say we're going to deliver and enjoying that momentum.

So what does that mean in practice? Well, I was going to bring this to life with really 3 topics this morning. The first with some brief backgrounds on the group for those who are newer to Greencore. Secondly, I'll then spend the bulk of the time on our ongoing work to improve returns across our portfolio. And then finally, I'll briefly introduce our Making Business Easier program that you're going to hear about throughout the day.

If I start with the first of those points, I think it's fair to say that most consumers in the U.K. probably wouldn't recognize Greencore by name, but we actually have an enormous relevance to what the U.K. eats, and Dalton touched on this stat a little earlier on, but I think it's worth dwelling on. The net effect of the product categories that we produce in on the left-hand side of this chart, combined with the retail customer set that we serve on the right-hand side of this chart, means that half the U.K. population eats a U.K. -- eats a Greencore product each and every month.

We manufacture about 1.2 billion units across the categories that are listed on this slide, 3,000 SKUs, and we serve each and every major retailer in the country. Our heartland, as many of you will know, is in private label, but we do also have a series of branded co-manufacturing relationships with the kinds of players that you see listed on this slide.

And then supporting these commercial relationships is a really high-quality network of manufacturing and distribution assets as well as nearly 14,000 people up and down the country who keep the group ticking each and every day. We operate 22 different production units across 16 locations in the U.K., and we also have a distribution arm, our direct-to-store network that you'll hear about through the day, operating over 450 vans, making 10,000 deliveries to every post code area in the country.

Andy and Lee will add more color on the commercial and operational footprint, but what I really wanted to do now is to switch gear and to talk a little bit more about the product portfolio that we have, and in particular, how we've been managing each part of our portfolio through the explicit lens of returns on capital.

Those of you who followed Greencore for some time will know that over the last couple of years, we've seen group return on invested capital step forward by over 300 basis points, and this started back in FY '22, when we took the conscious decision to do a more granular type of analysis, the capital that was deployed in each category and the returns that we were getting on that capital category by category.

And what we found was there was really a number of our categories that were generating low or even negative returns. And so off the back of that, we set really clear targets for improvement, we mobilized cross-functional teams and task them with developing and delivering improvement plans.

You see what that has meant in practice on this slide. So on the left-hand side, there's an indication of the returns profile of each category today versus where it stood 2 years ago. And to just help with the definitions here, red was negative returns or effectively loss-making when fully allocated, yellow indicates positive returns but below our threshold of covering our cost of capital and then green is above that cost of capital hurdle rate.

You can see on the slide here that back in FY '22, almost every category was problematic in some way. Whereas now, we've eradicated losses across the portfolio, and you can see that our 4 biggest categories, covering 84% of our revenue, are on track to be above our threshold this year. But we're not done yet. And you can see that there are several areas where returns are not yet where we need them to be. And so in each of those categories, we have clear plans in place for further improvement, and we now performance manage each and every part of the business against the targets that we've set each on a monthly basis.

Just to bring that to life with a couple of examples, one where we've achieved our threshold and one where we're still on the way. In salads back in 2019, we acquired a business called Freshtime, and we put it together with our existing salad plant in Spalding. And within 6 months of making that acquisition, COVID hit us and those businesses were particularly badly bruised both commercially and operationally. Hence, the net negative return.

Over the last couple of years, we have brought the full weight of that Greencore way of winning the Greencore that Dalton referenced earlier on. We've delivered really significant operational efficiency. We've radically simplified the product portfolio and actually exited a business line and prepared vegetables altogether. And we -- as a result of that, we've created capacity for growth in newer, higher-margin formats and relationships. And the net impact of that has been to lift the returns in that part of the business by 10 percentage points, even on lower volumes. And so as we look forward from here, thanks to those operational and commercial excellence programs, we've created between 10% and 20% of our capacity to be able to go and sell, and we've got really clear line of sight of specific opportunities that we want to deploy that capacity against.

If I then talk a little bit about our Yorkshire puddings business. We've gone through a similar improvement process. We've simplified the product portfolio, which has, in turn, enabled us to drive increased margin even on a reduced number of SKUs. We've improved operational efficiency with increased throughput. And we've also used our product innovation muscle to develop and then ultimately win further premium beef dripping the Yorkshire Pudding product with multiple customers.

And so as you can see on the slide, we're still not yet where we want to be in this category, but we've got a really strong plan in place. We're focused on going and selling the capacity that we've created, and we're feeling good about the future.

The final topic that I'll touch on is our Making Business Easier program, our MBE, which you'll hear a lot about through the day. We launched MBE back in 2022 in recognition really the fact that as we've grown up over time, we've never really fully integrated from a process and system and data point of view. And the net impact of that has been quite a disparate landscape of systems and technologies. And we're really clear that addressing that imbalance and that lack of integration is going to really transform the efficiency that we're able to deliver from the business.

You'll see on this page that we've structured it across 3 pillars broadly following 3 steps in the Greencore value chain: the first is around insight to strategy, basically financial forecasting and business planning processes; the second is on concept to launch, which is really all about our product development muscle; and then thirdly, plan to deliver is really about that core operational aspect of making and delivering product to customers every day.

I'm going to briefly introduce the first of those pillars, and then Andy and Lee will pick up that number 2 and 3 a little later on. And so that first insight to strategy pillar is really all about having the right foundations for performance management, financial forecasting and business planning processes. And so it's about reducing all the manual effort that goes in today to getting really decent business performance data and insight to drive decision-making.

Now there's actually 15 different discrete initiatives in this pillar, but I'm just going to bring to life 1 specific example, which is what we call the standard chart of accounts. And so historically, we've actually not had a standardized format for recording management accounts across the group.

We've had different ways of allocating different cost lines in different parts of the business or different methodologies for thinking about allocation of invested capital. And the net impact of that is that in order for us to do the kind of granular returns-based analysis that has driven the impact that I shared a couple of slides ago, it required loads of manual Excel workaround type of activity if we were going to be able to compare apples with apples.

And so that initiative, that standardized chart of accounts initiative is going to eradicate literally hundreds of hours of workaround-type work to make it much more efficient, to get accurate and timely insightful information. So if I just summarize then on the 3 things you've heard from me so far, the first is that we just have phenomenal breadth and quality of commercial and operational presence, and you're going to hear more about that throughout the day.

Secondly, we're really proud of the work that we've done in enhancing our returns across the portfolio, but there's a lot more to do. And as Dalton said, we're really just getting going. And then thirdly, our Making Business Easier program is going to be a huge enabler for us over the next couple of years. And again, you'll hear plenty about that through the day.

I'm now going to hand to Andy, who's going to talk us through the commercial excellence model.

Andy Parton   Chief Commercial Officer

Thank you, Nigel, and good morning. I'm Andy Parton, I'm the Chief Commercial Officer. Just by way of introduction, I've been at Greencore 10 years. I joined from Aldi, where I spent 6 years, prior to that, I was at PepsiCo. So in total, this year, I've been lucky enough to do 25 years in this industry.

I've got extensive experience off the back of that across own label brands and retail. And I'm pleased today to have the chance to introduce our fantastic commercial team at Greencore. So let me start with that, and let me introduce you to the team how we go about business and what we do.

So you've heard that we went from 5 business units to 1 group structure. That meant I had to take 5 separate commercial teams, and turn it into 1. And what we've done is build a very clear model and a very clear structure around that. On the left of this slide, the model and like all good models, the simpler you keep it, the more effective it is. This really encapsulates what my team do, create the right insight to build the right plans, go and sell them and buy what you need to execute those plans.

And I've put in place a commercial structure behind that, that puts in place really clear accountabilities against each one and really great capability. Customers now benefit from that single leader for all parts of their business with Greencore, not 5 separate businesses engaging with them. As you can see on the right-hand side, around that leader, we build cross-functional teams.

Now this is critical in own label. You need those cross-functional engagements. That's how you really understand the breadth of the customer agenda and take advantage of all the opportunities that there are. When you do own label, it's really important to understand our customers' commercial teams are critical, but so are their development teams, so their technical teams, so their supply chain teams.

Just one good example of that. I mentioned technical on the right-hand side. With that embedded and that trusted by our customers, our technical teams will now do training for our customers, for example, on hygiene or forthcoming regulations. I can say genuinely that we've got the best talent in the industry in own label. And as Dalton said, we're engaging every single day with our customers.

So what is it that we do? On the page, my team are all about the 4 following things: how we grow, how we bring the right insight and process, how we develop fantastic food through that culinary excellence and then our procurement model to buy what we need. And it makes a real difference to the P&L. We pull the levers of volume, price, mix and cost.

My team aren't doing 1 of those 4 things. We're not doing the right thing, but it's working. Last year, for example, our like-for-like revenue grew 3.4% and our gross margin improved by 350 basis points. It's a really good indicator that we're doing the right things and that my team are working really well with Lee's team because we're clearly converting that volume if we're driving our gross margin. And it's because of this model, we have something really unique that we bring to our customers.

On the right-hand side, if I just summarize, these things aren't really powerful. As I say, I've been on the retail side of things, this is really not easy to do or replicate 99% service levels, industry-leading technical and safety standards, proprietary products and technical innovation. That nationwide distribution business that I'll talk more about, the insight capabilities that we bring to drive growth. We're compliant with all of our customers' technical requirements in the supply chain, and we do this in a really competitive cost way. And the beauty of all of this is we supply categories that are really attractive to our customers.

Consumers want to buy more of them. You can encourage consumption. It's above average margin for our customers. It turns really quickly, which generates cash. These are hero categories for our customers that are strategically important to them.

Dalton touched on this, but we've got ourselves into a very good position with our customer relationships. Over 70% of our relationships were selling 4 or more of our categories to that customer. We have really good security in terms of length of contract, and we've developed very embedded joint ways of working through partnership models in 75% of our customers. They are really important because it helps us manage our costs.

We've talked about how well we have been in terms of picking the right growth and being disciplined about what we do. Focusing on both top and bottom line, and that's going to be the case. We've talked about the business we've stepped away from, and we put real process discipline behind this. We have hurdle rates for all of our categories and all of our potential new contracts and product development as well. So we know what good growth is.

And we see real opportunities for growth moving forward. And let me explain why. Just to explain this slide and what you see, these are the categories that we serve our 7 largest customers. So categories down the left, customers across the right. This is 80% of our revenue. Two messages to take away from this slide. First of all, you can see that we have a really good balance in our business. We have a broad set of customers, across a broad number of categories. So we're not too reliant on any one combination. But the other message to take from this slide is there's green, but there's white spaces as well.

Selling more of what you already do to existing customers is clearly the most effective way to drive value-accretive growth. In a world that's getting more regulated and challenging, retailers want to double down with a smaller number of key strategic partners such as Greencore. Also, our customers' plans are conducive to growth. It's back to that point I made around these are good categories for our customers.

Just 2 examples, our M&S relationship. We are classed as 1 of only 6 fortress sites. That basically means we're a dedicated supplier with real capability and joint ambition between both parties to do more and fully utilize the capabilities and capacities that we have at Northampton. And M&S are a market leader in food on the move, and they have incredibly exciting plans to do more.

