Projected Income Statement: Experian plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,137 3,917 3,897 3,954 4,648 4,357 3,495 2,699
Change - -5.32% -0.51% 1.46% 17.55% -6.26% -19.78% -22.78%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 18/05/22 17/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 422 485 627 640 651 717.2 733.5 739.2
Change - 14.93% 29.28% 2.07% 1.72% 10.17% 2.27% 0.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,066 1,311 1,090 1,107 1,354 1,536 1,800 2,012
Change - 22.98% -16.86% 1.56% 22.31% 13.45% 17.15% 11.81%
Announcement Date 19/05/21 18/05/22 17/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 34.23% 33.86% 34.39% 34.51% 34.96% 35.62% 36.05% 36.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 25.8% 26.16% 27.1% 27.17% 27.69% 28.44% 28.82% 29.53%
EBT Margin (%) 20.05% 23.01% 17.74% 21.85% 20.59% 24.16% 24.99% 27.03%
Net margin (%) 14.95% 18.53% 11.63% 16.89% 15.5% 17.53% 18.58% 19.78%
FCF margin (%) 19.84% 20.85% 16.47% 15.6% 18% 18.23% 19.68% 20.35%
FCF / Net Income (%) 132.75% 112.53% 141.56% 92.33% 116.12% 103.99% 105.89% 102.87%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.89% 10.86% 7.08% 10.62% 11.66% 11.73% 12.46% 13.31%
ROE 35.03% 32.28% 19.5% 28% 29.6% 29.98% 28.93% 29.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.25x 1.84x 1.71x 1.61x 1.77x 1.45x 1.06x 0.75x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.88x 2.99x 3.58x 3.57x 3.43x 2.84x 1.94x 1.34x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.86% 7.71% 9.47% 9.02% 8.65% 8.51% 8.02% 7.48%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.95% 22.78% 27.55% 26.13% 24.75% 23.89% 22.25% 20.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 39.59% 36.99% 57.52% 57.81% 48.08% 46.69% 40.76% 36.74%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.63 1.95 1.864 1.897 2.175 2.535 2.932 3.268
Change - 19.65% -4.4% 1.75% 14.64% 16.58% 15.64% 11.48%
Dividend per Share 1 0.47 0.5175 0.5475 0.585 0.625 0.7014 0.7833 0.8787
Change - 10.11% 5.8% 6.85% 6.84% 12.23% 11.67% 12.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.359 4.304 4.266 5.032 5.482 6.203 7.434 8.686
Change - 28.15% -0.89% 17.94% 8.95% 13.15% 19.86% 16.84%
EPS 1 0.876 1.248 0.836 1.302 1.265 1.63 1.857 2.139
Change - 42.47% -33.01% 55.74% -2.84% 28.84% 13.93% 15.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 913,434 914,038 912,453 912,895 913,734 905,186 905,186 905,186
Announcement Date 19/05/21 18/05/22 17/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 22.7x 19.9x
PBR 5.96x 4.97x
EV / Sales 4.49x 4.04x
Yield 1.9% 2.12%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
36.94USD
Average target price
56.79USD
Spread / Average Target
+53.71%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. EXPN Stock
  4. Financials Experian plc