And then Aldi, we have built over the years, a fantastic food-to-go business with Aldi. And as you'll be aware, we've now moved into a new category, which is ready meals. So a great example of filling in those white spaces, and it's going really, really well. We're ahead of expectations. Sales are 14% up on the previous offer, because of the work we've done to improve quality and improve choice, and there is significant opportunity for further growth.

Also on the right-hand side, dayparts and formats, lots more to go for here. Breakfast and hot food, you'll have sampled many of our great products this morning for breakfast. Breakfast has seen a 50% increase in occasions in the last 4 years. And we've been busy getting after that opportunity. We sell GBP 60 million of breakfast products, but a lot more to go for both in terms of our capability and what our customers want to do.

Hot food. Another example, 40% of food on the move is consumed hot. Over the last few months, we've started a new trial with Greggs. Greggs need no introduction, market leader in food on the move, but we are now in their stores with a hot lunch time offer that is going incredibly well, and we'll be rolling out later on in the year. So just to start of a fantastic relationship. We work very closely with people like Shell and BP. Hot food is core to their proposition. And all of our big retail customers want to do more in hot food on the move. So there's many, many exciting plans and projects in the pipeline.

We've talked about direct to store. Let me just bring that to life in terms of what that means for me and my team and how we can use it and sell it. It's a fantastic capability to partner with our manufacturing capability. What is it? We've got a fleet of 400 little vans, and they are perfect for getting into small retail locations. Think petrol stations, coffee shops, small convenience stores. Big HGVs simply can't get into these locations.

We focus on single unit pick rather than delivering big bulky cases, more suitable for supermarkets. That means you can customize the order, that gives you better range choice. It helps availability. It reduces waste. It reduces labor in store for that customer. So you've got this virtuous circle of driving growth in the right way for us and our customer.

In addition to the products we make, because we're already going to the location, we can add other products as well, such as fruit pots. So we're solving problems for our customers. We've moved as well from that being a cost center to its own P&L. We've renegotiated commercial terms, so we get commercial value for this offer, recognizing how important it is. And we are starting to see the benefits of that, as you saw on Nigel's slide.

It drives real growth as well. You'll be aware, as they've moved into convenience this year, they've now got 500 stores under Asda express. Within 12 weeks, we took that on as a direct-to-store contract. We've got over 5% growth with Asda.

Dalton talked about some of the tailwinds. So just to recap on this slide, those 4 things that we see really helping us with growth, the relevance of private label. It resonates with the U.K. consumer. All of our big customers are heavily invested in private label. It really enhances their brand. The convenience expansion, it's really exciting. We've got over 1,100 stores in the pipeline, all with our big customers.

Some of you may recall that our previous expansion of convenience stores was a real kicker for Greencore growth in the 2010s. Well, it's happening again. And we're perfectly positioned to take advantage of this. 40% of what we already do goes through convenience stores, and it brings back into play direct to store. Shopper mobility is back. So 83% of people are now back in the office once a week. That's even higher than it was in 2020.

Premiumization. This is a fantastic trend for us because it's a chance to develop margin-accretive products. What we're illustrating in the middle of that slide is a meal deal example. Now 65% of sandwiches are sold on meal deal. They're very famous that they're so important to the consumer in this country, but gone are the days of just one all-inclusive meal deal.

This example shows you now that there can be 3 tiers to a meal deal: an everyday offer, a premium and even an ultra-premium product offer. And you're going to see this later on from our food teams. But the great opportunity for us in this is it's the sandwich that changes, it's the sandwich that you can develop and premiumize, the snack and the drink stays the same.

And then healthy and sustainable diets, Dalton touched on this. Consumers are looking for healthier options, and we are fantastically placed against this trend. 70% of what we already do are classed as healthy products. If you think about our products just logically, salads, sushi, sandwiches and our production capabilities are perfect for doing more of this. We are experts in assembling fresh, low-processed food that looks and tastes fantastic.

And the value that we add to customers, this point I made around bringing the right insight to the table to put in place the right plans. We invest significantly in all the right data. We spend GBP 3 million to GBP 4 million a year on this, and it delivers real hard benefits.

In the pack on the right-hand side of this are many examples of where we have improved our customers' performance. Very few own label suppliers achieved the engagement model that I talk about, which is that relationship management of an own label supplier married with the activation capability of a brand.

You're going to see a lot from our food teams today. Just to simplify what we mean by food and how we commercialize this. Two big types of food development we do, redevelopment. This is about taking a current product, making it better, selling more. Perfect example. Tesco's finest lasagna. We redeveloped the product, made it better. Sales have gone up 17%. That is Tesco's #1 finest ready meal products, and we're proud to supply it.

And then innovation, bringing new products to market, over 400 last year, adding real value to our business. As I say, over lunch and over a breakout, you're going to meet the team, and you're going to see these examples come to life. And it's that food skill that we've talked about. I am incredibly proud to lead this team and have this capability. We are basically an extension of our customer and this is market-leading capability. As I say, Michelin star restaurant experience. All of our chefs are restaurant trained. Remember, we're in added value food categories, okay? So you need this food expertise, and it drives the rewards and recognitions that we're seeing.

In terms of Making Business Easier, I'm leading concept to launch. As Nigel mentioned, this is how we take ideas all the way through to market. I'd like to say we're good at what we do now and we are, and it's a credit to the team, but this program is going to step change commercial. We're going to have better systems. We're going to have better data. We're going to put in place a system where gone are the disparate systems and processes that my team have to replicate effort in. We're going to have one source of the truth, better real-time data, better decision-making off the back of it. So this is incredibly exciting for the team.

And then finally, in terms of our commercial excellence model, our procurement excellence model. We have scale, which is critically own label. We procure over GBP 1 billion worth of ingredients and packaging and the team have over 80 years' experience. We buy about half of our products in the U.K., about half of it are broad, and we deeply understand our supply chains. We put boots on the ground. We visited 16 countries last year through 46 different visits. And on the right-hand side, you'll see that it works.

The gray line is a benchmark of domestic and international food inflation. Green line is Greencore's. So you can see that we've been buying better than the market, buying well drives competitiveness and enduring margin. And in our deep customer partnerships, it creates benefit for both us and our customers. If we're lowering costs for both parties, we're increasing joint margin. That's what drives these long-lasting mutually beneficial relationships, and that is critical in own label.

Now you're going to hear directly from our customers. As Dalton mentioned, we're in constant dialogue with our customers each and every day. The videos are taken from experts of customer videos from the past 18 months when customers have visited sites and then Dalton has shared that as part of our internal colleague video. You'll hear what they think about Greencore and our partnership.

[Presentation]

Andy Parton   Chief Commercial Officer

So I really hope those videos have bought to life what I've been talking about, and as I say, the opportunity you're going to have today to taste our food as well. So to summarize, hopefully, what you've seen from that is we've really built an effective go-to-market model. That one Greencore structure is really working for us. We've built secure long-term partnerships, over half of it in long-term contracts, and we're fantastically positioned for future growth.

We've created capacity to sell. And hopefully, you've taken confidence from the amount of different opportunities we've got to sell more to existing customers, but also develop into those new dayparts as well, backed by our customers' mutual desire to do that.

We've got fantastic food expertise, and we're really focusing on improving our commercial processes and Make Business Easier will really benefit the commercial team. And that's all underpinned by a fantastic procurement capability that allows us to outperform the market.

Thank you for your time. I'm going to hand over to Lee.

Lee Finney   COO

Thank you, Andy. Good morning. My name is Lee Finney, and I'm now in my third year as our Chief Operating Officer. My background is leading global operations and supply chains largely for branded multinational businesses, food and beverage primarily, both overseas and here in the U.K.

I'm delighted to share today our approach to driving operational excellence in Greencore. We've made a strong start, but I'm particularly excited at the size of the opportunity ahead of us operationally and as a business. I'm going to cover three key topics today. So firstly, our customer proposition. Building on the capabilities that Dalton and Andy have celebrated in their sections. Secondly, how do we identify cost opportunities within our business? And thirdly, how do we use Greencore's new operational excellence framework to attack these opportunities and to drive the P&L.

Working very closely in partnership with Andy and the Commercial Functions. The operations group delivers a compelling customer proposition that is extremely difficult to replicate. With over 400 product launches delivered seamlessly each year, we have industry-leading technical capabilities, our subject matter experts, our SMEs, bring specialist knowledge and insights to our customers and suppliers, ranging from bread to eggs, cereals, protein and dairy. We continue to drive towards our ambition of 0 serious injuries, reducing our reportable accidents last year by over 31%. Our 16 manufacturing sites and logistic depots all have either an A or AA grade BRC certification. And our standards of food hygiene, so essential in a high-risk chilled supply chain are exemplary.

We manage the complexity of producing over 3,000 SKUs, mostly daily fresh, made day 1 for day 2 in store with world-class service levels. And our Group Logistics function delivers over 400 million units annually in all weathers every postcode in the country, including being trusted with alarm codes and key access to replenish stores during the night as our customers are sleeping. This is a safe, dependable and agile operational model that customers deeply value.

Our cost opportunity model uses a forensic diagnostic on the left side of the slide to identify inefficiency and waste in all of its components. This may take the form of food waste, suboptimized labor, line stoppages affecting equipment efficiency, delays in change over times or underutilized backhaul in logistics, amongst many other examples of inefficiencies and waste. This generates a pool of improvement opportunity, which we attack using our operational excellence model on the right-hand side of this slide. It's a simple model, but when executed well, can be a source of real competitive advantage.

In this schematic, we start with our total delivered costs on the left-hand side, and we back out non-addressable costs, which are largely fixed costs in the medium term. Our diagnostic then identified 30% of these addressable costs as a cost opportunity pool. Since fiscal '23, we've been successfully attacking this pool to drive P&L benefit.

To demonstrate this for a specific Key Performance Indicator or KPI, you can see the example here of water consumption through tray wash, a process that's similar across multiple sites in our business. Given the decentralized nature of Greencore previously, there are variable approaches and performance standards. In this example, we calculate the potential savings from all plants improving to the level of the best internally and we call these our lighthouse sites.

And then we set a further stretch target based on benchmarking externally or an internal challenge for improvement. The sum of all of these reductions forms the cost opportunity pool for this specific KPI. In this case, the costs associated with water supply or extraction, water treatment, heating the water and the effluent plant running costs. We will have exactly this approach for every KPI in our business. We call it our Management Control and Reporting System or our MCRS. This is an example as well of how operational excellence dovetails with sustainability to benefit not just the P&L, but also the planet.

We're now focusing on 5 transformational levers, which I'll explain in the following slides. These leaders are operational excellence pillars, automation, network optimization, overhead reduction and Project MBE, making business easier. Over the last two years, we've been building the foundational enablers on the right-hand side of the slide to enable the journey ahead. We have had to build the financial diagnostics capability that I have just outlined. We've transitioned from five business units to a decentralized functional structure and built a culture of One Greencore as opposed to decentralized islands of autonomy with 16 different ways of working.

We're implementing a disciplined suite of KPIs and performance metrics. Our NCRS, as I've just explained, which allows us to track progress daily, weekly and on a monthly basis. We're building 8 Centers of Excellence to drive thought leadership and best practice across Greencore. We're identifying those plants that have expertise or potential to become lighthouses where we pilot best practices before rapidly deploying them across our network. And finally, we have built a new CapEx system and project management capability to execute CapEx effectively to drive higher returns on investment.

To provide a little more context on the operational excellence pillars, we show the pillars, which would typically be included in an operational excellence framework similar to what I would have deployed or led in the global branded businesses you see referenced here. This pillar based maturity model is highly utilized in great businesses, but requires strong discipline to implement it and embedded in our DNA.

Focusing initially on manufacturing and supply chain excellence, these pillars each contain the tools, the metrics and the best practices that are deployed across the business in a consistent way. An example is shown here of the [indiscernible] tool in the focused improvement pillar, which trains our teams to define the problem, measure the loss, analyze the root cause of the problem, improve the problem and then control the process going forward.

As you can see from the green boxes, we're in the early days of rolling out this framework. Providing a lot of future opportunity, both in Greencore and also in applying these playbooks to future M&A. We are building a green core operational excellence model that will drive M&A synergy when we need to deploy it. And our early adoption has delivered very strong results. Under new leadership, the new Group Operational Excellence function has over 120 years of experience, driving several hundred improvement projects per year.

Two examples are seen here. In the first, we removed 25 FTE headcount due to new planning methodology in one chilled revenue plant, saving GBP 750,000 and in the second, we removed 24 tonnes of cheese waste following the automation saving another GBP 125,000. At the Enterprise level, you can see that some of these site projects increased units per labor hour, from 95 to 100 and reduced waste by 83 basis points. We track every operational project weekly in detail to ensure they are driving the P&L benefit that we expect.

Our previous wave of automation delivered some very strong results, which Steve Switzer, our Group Manufacturing and Engineering Director will present in more detail during the breakout session. You can see some images here from video content that Steve will share. We now have the zero touch sandwich line and a state-of-the-art automated chilled ready meal plant, for example. But the remaining opportunity to deploy advanced robotics is significant as technology improves, costs reduce and applications broaden to replicate the dexterity of the human hand.

The cost of direct labor in our business is approximately GBP 300 million, and it continues to provide inflationary headwinds. So we're now embarking upon Phase 2 of our automation strategy. We've established a new center of excellence and have begun to build a new ecosystem of partners we've allocated a CapEx envelope to drive automation and P&L benefits in the medium term and Steve will bring these opportunities to life for you later.

Our multi-site network allows us to drive synergies and efficiencies, which we are now exploiting in the new functional model. In the top example, we are step changing the performance of the chilled ready meals plants by optimizing Warrington, Wisbech, and Kiveton as one network. As we unlock capacity through operational excellence, Andy and I work to fill that capacity with very targeted profitable volume, supporting customers' growth and innovation ambition.

In the second example, we have created a 3-plant counter seasonal cluster, which allows us to optimize labor and overheads across the full year and internally source ingredients between those facilities that we previously bought from third parties. In the third example, we have created a group logistics function that looks at the entirety of material movements across the total Greencore network, consolidating inbound delivery is optimizing warehousing and creating hubs to avoid duplication that existed across our old business units. And this schematic illustrates our ambition to keep our total delivered costs flat.

Deploying our operational excellence levers to offset inflation, as shown on the left, TDC flat requires an enterprise mindset. Working closely with commercial, food development and procurement teams and customers to drive structural efficiency through the value chain. On the right, you'll see an example of how we have analyzed the indirect labor in each side by function to identify where we have the leanest structures. We can then standardize organizational design blueprints to reduce FTE headcount. Phase 1 of this program is now live and Project MBE will allow further streamlining our overheads going forward as we standardize processes and invest in new systems.

And underpinning our aspiration is Project MBE with Nigel and Andy having shared their respective work streams. I'm the executive sponsor of the plant to deliver work stream, which aims to transform our inefficient legacy IT platforms and spreadsheets into a suite of industry-leading tools. This will provide -- this will further improve our data integrity, our integrated business planning capabilities provide real-time insights for online decision-making enhance quality and drive a low-cost operating model.

We now have several process work streams live, including an end-to-end planning tool, which looks seamlessly from the customer to the production line schedule. A manufacturing materials performance tool, which we will demonstrate later in the NBE breakout. We have a workforce planning optimization solution in design and procurement enablement, for example, we have just recently launched an automated robotic negotiating tool.

Today, we are demonstrating to you hopefully how we are delivering strong improvements today, whilst in parallel building a winning business built on world-class platforms for the future, all of which means there is much more opportunity to go after. You can see here that we have delivered the fiscal '23 and the fiscal '24 plans. We have strong momentum through early fiscal '25 and the initial 30% cost opportunity pool that I defined for you earlier, will be extracted fully.

However, this initial diagnostic focused primarily on conversion costs within the as is network. The opportunity resulting from automation, network optimization, Project MBE, amongst other things are within the next cost opportunity pool. Once these costs are removed and we then repeat the cycle to continually define the next layer of opportunities to keep our total delivered costs flat over time. This will require the more advanced operational excellence capabilities that we are now building.

So, in summary, we have a compelling customer proposition. Operationally, that is incredibly difficult to replicate. We are building a forensic diagnostic approach to target inefficiency and waste and applying very well utilized and proven tools to attack the cost opportunities within the business. We have assembled a strong team to do that. We are benefiting from the new functional model, driving a One Greencore culture, and there are large opportunities ahead as we drive the big transformation levers I've presented to you today, this will also ready us for M&A integration and synergy extraction.

Project MBE will transform our processes and our systems landscape, enabling a low-cost operating model that will, in my view, drive fierce competitive advantage.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Great. Thanks, Lee. Good to have Lee, Andy and Nigel, share with us some of their thoughts. They're going to join me now on stage and we're going to go into the first of -- we've got a whole series of different Q&As today. But what I wanted to do now was just do a Q&A, if it's okay with you, specifically around what you've heard today in terms of portfolio or commercial or operational actions.

And then later on, we're going to be talking more about the financials. But if we want to keep it to that, that would be helpful. Got some of my colleagues holding up mics. If you do have a question, raise your hand and then maybe tell us who you are because we can pick it up on the transcript.

Patrick Higgins   Goodbody Stockbrokers UC

Patrick Higgins from Goodbody. Just one question for me. I guess one of the things that struck me introducing this presentation is just how much capacity you guys have unlocked already. What does that look like across your kind of top 2 or 3 categories? And how important will be -- putting that capacity be to achieving the margin targets that you've outlined today? And I guess, would you need incremental capacity to deliver against the kind of midterm kind of growth ambition as well?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Yes. Thanks, Patrick. Look, I'll certainly turn to you Lee, you may have a view as well, Andy. But this focus that at least brought on to sort of OEE and just driving that capacity. It's the best returning capacity you'll ever get your hands on.

So Lee, do you want to give just some thoughts on that?

Lee Finney   COO

Yes. So if you look across our total business, as we say, about 15% surplus capacity. This is in different parts of the portfolio. But on average, we've got certainly room for growth over the next couple of years. And in specific portfolio areas where we believe very exciting opportunities. So for example, we touched on, Andy touched on earlier in Northampton and the potential for us to grow further with M&S, which of course, is very profitable growth for both parties.

So I feel comfortable that we've got the capacity in place this next phase of growth. My challenge always is to unlock the next tranche of capacity through Operational Excellence. And then Andy and I are very focused on how we in a reasonably forensic way, target the right profitable volume for that capacity we create. So we've got a pipeline of opportunities where we're going after operational efficiency in sales prospective development at the same time. And we'd look, 15% unlock, and you've seen our revenue targets of 3 to 5, we've absolutely got the capacity for the next period of time, and then we'll go after more of it. But you've got to go and sell it.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Yes. I mean I think it was a very thorough answer. As I said, I can see a clear line of sight of the opportunities that we've got. It marries up very well with the capacity and but just to add to a point we've made in both our presentations, we have a very good business planning process in place now enabled by the new structure, so being able to match the right opportunities to the right capacity to get to the right financial outcomes.

Karel Zoete   Kepler Cheuvreux

Karel Zoete from Kepler Cheuvreux. I have 2 questions. The first one is on the slide with the ROIC. There's still a couple of areas where you went from red to yellow. But your biggest categories are now green everywhere or soon. But what's -- is there like a general reason why some of these categories are still yellow? Could it be an area of scale, size of the category, investments or released as a bottom up story to any of them?

The other question is on the last presentation with regards to planning and demand forecasting, [indiscernible] a lot of things are happening. How are you connected with these systems of your core clients nowadays using their data and their insights?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Great. Thanks, Karel. So I'll come to you on the ROIC and then maybe you want to pick up how you connect into the systems? Or [indiscernible] you can talk about that.

Unknown Executive  

Yes. Thanks, Karel. So I think there's some commonality and some difference. You made an observation that actually our largest categories are those that we've transitioned to green and there is a link there. I think the scale that we have in those categories does help in our ability to drive a return. And also if we're a little self-critical over history, it's also been a question of relative and respective focus. And that's why the analysis and the assessment that I referred to and the ability of really granularly assessing returns at each part of the portfolio kind of unlock some hidden gems.

In terms of going forward, there is potential right across the portfolio, be they green or amber by pulling on the kind of levers that we've talked about, be it now going and selling the capacity that we've created, be it improving the operational efficiency in the way that Lee has talked about or managing the cost base pretty tightly.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

And Karel, in terms of linking. We would love it, by the way, if all our customers operated on one system. Unfortunately, they fret on multiple different systems. So we have to plug in, in all cases. Yes. So we see a proliferation of systems on the customer side from RELX to [indiscernible] Bulanda and actually, there's some investment going into that space at the moment with many customers. We're not seeing a standardization. Unfortunately, it would be great if we could, but they're typically choosing tools that they think are best for their business models.

I'd love to say that we were seamlessly connected into one of those. We're not today. And actually, a big benefit of Project MBE is for us to implement a new planning suite end to end that dovetails better with customers. So today, it's largely manual, today, it would be -- we would have interns working with their demand teams, and we would work with them in collaboration, collaborative planning and forecasting, but not seamlessly from a technology point of view. There would be lots of manual workarounds and processes that would want to streamline going forward. But we do a good job of it. Our service levels are high. We engage strongly with the customer. Our demand management capabilities are strong, but we can do it much more efficiently.

Unknown Executive  

I mean I'll just add to that. I mean, despite some of the technology differences, that we really do a good job of using customer data. Two examples, Lee mentioned how we think about demand management. We have some great colleagues who we actually implant into our customers and they're then working with that customer data. And if I think about food on the move, as an example, our customers really benefit from that extra analytics because you can almost see food on the move with a bit of a store within a store in some of the supermarket as a slightly different trading pattern a time of day, day of week and real benefits come from this. The colleague in question and the customer in question, the load of analysis, for example, about stores that were near football grounds in every second week. This is massive uplift on the [indiscernible], our opportunity was being missed.

With being placing right analytics now put that into the system, we're now benefiting from that opportunity. So there's real gold in this and then also category data as well. Many of our customers will share their data so we can understand what's selling better ranging decisions that drives better availability that helps your demand planning. So we are very well embedded in our customers, but to Lee's point, opportunities to connect the system [indiscernible] in the future.

Damian McNeela   Numis Securities Limited

Damian McNeela from Deutsche, Numis. Few from me, please.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Two. [indiscernible] more.

Damian McNeela   Numis Securities Limited

Okay. Two for me then. No problem. Okay. Firstly, on portfolio shape. You've indicated sort of your earnings go at sort of 3% to 5%. Should we expect the general shape of the portfolio to remain the same? Or would we expect a greater skew to perhaps some of the lower growth areas that you operate in, given that guidance? The first question.

And then secondly, I guess I asked the margin question. Is the pace of growth towards that sort of target of 7% equal sort of I think the slide, Page 6 looks like the incremental blocks were similar whether that was just indicative or whether it's actually back-end loaded, if you could clarify that Lee, please?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Thanks very much, Damian. I'll come back to the margin question in a moment. In terms of the portfolio, [ Shane ], do you want to take that?

Unknown Executive  

I mean this is as much organic as anything and we're not sharing specific guidance on individual category growth rates, as Lee outlined. We freed up capacity reasonably well across the portfolio, and we'll take over the life of the plan opportunistic both new business and growth opportunities with slightly different growth profiles across the categories, but not massively such that we see a massive skew over the life of the plan.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

And we're very happy with all our current categories, as Nigel pointed out earlier. In terms of margin, we're going to get more into margin later because I don't want Catherine to sort of lay out Damian how it flows. It's certainly not hockey stick, and it's evenly distributed, if you think, between what Lee's got to do, what Andy's got to do and what we've got to kind of do centrally in terms of 1/3, 1/3, 1/3. But it flows through. But why don't we come back to after capture and set us all that, if that's okay.

Unknown Analyst  

Matthew Abraham from Berenberg. First question is just in reference to your earlier comments about the EU being potentially a market of interest for you. You actually said that your model would be potentially well suited to that market. Just wondering what you think the key reasons are that the model is well suited?

And then the second question is just in reference to robotics investment, some interesting elements of the investment phase there. Just wondering where you think robotics can get to as a proportion of your total capacity and over what time period that occurs?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Yes. Look, Andy, I might throw it to you in terms of the EU, but when we visit the EU, we continue to be underwhelmed by the product that's on offer there. And yet I continue to be surprised by how much space max they are actually dedicating. If you go into any of the French convenience stores now, they're giving at least 2 bays to sandwiches as you come in. And all the sandwiches are on 28-day MAP packaging. I mean quality is just not there. So I certainly think our consumer insight and manufacturing capabilities this way of winning the procurement expertise that we have is a major step forward.

And what's interesting is we do hear retailers on the continent coming over here looking at what's going on, scratching their heads why they can't do it over there. It's definitely not in the short term. We're not about to open a factory in Europe anytime soon. But I do think longer term, there are opportunities. I think when you take the Irish market, it's -- look, it's exactly the same market with similar costumer base, similar taste and similar retailers in place.

But Andy, you've been looking at this closely.

Andy Parton   Chief Commercial Officer

Yes, I think you've answered it well. Probably to add a bit of color to it. It won't have escaped your attention that we do work with some very large customers who have a European presence, the discounters are in the U.K., these are European and international operations, and they're very interested in the capabilities that we have. And how the convenience food market compares in the U.K. to Europe. So to Dalton's point, this is not necessarily in the short term, but there's definitely a conversation that has already started about how Greencore in the future could really be a partner, not just in the U.K. but further are filled with some of our large customers.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

In terms of robotics, i.e., when we finish this Q&A, we're going to go into an actual workshop on robotics. We are really going to lay out the landscape of how far we can get. But I think there's a massive opportunity. It's probably better than -- you see where we see -- you see the odd of the possible and then we go from that, if that [indiscernible].

Gary Martin   Davy

Gary Martin here from Davy. Thanks for the presentation, it was really insightful. Just maybe 2 questions from my side. Dalton, you mentioned specifically at the beginning just around Horizon 3 objectives. And I think you kind of just covered off that you've kind of touched into areas, including half food. So it sounds like you're kind of making inroads into new categories and new channels already. But actually it would be good just to get a bit of a deeper dive just into Horizon 3 objectives and just areas of attack there.

And then maybe the second one for Lee. Just on Slide 60, you've covered off just the various pillars of the Operational Excellence Program. I think maybe 5 have been in action out of about 20. In terms of the remaining 15, is there a decent overlap there? And kind of can that be quickly rolled out in the near term?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Thanks Gary. And look, I might go to you, Lee, on the different pillars. But just to say on Horizon 3, if it's okay with you, we've got a whole section later on today. We're actually going to go into some detail in terms of category channel country to put that if we go through that, if that's okay, Gary?

So in terms of the pillars?

Lee Finney   COO

Yes. Look, this is early days for us. So this is a new methodology, it's a new framework. We've never operated this way before in Greencore, with this kind of structured pillar base methodology. So they're not systems or frameworks that can be implemented overnight. They are a multiyear maturity improvement journey. But you can go after quick wins reasonably, effectively. So you'll see the areas we prioritized are the capabilities we want to quickly build where we think we've got the fastest payback and the biggest opportunity to impact the P&L.

So you'll see, for example, a focused improvement pillar, which helps us diagnose where we've got losses and waste and inefficiency. We prioritize that pillar and we're training people up on those tools. There will be some of the other pillars that we will bring in over the next year or 2 years or perhaps 3 years, I would say the full framework could actually take us 3 to 5 years. And then there's a maturity process over many years, [indiscernible] have been implementing these models for half a century, right? So they're never ending. You can continuously improve. But I think the journey for us over the next 3 to 5 years is to implement the whole framework focusing on the things that benefit the P&L most impactfully earlier.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Okay. We can have one more question, if that's okay. Clive?

Clive Black   Shore Capital Group

Clive Black from Shore Capital. Two, if I may. Is reducing seasonality part of your strategy? And secondly, when you do fill all your factories, would you prefer to build a new one? Or buy one? And if you were building a new one, how much of the cost [indiscernible]?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

So Andy, I'll come to you until seasonally and in terms of capacity. It's -- we're not calling it out specifically today, Clive. We do have a positive weather bias, which means that we're in more warm weather biased categories. Obviously the soup facility was at capacity the last few weeks. I think it's something we think about. But actually, when you think about the opportunity with where we are in ready meals, I mean, that picks up quite a bit of a slack in the winter months. But Andy, [indiscernible].

Andy Parton   Chief Commercial Officer

Yes, I think if you think about the distinction [indiscernible] the Horizon 2, Horizon 3, you think about the core business and the opportunity you're seeing there to Dalton's point, not a huge sort of change of emphasis on seasonality. There's some stuff that we're doing with the Horizon 2 that naturally helps it, I guess, in the sense of to Dalton's point, the expansion of ready meals. The work we're doing on hot food, of course, is very much around more winter. So there'll be an element of that. We'll talk about Horizon 3 later and the criteria we're looking at around that. But yes that's I would summarize.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

And in terms of capacity, I'll let bring Lee in, but no plans to build anything greenfield at the moment. As I said, the opportunity to squeeze additional capacity out of the current network is still pretty material, and it's so heavily returned.

Lee Finney   COO

Yes. No plans at the moment. And I would hesitate to give you a figure for how much these things cost because it depends on the footprint, the complexity of what you're doing in them, whether you are putting new technology in automation, depends on where they are -- there are so many variables. So I kind of -- I'd hesitate to give a value on how much greenfield facility would cost us should we choose to build one.

Our focus at the moment is optimizing the capacity we've got, right? And we have headroom to do that. In parallel, I'm continually looking at network optimization opportunities. And with a careful eye going forward on the potential as we do M&A to look at further plant synergies and network optimization resulting from those new outfits. And therefore, trying to keep our powder a little dry because we could made decisions on a plant today that the near term pose to be the wrong decision because we now haven't got the capacity to crunch. So there's -- it's a watching brief, but no plans for greenfield right now.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

And I would just say in closing, Clive, the -- we would never want to get complacent but to replicate our network today as a new entrant coming in. I mean, pick a number, but you wouldn't get much for 50 million [indiscernible] plan, like you really wouldn't, so that's how we see.

I'm going to pause there. We're going to stop for a coffee and then we're going to go into our breakout. So what we [indiscernible] be more time for questions through the breakout and then there'll be more time later on when we're back here together.

[Break]

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

So let me just orientate you on what we're going to do now through to lunch. We've got 3 set pieces. Fran is going to come up in a moment and talk about our sustainability strategy. Nigel is going to come back up then after Fran to talk about Horizon 3. So growth and expansion beyond the core. And then Catherine is going to finish it off by updating us on the medium-term financial targets. Then we'll have another set piece of Q&A, and we'll go upstairs, meet the chef's and try some of the delicious food that they've been preparing next door.

So with that, I'll hand you over to Fran.

Fran Haycock  

Thank you, Dalton. Hi, everyone. I'm Fran Haycock, Group Head of Sustainability. I've been with Greencore 7 years, half of which has been in the Sustainability Function and prior to that I held a variety of commercial and change management roles. As one of the U.K.'s largest food manufacturing companies, we recognize our role in adopting and leading on sustainable business practices. Balancing the demands of the P&L, people and the planet is challenging. About making some great business seem to Greencore and is also becoming more central to our customer relationships and their expectations of us as a long-term strategic partner.

In the last 2 years, we have made significant progress. We have built stronger central governance and expertise, but with the accountability for delivery, move firmly into the business and the team plan on us covering the breath of albeit future plan.

I'll now take you through some more detail about our approach, followed by a short video of our leaders, bringing that to life. [indiscernible] plan is designed to ensure Greencore remain a strong leader in the food industry, shaped by our 3 strategic pillars: Sourcing, Making and Feeding. Underpinned by our approach to social topics and our program foundations, our sourcing with integrity pillar led by Andy, our Chief Commercial Officer; works to ensure we source ingredients responsibly such as soy and paper, meaning our buying protects the natural environment and the people who work within it. Our supplier partners play a critical role here. Our procurement team are highly focused on changing our collaboration with our suppliers as part of a multiyear supplier engagement approach. Andy Thompson, our Procurement Director, will speak to you -- will talk more about his team's priority shortly.

Making with Care, led by Lee, our Chief Operating Officer, reflects the focus on our own operations to minimize our environmental impact in parallel with supporting our P&L through using less energy, reducing our water usage and minimizing and redirecting our food waste. Our Planned General Managers are accountable for delivery of these efficiency programs, and we have now begun to develop net zero transition plans, which will enable us to build a robust and long-term decarbonization pathways for the group.

Feeding with Pride, again, led by Andy, our Chief Commercial Officer; and Rachel, our Head of Innovation, focuses on the final product and its impacts on consumer health and the planet.

We have a well-established agenda in sustainable packaging and a fast evolving approach to healthy and sustainable diets. Our packaging, food development and sales leads are responding well to both customer and consumer demand for innovation that is affordable, accessible and most importantly taste great. Rachel will provide some specific examples of how we're leading on this in the video.

People at the Core, led by Guy, our Chief People Officer; and Ric, our [indiscernible] human rights, encompasses social topics such as communities and human rights in our direct operations. I'm really proud of the strength of our human rights agenda. Our central resources are doing a fantastic job, upskilling our site HR and manufacturing colleagues to ensure our sites and their people have the highest level of protection. People made difference to Greencore and our local communities are critically important to us. As such, our community strategy has evolved beyond donating food surplus and now includes a heightened focus on both volunteering and food education.

And finally, our foundations. These work streams are critical to ensure both the Executive Team and the Sustainability Committee of the Board have confidence in the program management and its delivery. In risk, we have steep changed our bidding of sustainability into our risk management program, with our enterprise risk model now including both potential climate impact to our U.K. property and our global supply chain. Within bidding, we're working hard to build this into business D&A for the long term, up-skilling from multiple levels of the business from our executive team through to the shop floor helping our top leaders and our frontline colleagues understand what it means to our business, for their roles, and how they can support our ambition and our target delivery.

Now on to our targets, which have been carefully selected as a [indiscernible] to ongoing business resilience and success. In sourcing, we've got a range of targets to support our ambition, and we're making steady progress to both our 2025 and 2030 goals whilst maintaining our ongoing KPIs such as responsibly sourced palm oil. Our work in this area will transform the supply chain for the better, build resilience and help deepen our understanding, our existing customer relationships, many of whom share our ambition and also our targets.

In making, we have 3 ambitious 2030 targets, aligned to either a global or industry standards such as a science-based target initiative. Our operations team is building good momentum behind these 3 areas, and we're now starting to see decarbonization, water and food waste reduction pathways come to life, as we join up Sustainability, Operational Excellence and our Technology agendas.

An example of this is the tray wash that Lee mentioned earlier, in which Operational Excellence and Sustainability have cojoined. Our KPIs in these areas have also been incorporated into our long-term incentive plan, which is bringing real focus to their tracking and their delivery, helping us to super charge progress against these core manufacturing KPIs.

In feeding, we've been at the forefront of the healthy and sustainable diet agenda, setting 2 health-related targets in 2023 which Rachel will elaborate on in the video. We will continue to invest in this topic, as it develops. So we're able to respond to new customer and consumer preferences as well as the new regulation.

In packaging, we have three 2025 targets, which were aligned to the U.K. plastics pack ambition, and we're making good headway to deliver these in close partnership with both our customers and our suppliers. The latest changes to extended producer responsibility will have a big influence on how this agenda evolves, and we're staying close to our customers about their priorities. I do appreciate this is a high-level overview of our targets. So more information on our metrics and targets can be found in our sustainability report.

To further bring our approach to life, you will now hear from 3 of our sustainability leaders talking about their progress and focuses for the coming year.

[Presentation]

Fran Haycock  

I hope you found that insightful. Some great examples there of how our leaders are both taking ownership of delivery and delivering results into the business.

To summarize, I'll wrap with 3 points. We must run and grow the business model sustainably. It influences what we do today and is shaping our decisions for tomorrow to unlock opportunity, mitigate risk and build overall business resilience. Strong foundations are critical to program success and bidding takes time, if it and is continuous, but our colleagues are curious and motivated to work differently by evolving both their behaviors and their processes,

Momentum, incredibly important to deliver our ambitions. We have worked hard to build this. We're focused on showing our people that this agenda can work in harmony with business performance and ultimately enable it.

Thank you. I'm now going to hand over to Nigel to take you our growth plans.

Nigel Smith   Chief Strategy, Planning & Development Officer

Thank you, Fran, and hello, again, everyone. So we've spent the morning trying to bring to life the potential that we see in the business that we have today. Andy described the really strong foundations that we've got for growth within our core. Please share the fact that we're really only scratching the surface of our Operational Excellence potential. And then the breakout sessions [indiscernible] just taking you through has hopefully put some flesh on the bones of some of the specific opportunities that we see in front of us.

I won't steal Catherine's thunder for how that's all going to tie together financially, but suffice to say that we are confident that there really is very material value creation potential within this core business that we have in the years ahead. And so what I was going to do now was to talk a little bit about the opportunities that we see beyond the business that we have today.

Now before I get into the specifics of where we grow next, I did want to touch firstly on how we think we can add value as we grow. And indeed, why we see ourselves as natural owners of a broader set of businesses than the business we have today. I'll call it 6 core strengths on this page, and we're going to keep returning these over the next few slides.

The first of these things is the fact that we serve every major U.K. retailer and they are constantly asking us to do more with them. Secondly, and as you've heard throughout the day, we have enormous buying scale, we spend GBP 1 billion on raw materials and packaging. And as we grow, we get even more favorable terms on that spend.

Hopefully, this has come to life as well. What we do is really hard to replicate. It's -- within the gift of anyone in this room to be able to make a sandwich but actually, there's not a lot of people who can safely make up to 2 million sandwiches a day while redeveloping hundreds of recipes each and every year. And that technical and product development expertise is transferable right across the convenience food space.

Related to that, we are experts at manufacturing convenience food efficiently. And the Operational Excellence Methodology that Lee took you through is applicable not just to our current categories and our current sites, but again, right across the convenience food market.

Fifthly, and as we touched on, we have space to grow. We've spoken about how we treat our capacity as a precious resource, and we're not afraid to resign on profitable business and the net impact of those portfolio interventions and indeed our overall efficiency agenda means that we have that 15% of available capacity that we referred to a little earlier. And then relatedly, we have that unique point-to-point distribution capability that also has room for growth.

So these 6 levers then are really fundamental to our right to win when we think about our investment agenda, both organic and inorganic. And if there's one clear message to take away from this section, it is that we will only put shareholder capital to use, where we can see that we have that clear right to win and that enablement for us to drive an attractive return on the capital that we would putting to use.

So if I translate that into some specifics over the next couple of slides, the obvious question then is where we grow next or what we've historically referred to as Horizon 3. And I think it's important to anchor the answer to that question in the focus that we have today across channels, categories and countries.

From a channel perspective, as we now are all aware, our heartland is in retail private label. Our category footprint is largely focused on chilled food to go. And our country footprint means we're, de facto, a U.K. business.

And so as we think about where we go next, really, we're twin tracking two routes. The first is the opportunities for consolidation within the markets that we operate today. And then secondly, opportunities to expand across each of the three Cs that I referred to, new channels, new categories and over time, into new countries.

We see both organic growth and M&A playing a role in each of these areas in different ways. And if I start with consolidation, Andy has talked about the organic potential to fill in our white space gaps, in other words, selling more of our current products to current customers. And then if we think about the M&A lens through that, there is a reasonable, albeit reasonably finite universe of options there, and we'll explore those opportunistically as the potential to unlock synergy emerges.

If I think about the second of those areas, though, and where I'll spend most of the time is the three other axes that you see on this page, new channels, categories and countries. And if I take each of those in turn, starting with new channels. We see a lot of opportunity here, both organically and supported by M&A. And if I start at the top of this page with the coffee specialists.

Andy referred a little bit to this earlier on with the strong relationships that we've built with the likes of Costa and Caffe Nero over the last couple of years. But we really do believe there's more that we can do in this channel. And the beauty of it is that we can largely do it through our current footprint.

Andy also touched on opportunities within the travel sector. And I flag, in particular, the retailization of petrol forecourts. There's a number of our customers like Asda and M&S who are growing their own footprint here and that gives us a tailwind to grow with them as they expand in this space.

If we then move a little further afield, we're weighing options in the direct-to-consumer channel. And we're not looking to compete directly here with the likes of HelloFresh or Deliveroo. But as these kind of on-demand services grow, we really do see potential for us to supply discrete premade product solutions into players like those and supporting them as they scale.

And then finally, in the area of food service. I'll bring this to life. We're not too far away from lunch time here in this room and indeed up and down the U.K. And what's actually happening right now as people approach their lunch time is that they're going to go out and they're going to buy prepacked sandwiches and salads and sushi and soup. But Greencore aren't making those products. And not only are we not making those products today, we are not even in the tender to win the rights to make those products. And that's because consumers aren't buying them in the retail environment.

They're buying them in offices, in canteens, in schools, in universities or on planes and trains. And the reason why we're not present is that the commercial model and the relationship set that's required to win in those channels is very different to how we've operated historically instead of serving major retail multiples of serving the likes of Compass or Sodexo. And so while we historically focused on retail without the muscle to service the food service channel, we think that if we can partner with one or more players in this space that brings the right commercial capability, that could be a powerful combination. And that's where the 6 levers that I mentioned a little earlier on come into play.

If I look across each one of the channels that I've just touched on, straightaway, we can bring cost advantage from that procurement scale and model, buying exactly the same inputs to make the same products but at greater scale and more efficiently.

Our product and technical expertise is directly transferable by selling the same product into a different customer set. I mentioned earlier the available manufacturing capacity that we've created for growth and the channels on this page in different ways provide opportunities for us to deploy that capacity in the ground. And also for a number of these channels, that point-to-point distribution capability is particularly relevant where customers don't have their own chilled supply chain.

So that's a flavor of some of our thinking as it relates to new channels. If I switch gear now and talk about opportunity within category expansion. You can see here on the slide that the retail convenience food market is worth well over GBP 50 billion. And the categories that we play in are worth just about 20% of that or GBP 11 billion. Greencore, within those categories, only captures 20% of that 20% or GBP 2 billion.

So there's quite a lot of white space. And if we drill into the white space of that GBP 54 billion, it's made up of well over 100 categories, and Greencore doesn't play in 94 of those categories. You can then kind of filter that down for value and growth. And as you can see on the slide, there's over 30 categories, which are of decent scale and which we're growing faster than the overall grocery market over the last couple of years.

Now I'm sorry to disappoint if you were expecting us to take a very explicit position on category X or category Y or Z. We're not going to do that in this public forum. But what we are absolutely crystal clear on and what I will share today is how we think about organic growth and M&A in this space. And on the one hand, the closer in the adjacency, the more likely we are to expand organically.

Andy touched on some of this a little bit earlier in terms of how customers are already asking us to stretch the category footprint that we already have, whether it's moving from pure sushi into broader Asian snacking, [ Pokeballs. ] We touched on the food innovation breakout earlier on, some of these hybrid products that blend elements of salads and ready meals together or the moves that we've been making in breakfast as we started to scale up production in [ Berkshire ] pots where we haven't historically had a scale of production. And all of these areas provide new growth but using current capabilities and current factories and current available capacity.

On the flip side of that, Clive asked a question earlier about greenfielding and the potential to build new factories. We'll be much less likely, to be honest, to scale up in a totally new category by building a greenfield factory in particularly if that -- if the supply and demand dynamics in that category are already in balance. That doesn't help us and it doesn't help the overall value pool available.

But what we do have eye on is opportunities in decently sized growing categories where the current supply base offers opportunity for us to consolidate. And that enables us to drive efficiency, to build scale advantage and in doing so, drive synergy, just as we've done in sandwiches over the last number of years.

And so if I link that back to the six levers I described, it hopefully brings to life why we see ourselves as natural owners of a broader set of businesses. It really comes back to the levers I mentioned. It's about selling more to our current customers, and so leveraging the retail relationships that we already have.

It's about applying the procurement model and scale that we already have to drive even better input costs. And it means applying the operational model that Lee touched on to any manufacturing operation that we may move into.

The final area that I'll touch on for potential growth is new countries. Now as we kind of flagged a little bit earlier, going international is more of a medium-term ambition for us because our near-term focus is really on pursuing the breadth of opportunities in the U.K. that we've spent the morning talking about.

However, we are clear that over the life of this plan, moving internationally does have the potential to provide an important third leg of the growth stool for us. And we think that our history in the U.K. provides some insight as to how that can look.

If we take the 16 site footprint that we have here in the U.K. today, this was actually put together through 9 discrete acquisitions over a 20-year period. And that platform that we created fueled the growth, particularly in food to go that we saw in recent years. We scaled up and into those categories at a time that we were benefiting from a convenience store, tailwind that Andy referenced earlier. We grew our market share organically by outcompeting and winning business organically. And then we further consolidated the position by infill M&A.

And so if we translate that blueprint from the U.K. and we look west onto the island of Ireland or South into Continental Europe, we see there convenience food markets that are at an earlier stage of development, but in many cases, outgrowing the U.K. We see presence of product categories that we know and understand well, like food to go or ready meals or sauces. But we see a lack of market maturity and in particular, supply base in those geographies, all of which points to opportunity for Greencore.

Now to be crystal clear, any opportunity in geographic expansion, just as with category or channel expansion, we'll draw on what we already do well in the U.K. And that's where, again, the value levers on the right-hand side come into play. Commercially, it's about pursuing pockets of opportunity that we see with existing customers who have a presence beyond the U.K., that's probably most obvious in the island of Ireland, where you have the likes of Tesco, M&S, Aldi, Little, a number of the coffee and high street players.

But also to some extent, it's true in Continental Europe, and this came up a little earlier in Q&A, where already one of our discounter customers is proactively kind of raising opportunities as to how we can explore together how we broaden our support to them with a potential physical presence in Europe.

International expansion also provides opportunity for us to leverage our product and technical expertise, but also our procurement scale. And indeed, 30% of that GBP 1 billion that we've referenced through the day is already spent with EU-based suppliers.

And then finally, there's the direct transferability of our operational capabilities. We run some of the most efficient ready meal and salad plants in the world, and that operational know-how is relevant to countries where there is a clear appetite for that product set.

So if that gives us a flavor of where we go next, I'm just going to conclude by touching on how we think about our approach to investments, which will be both disciplined and progressive. Disciplined in the sense that any investment will be anchored in that right to win and the levers for value creation that I've touched on throughout, but also progressive in the sense that absent incredibly compelling individual value creation case, we'll progress through any one of these axes one at a time.

In other words, as we think about channel expansion, we will sell the same category in the same country as we play today. It's sandwiches into U.K. food service. It's salads into U.K. coffee specialists.

Similarly, as we broaden our category footprint, it's in our current channel and country. It's leveraging those U.K. retail relationships to sell a broader product set. And then as and when we eventually do move into new countries, we will be biased to build a business in the channel and categories that we already know well. And we're clear that this progressive approach, in other words, growing and diversifying the group, but anchoring that growth in what we already do well today, that will help us derisk the execution of any of that diversification.

And that brings us to the three lenses that you see on the right-hand side of how we assess M&A opportunities. We think about strategic fit, that bias to invest in structural growth and for us to be able to demonstrably add value. We think about sustainability, not so much as setting a hard veto on where we can or can't invest, but we will be mindful of the impact of any acquisition on our sustainability agenda and indeed, our ability to improve the sustainability of trajectory of anything we buy.

And then finally and most importantly, the financial profile. Any investment decision that we make will fundamentally be guided by our ability to drive a strong return from that investment. And that's not just theoretical by the way. I can already cite specific examples where over the last couple of months, we've engaged with intent and with seriousness in individual processes, but stepped away because the financial case simply wasn't strong enough.

So to summarize, we've got a strong platform for growth. We see real potential to expand both organically and inorganically across new categories, channels and country, and we'll invest progressively and we're disciplined with clear guide rails for how we assess our opportunities.

I'm now going to hand to Catherine who will take us through the medium financial model. Thank you.

Catherine Gubbins   CFO & Executive Director

Thank you, Nigel. Good afternoon, everyone. My name is Catherine Gubbins, and I am Greencore's CFO, having joined the organization exactly 1 year ago tomorrow. Throughout the course of the day, you all have heard a lot from the team about how we win our lasting partnerships, great food, delivery excellence, sustainable choices and keeping our people at the core. What I hope to do over the next 15 minutes or so is give you some clarity on how we assess the financial performance of the business and also lay out a set of medium-term targets for the group.

When we think about the potential for the group with respect to growth and financial performance over the medium term, we know that it will comprise the core operation that we are still very focused on today. But I think we've also made it clear to Nigel's session that we plan to grow and expand this business in a considered way. And that will obviously supplement our organic medium-term targets to create incremental returns for shareholders.

You will have heard today that we believe there is significant value creation potential lift in the core business. And my focus is going to be on taking you through the financial targets for that core business.

There are five key financial metrics that we use to drive our business, and I will take you through each of them in this session in a little bit more detail. Returns on invested capital, which is the principal metric that we use to drive decision-making on a day-to-day basis, revenue growth and our adjusted operating profit margin, clearly key indicators of the underlying financial performance of the business, and I'm going to bring together what Andy, Lee and our team have shown you today to show you how we feel we will drive both of those metrics in the medium term.

I will then set out how we are thinking about cash conversion, leverage and our plan for the allocation of capital.

In order to better understand how we're thinking about our future financial performance, I think it is useful to set some context around the recent progress we have made across some of those key metrics, but also to be mindful of the drivers of the group's financial performance pre-pandemic.

Like many organizations, the business was significantly impacted by COVID and the period of high inflation, which followed. This significantly eroded profit and returns for this business. And to a large extent, the group that we have today has been changed as a result of that experience.

Bearing all that in mind, over the past 3 years, we have made strong progress on ROIC, operating margin and our overall operating profit. And we have given you a lot of insight today into how we have delivered that. What I want to do now in this session is take you through what we feel this business can sustainably deliver in the medium term.

As mentioned earlier, our return on invested capital is our North Star and is a KPI that we are most focused on. We have a well-invested manufacturing network that requires ongoing investment to guarantee service levels and we feel that optimizing the timing, nature and scale of the investment in that network and simultaneously extracting value through our excellence programs is a key driver of continued profitability and returns into the future. Our plan is to achieve a ROIC of at least 15% in the medium term. This is above our weighted average cost of capital and above our 2019 level of 14.4%.

When we think about revenue growth, our goal is to drive mid-single-digit revenue growth in the range of 3% to 5% through a combination of volume, price and mix. Our operating margin is another critical KPI and we are confident that in the medium term, we can achieve and sustain an operating margin of 7% and above. Cash is a real focus for us as a business, and we are targeting a cash conversion rate of at least 55% for the medium term.

Our long-term target leverage range will remain at 1x to 1.5x. We may choose, as has been referenced earlier, to go above this target with an opportunity to really create value arises, but we would only do so in circumstances where we have line of sight for leverage to drop to the target range in a timely manner.

We feel that these are stretching targets for the core business for the medium term that will ultimately be supplemented incrementally by accretive M&A.

So how do we plan to drive that revenue growth? I'd like to get into a little bit more detail on how we plan to drive the 3% to 5% revenue growth over the medium term. When we think about volume, we plan to leverage the forecast market growth and other structural tailwinds that Andy took us through earlier, including the continued U.K. convenience or openings.

Andy also noted earlier that we don't currently serve every customer across every category, and we have a strong pipeline of potential business to pursue, building on our existing customer relationships. Thanks to the actions we have taken over the past 2 years, we also have over 15% of extra capacity to go and sell.

We've heard a lot from the team today about innovation and the product capability and expertise we have. We work with our customers to create innovation that will critically drive incremental sales. And Amanda's update about the Kitchen Deli proposition for Sainsbury's in the breakout earlier is a perfect example of innovation driving additional volumes.

On price and mix, we see several opportunities. Premiumization has really become a market driver and differentiator that retailers are keen to leverage, and there are opportunities for us to use our deep understanding of the consumer to work with our customers to leverage premiumization across our different categories.

Finally, we will work with our customers to drive inflation recovery. Even in a period of moderated inflation levels, we are assuming a pricing impact here.

So just moving on to margin. There is a lot of focus on our operating margin, particularly in the context of understanding our historical performance. The group's operating margin peaked at 7.3% in 2019, and we recently closed 2024 with a margin of 5.4%. It is useful to have an understanding of some of the factors that have impacted our margin evolution over the past few years.

So starting with inflation. Since 2021, the business has faced unprecedented inflation across raw materials and packaging and direct labor costs. We have seen national living wage increases, driving an increase of over 35% in our direct labor cost pool since 2019. And our raw mat and pack cost base increased by more than GBP 200 million.

We have worked hard to recover that inflation over the past couple of years through price, joint models with customers and cost management. However, the scale of the inflation took some time to adjust to and engage with our customers on, and we have not recovered the margin on top of that inflation. You will have seen today a lot of detail on how we deploy our operational and commercial excellence programs. And you can see how the team have been driving significant value into the business, helping us to recover 140 basis points of margin between 2023 and '24 alone.

What we haven't, however, been able to fully offset is the large amount of overhead inflation across our indirect payroll cost base and our non-payroll cost base. Actions were taken in 2022 and '23 to partly address this through some head count reduction measures, specifically in the management and support area. However, this hasn't been enough to offset the full magnitude of that inflation.

In addition to significant increases across direct labor, we have also seen our indirect labor pool increased by over 30% since 2019 due to wage and certain head count increases. It is important to put into context that the business was operating in a different environment in 2019, and undoubtedly, the inflation being experienced across all categories in the past number of years requires a different level of focus on managing that cost base.

One of my priorities is to ensure the cost base is rightsized for the future. And to that end, the executive team and I have focused on instilling a culture of cost management into the organization. We have improved how we monitor and report on costs, and that visibility and focus alone is already starting to deliver results. With that context in mind, we believe that there is an opportunity to further increase our adjusted operating margin sustainably to 7% and above, and this slide sets out the key components of that trajectory.

We are expecting low to mid-single-digit inflation in most of our cost categories over the coming years. The exception is labor costs where the national living wage and national insurance changes are impacting us significantly this year and are annualizing into next year, unfortunately.

We are, however, focused on offsetting that inflation through our commercial engagement model, driving operational efficiency, having a laser-like focus on cost management and driving underlying efficiency across all of our ways of working.

Andy and Lee and the team have given us a lot of insight into our commercial and operational excellence pillars, and we are confident that we will drive margin accretion by continuously looking for ways to innovate to drive price and mix. We will continue to buy well through our procurement excellence program, and we will improve the profitability of the production of existing and new volumes we deliver as we refine our operating model.

Steve has shown us how we will stand up the next phase of our automation program, and we will challenge ourselves to optimize our network to drive synergies and standardize our processes, particularly labor and other work practices.

I have spoken about our focus on embedding further cost effectiveness measures, and a key enabler of our ability to do this is the investment that we are making in our Making Business Easier program. We know that this will start driving significant value through simplification and reduction of manual work throughout the entire business.

Cash conversion is a big focus for us, and I really feel we can move our cash conversion rate from its historic levels of sub 50% to 55% and over, and this is something I have been very focused on since joining. We see a few key contributors to getting there.

One of the main areas, I think, that we can drive improvements is with our working capital efficiency and discipline. We see opportunities to drive working capital through optimizing our stock levels and other, some proactive and targeted improvements to our AP and AR cycles, and we have steps in place to start delivering on that.

I have previously highlighted that we have reached agreement with U.K. trustees in respect of a reduction of circa GBP 10 million in our annual U.K. pension funding, which is expected to kick in before September 2025. This will be a key contributor to improving our cash position. We are expecting more normalized interest rates, which will be partially offset by exceptional cash flows relating to the MBE program.

Dalton and Nigel have both referenced our Horizon 3 aspirations. And while I won't lay out detailed targets for potential M&A today, given that activity is dependent on the availability of targets and the attractiveness of those targets, I suppose I did want to touch on how we think about M&A from a finance financial perspective.

As Nigel referenced, we are evaluating M&A through three key lenses. The strategic fit for the group, obviously, ensuring it adheres to our sustainability targets and financial discipline. Dalton and I have previously highlighted that improving return on invested capital is our key KPI. When I consider the allocation of capital to any potential M&A, the key financial metric that we will be looking to deliver on is to ensure that acquisitions after synergies are accretive to the group's returns profile in the near term.

The final area I'm going to take you through today is our capital allocation framework. So we are very focused on using our available cash in a way that is most accretive or value creating for our shareholders. And we have the balance sheet optionality to consider how best to allocate that capital and really optimize that value. Let me take you through how we are thinking about prioritizing that capital.

Investment in our organic growth is a priority. Continuing to invest in strategic and maintenance CapEx to drive growth and profitability in our core business is key, and we want to spend circa GBP 50 million on capital investment per year for the coming years. We are keen to facilitate the delivery of automation and other critical projects that we have referenced today that we feel will unlock real value for the group, and we are focused on fast tracking those.

As most of you are aware, we recently reinstated a dividend of 2p per share, which is the group's first dividend since 2019. Subject to the ongoing strong financial performance of the group, we will continue to provide for the payment of a progressive dividend annually.

We see opportunity for value creation through inorganic growth, and we will seek to deploy capital on value-accretive M&A that is aligned to our strategic ambitions. Where we find ourselves having excess cash, we would clearly look to return cash to shareholders periodically, provided that we continue to believe that buybacks are creating value for our shareholders.

I would propose to give clarity to shareholders on our plans in this space at half year and full year results announcements.

So to summarize our key messages today. We are prioritizing returns as our key financial metric and capital allocation decision-making tools. We have clear medium-term financial targets that we are committed to delivering on, and a very high-level summary again, that is a mid-teens ROIC of 15% and over mid-single-digit revenue growth of 3% to 5%, delivering an adjusted operating profit margin sustainably of 7% and above.

Cash conversion reaching over 55% and maintaining our leverage at 1x to 1.5x. We are satisfied that achieving these targets allied to a clear capital allocation framework will ensure that we continue to drive real value accretion for shareholders.

Thank you very much. I'm going to hand back to Dalton.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Thanks, Catherine. So what I'm going to do is I'm going to ask some of my team colleagues to join me up here, and we'll just go into a Q&A session. And post that, we'll go upstairs, meet the chefs and get stuck into lunch. As I said earlier, the whole senior team is around. So if you want to speak to anybody specific, either do ask a question now or over lunch. There'll be lots of opportunities.

One, just -- Patrick, one sec. One member of the team that I haven't introduced because he hasn't spoken today is Damian, and I thought maybe I'd throw it to you to share.

Unknown Executive  

Thanks, Dalton. That's what everyone wants is we're just missing a lawyer to fill everyone's day up. But Dalton, thanks. Great to meet you all today. My name is Damian Moynagh, I'm the Group General Counsel and Company Secretary. Like Dalton and others, I've been here about -- this is my third year. And the 10 years before this, I was a Senior Executive at an FTSE-listed global pharma services company. And prior to that, a global PE backed financial technology company. For the 10 years before that, I was a corporate and M&A lawyer here in the city of London, New York and Tokyo as well. So great to be here. Great to chat to the number of you who are here today and look forward to speaking to you again at lunch.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Great. Thanks, Damian. So look, we'll open it up to questions and maybe limit it to two questions per person. Just throw your hand up. And if you got a question at the back, and then we'll come up here. Gary.

Tania Maciver   RBC Capital Markets

Tania from RBC. Just a question on your revenue growth target of 3% to 5%. Can you put that in context of the underlying markets that you mentioned earlier this morning? They seem to be growing a bit faster than your target, which suggests this is more of an operational gearing story.

And then just on pricing discussions. You've mentioned a few times that you're in discussions with customers. How are those going? And is there still room for price increases given the sort of unprecedented inflation from the last few years?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Yes. Great. Well, look, two great questions. Look, I'll bring you in, Andy. But I would say on the 3% to 5%, when we look at the overall convenience food category, which is more representative of all our product categories, that's growing at 4%. So I think the 3% to 5% sits nicely with that. But Andy, you live and breathe this and maybe pick up the customer relationship, given NI pricing, et cetera.

Andy Parton   Chief Commercial Officer

Yes. So just to build on the revenue growth, as Dalton said, sort of broad convenience market, 4%. We believe 3% to 5% is an appropriate target. As I say, we believe there are opportunities to grow our existing business, and we're making good progress on that. And Aldi ready meals was a great example. And let's say, we've got two or three other conversations live as well. So that gives the context of the revenue target.

In terms of pricing, a couple of points on that. as I say, we've got good protection and models in place on 75% of our customers. There is clearly obvious inflation coming as well in April, as you mentioned, NI. Look, I won't get into specific customer conversations. But what I would say is that we've got a very good track record of being able to manage these conversations and the conversations we're having are very pragmatic and very mature, customers understand what's happening.

And we're constantly working on not just price and mix as well. So how we put the pricing through, but how we think about offsetting it with our customers as well. So conversations are progressing well and confident.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Patrick?

Patrick Higgins   Goodbody Stockbrokers UC

Patrick Higgins from Goodbody again. I guess, just to add to that question, just around the labor inflation challenge. As you say, it's obviously a challenge for you guys, but also your retail customers. How do you balance your kind of ambitious margin targets against the challenges that your retailers are facing from a labor perspective and when you're negotiating price?

And I guess the second incremental question around labor. Obviously, it's a challenge you always have to manage. But how much of it is actually an unlock for you guys to win new business with your customers, whether it's on the retailer or food service side?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Sorry, can you just say that second part?

Patrick Higgins   Goodbody Stockbrokers UC

How much of it is an unlock for you guys to win new business?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Okay. Well, look, Andy, I might send both your way. But I do want to make one point, and we have this conversation with our customers. The reason why we're focusing on ROIC. ROIC has primacy because ROIC is around having well-invested plants and when the weather changes, and I'm talking about when the weather changes from today, tomorrow, Lee's expected to turn that volume right up and still hit 99% service levels.

So the challenge with our customers needs to be much more about having well-invested sites, moving out of this discussion around is your margin too high or too low. No, we have to invest, and that's why we're giving that primacy. But do you want to give your thoughts on this?

Andy Parton   Chief Commercial Officer

Yes. I mean some context on pricing. Look, obviously, that's one lever. It's a key lever, and our customers understand that. But to your point, they have cost pressures as well. But I think a couple of points would be we've seen significant inflation in the last couple of years. We've seen our added value convenience categories hold up really well to that inflation.

Like I say, these are added value categories. We believe there's headroom for price and margin, and that's been demonstrated, and that helps facilitate some of those pricing discussions. And also, it's the other levers that we pull with our customers. So that commercial excellence program. Yes, price is a key lever. We think about mix. We think about our input costs. Think about the breakout sessions. We talk about a lot of renovating existing products.

Some of that is cost out work as well. So we bring to bear all of those levers, and that is how we've been successfully growing our gross margin even in a period of incredible inflation.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

And then the second part of that question in terms of the football field, are you talking about opportunities?

Patrick Higgins   Goodbody Stockbrokers UC

Yes, I guess. Given the inflation pressures that food service operators, in particular, are facing now with labor. Does that open up? And it's kind of to Nigel's point in terms of your ability to manage that labor pressure is greater given your scale versus some of the food service operators. So where is the economies of scale or the kind of pivot point where it becomes more beneficial to work alongside you guys on it?

Andy Parton   Chief Commercial Officer

It is an opportunity. And I think there's two parts to that. I think Nigel was referencing actually us moving into new customers. And to your point, we can replicate a lot of what they do. But equally, it's happening already within our existing customers. The announcements are in the public domain. You'll have seen some of our customers over the last few months talk about actually rolling back from cafes and in-store prepared areas.

And as you can imagine, that's opening up a number of business development conversations for us about -- to your point, we've got the scale. We've got the ability to produce fresh products that replicate products that have been made in store. So there's a great opportunity for us there to bring the best of us to complement our retailers.

Unknown Analyst  

Charlie from HSBC. Could you sort of put in context what you're expecting food inflation to be versus your 3% to 5% because there's numbers out there in the market, including sort of 1% to 4%, which doesn't put your 3% to 5% miles out of touch. And then to ask a straight-up question, what do you think your addressable market in Ireland would be when you move in?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Well, Nigel, I'll let you come back on the addressable market and Andy to come in on the food inflation. But I think in the round when you're talking about materials, packaging and labor, we met with a large retailer the other day who said a number north of four. So I think there's real concerns out there.

You're obviously seeing a lot of movement in protein prices at the moment. You've got the NI and NLW coming through. So I think it's going to be three plus, but you live and breathe this.

Andy Parton   Chief Commercial Officer

Yes, I probably wouldn't add anything to that. But certainly, at the moment, there's quite a lot of volatility in markets. Some are down, some are up. We're probably thinking 1 to 2 points. But as you say, I think the environment is starting to strengthen a little bit when you include labor as well.

Unknown Analyst  

Is that at the lower end of your revenue range of 3%? If inflation comes in a 3% to 4%, you're not expecting volume rate?

Andy Parton   Chief Commercial Officer

I don't think it plays -- it depends on the categories and the mix of products as well. That's why we've got that range.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Charlie, you okay with that?

Unknown Analyst  

Yes.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Okay. Nigel?

Nigel Smith   Chief Strategy, Planning & Development Officer

Yes. In terms of addressable market, in rough terms, you're talking about 1/10 of the size of the U.K. markets, depending on what you are addressing. So rather than getting into individual categories. But whether it's sandwich, salad, sushi or otherwise, across the board, it's kind of as much population as anything else. You're talking about 1/10 of the size. The implication of that is it's never going to be a leg of the same scale as our U.K. business, but it is an important opportunity to use as a test ground, that internationalization potential that we outlined earlier on.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Clive?

Clive Black   Shore Capital Group

Yes. It's not a cheeky question, but what's your definition of medium term because over the years, we found that could be a very broad number? And when you get to the other end of the medium term and look back of those Cs, which will be the most important growth driver? And then secondly, do you have an aspired dividend cover level?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

I'm going to throw that to you, Catherine, in terms of your definition or our definition of medium term.

Catherine Gubbins   CFO & Executive Director

We understand the broadly accepted definition of medium term to be 3 to 5 years, 5, and we are aligned with that, I think, is how we put it.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Do you want to pickup the cover lever?

Catherine Gubbins   CFO & Executive Director

Yes. Look, we don't have an aspired dividend cover. We started low. Our dividend cover is fairly high. And I think we've indicated that we plan to grow the dividend progressively over the next number of years. So I think it will hopefully grow in line with earnings growth over that period.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

And look, I'll share some thoughts on whether it's category, channel or country at the end of that sort of medium-term horizon. I think it could go either way between category and channel. I think there's some really large categories out there. And Nigel showed north of 30, that are over GBP 200 million in size and growing over 7%. And then there's some really interesting channel work. So I think it could go either way for us. I think what we were trying to lay out today, Clive, is the opportunity. I think country, as we said, is probably a longer term.

Do you want any, yes, go. Sorry, Which way are you going? We're going this way first.

Unknown Analyst  

Matthew Abraham from Berenberg. First question does relate to the channels that you referenced. Just wondering if you can provide some color as to the underlying economics and the margins of those channels. Is the story here that as you have a greater presence in those channels that there's a different margin to the group?

And then second question relates to the categories. This morning, you outlined categories that are generating ROIC ahead of the weighted cost of capital and those that aren't. In the way that we think about M&A, is it likely to be the case that the first moves within the categories that are generating that ROIC ahead of WACC? Or would you proceed with M&A activity in categories where there's yet to be ROIC ahead of the weighted cost of capital?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Right. Two super questions there. Actually, interestingly enough, when we look at some of these channels, we're seeing businesses in there that have got significantly higher EBITDA margins than we've got today. Now there's some specific reasons in cases, but actually some of these channels can be very accretive.

Nigel Smith   Chief Strategy, Planning & Development Officer

Yes. I mean to add some color on that. It's quite varied across not just the individual channels that I talked about, but both pockets of activity within that and indeed, individual players. But amplifying some of what Dalton said, we -- it is possible because we can see it. We touched on food service a little bit earlier. There are players producing similar products to what we produce at higher margins than we're producing today, albeit a smaller scale.

And so there's something in that contrast that against direct-to-consumer where the kind of margin spread is very, very broad, and that's why I indicated we'll be thoughtful there in terms of what we might directly do versus who we might want to take on as a potential customer to ride that wave without needing to put capital to use in the same way.

And then I think there was a piece around M&A within categories in the consolidation space and any bias. We don't start from any kind of principle or philosophical point that says M&A opportunities must come from X, Y, Z category. We're driven by, Catherine used the word, North Star of returns. So where there's infill M&A that's possible in one of those larger or higher performing categories where we can drive decent returns, we'll do that. In some of the lower returning categories where indeed, perhaps industry structure is at the root cause of lower returns.

And we'll also be open to M&A there and indeed, other ways of realizing value. So returns rather than category bent is the guiding principle.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Damian?

Damian McNeela   Numis Securities Limited

Damian McNeela, Deutsche Numis. Can I just follow up just on what you just said there, Nigel, because in the context of delivering that 15% ROIC, and you sort of indicated that five currently of your categories aren't delivering WACC. Will you need all five of those categories to be delivering above WACC to hit the 15% or will there be an instance where you could have some divisions still not contributing above WACC?

Okay. So that's that. But would you consider exiting those then over the medium term, if you're not going to get WACC, I guess, is the question?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Yes, absolutely. I mean they've all got different timelines and plans in place. Some are going to be in the near term, some are further out. I think we've all agreed as a team, if they move off those tramlines and the trajectory there on, there's a whole different conversation. And we've shown that with our soup business last year. It's not in our DNA to shut businesses. This team is prepared to shut businesses.

Damian McNeela   Numis Securities Limited

Okay. And then the last one. Just what does the M&A environment look like? Are you sort of -- vendor expectations too high, lots of people willing to sell? Can you just give us an indication of what you're seeing in terms of targets, please?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Yes. Look, Nigel lives and breathes this. I think it was interesting from our slide that we had just been out of the market, Damian, for so long. My first year, I don't think I've got a single IM. And then we had to sort of literally call people and just say, "Hey, we're Greencore. We used to buy businesses. Now we're back in the market again." And obviously, the flows opened up. And look, it depends on the business in terms of the valuation.

Nigel Smith   Chief Strategy, Planning & Development Officer

Yes. I think there's been some moderation of value expectations over the last couple of years with -- well, not just interest rates, but also kind of comps, including publicly listed comps. I think also the kind of inheritance tax changes that have flowed through or at least prospective changes there have -- for businesses, more at the family owned end of the spectrum has also kind of led to some moderation. But equally, as we and others in our peer set have gained in value, any good negotiator on the other side of that table is also pointing to that performance as well.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Okay. Peter?

Unknown Analyst  

Peter van Rodden Hallador. Just on the M&A multiples, how do they compare to your current multiple? And how does that factor into potential share buybacks?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Well, I'll obviously, well, do you want to just take it?

Catherine Gubbins   CFO & Executive Director

Yes. Look, I mean, I think -- thanks for the question, Peter. I think look, as we set out in the capital allocation flow, we will -- we are absolutely open to looking for M&A opportunities that we feel are value accretive. I'll let Nigel talk about the multiples that we're actually seeing. From recollection, a lot of the ones that we're seeing are slightly higher than how we're currently valued ourselves.

But I suppose, from our perspective, we are open to potential M&A. That's where we're looking to allocate capital. If it's generating returns to shareholders, where we have excess cash, we will be doing buybacks. I think we're pretty clear on that.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Yes. And look, on the multiple, we're just not prepared to overpay, Peter. And I can't tell you how many have -- I mean we've got a great big funnel. We review it on a very regular basis. But I think there's so much opportunity in the core business today. You get apps that you could be playing schoolyard football and being distracted by M&A.

The right opportunities will come our way and when they're right, it's because there is a strategic fit, it does fit with our environmental strategy and is accretive to you as a shareholder. We aren't going to move otherwise.

Gary Martin   Davy

It's Gary Martin here from Davy. Maybe just one kind of multipronged one for me, just on the 15% additional capacity that's available. Would it be possible to maybe just get a bit more insight as to maybe the areas of the business where that -- where there is a degree of slack when it comes to laying capacity?

And maybe just as an additional kind of follow-on to that, is that slack more so centered around those areas of the business with sub WACC, ROIC? And is it about kind of filling that capacity with a margin-accretive business? Is that the best way to think about it?

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Thanks. Great. Look, it's always going to be margin accretive. We're not -- we're just not going to go back to the old days. But Lee, live and breathe this.

Lee Finney   COO

Yes. As I mentioned earlier, we're pretty forensic on how we look at capacity in the business. And we, Andy and I, are always looking at how we can margin the business up. So we have a pipeline of opportunities against certain capital opportunities or certain capacity release opportunities, and we go and target that always with the view that, that will be margin enhancing.

And we run that cycle through our IBP process, our integrated business planning process every month, like every month. And as the rough cut capacity plan changes, which it will do, it will ebb and flow for a number of reasons. We are continually adjusting our expectations of where we can hunt additional margin accretive volume. So it's a very dynamic process, but it's always with the view that we're going to margin the business.

Dalton Philips   CEO & Executive Director

Well, I mean for example, ready meals, we've still got capacity there. But as you saw, like there's been just an incredible turnaround on our ready meals business. So we'll fill it accretively.

Okay. If there's no other questions. We will start to wrap up. So let me just share some thoughts with you as we sort of close and head towards being with the chefs.

First, I just really want to thank you. I think I speak for all my colleagues here and the other 20 or so people that you've met today. We're really grateful for you giving us this time. We know you've got busy agendas.

We set out with the purpose of covering 4 areas with you today. So we wanted to highlight the strength and depth of our team. And you've definitely seen that today. We wanted to bring to life the opportunities for strengthening the core, and you all have seen that today.

We wanted to share our vision for growth and expansion beyond the core, and you all definitely have seen that. And finally, we wanted to outline our medium-term financial targets, and Catherine has done that today.

So that's what we set out to achieve. And I talked at the beginning this morning about what I counted in 2022. I talked about where I see Greencore today.

Let me just sort of close out and tell you how I feel about Greencore today, which is a slightly a different approach. And that's just to say, I feel really, really privileged to be a part of this team, and I feel privileged because I get to work with really great people. You've met a lot of really good people today.

It's a really good team. I really enjoy working with them. So I got to work with great people. I get to work in a business with a real sense of purpose and ambition. You've certainly heard that today with a very detailed road map towards success, and we've absolutely shared that, our Greencore Way, a total blueprint to drive the business forward with just multiple opportunities right across the business.

And I won't even go through them, but some of the examples we've seen today, maximizing returns in our categories, commercially leveraging that 15% capacity that's been unlocked, product development, innovation, enhancing our OpEx through network standardization, next-gen automation.

Look, that's just a short list. There's a much longer list. And all of that, before we consider the possibilities of expanding into new categories or channels or countries through organic or in time, inorganic opportunities. And look, that all rolls up into quite a significant set of financial targets, ambitious and going way beyond anything that this business has gone to before.

So there's a whole ton of things to go at, and we go at it with a level of confidence because we know that this team that you've met today, the 30-odd people, they've built momentum into this business, and momentum is so hard to get. And when you get it, and you've not had it before, you do not let it go.

And that's why we run the business with such rigor and discipline because we know you need to be on it 24/7 and it needs a sort of a relentless ruthless approach to managing it because otherwise, it will slip from your fingers.

So on behalf of this team, I really want to emphasize to you, we really feel like we just getting started. The future holds incredible opportunities for this business, which we've shared with you today and which we will demonstrate to you over the coming period.

So I'll wrap it at that. We'll go back upstairs again. We'll go to that great food room for lunch, opportunity to taste many of our products, to meet the chefs. And of course, we'll all be around for any further questions you might have. And I'll close it there. Thank you very much.