Projected Income Statement: Evolution Mining Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Evolution Mining Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 476 1,287 1,788 1,626 1,016 -80.7 -994 -1,931
Change - 170.38% 38.93% -9.06% -37.52% -107.94% -1,131.72% -94.27%
Announcement Date 18/08/21 17/08/22 16/08/23 13/08/24 12/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Evolution Mining Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 432.8 669.1 838.7 918.3 1,176 1,144 1,065 1,102
Change - 54.59% 25.34% 9.49% 28.11% -2.73% -6.93% 3.51%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 319.7 -1,051 -296.7 -226.4 790.2 1,577 2,002 2,083
Change - -428.87% 71.78% 23.68% 448.96% 99.62% 26.93% 4.02%
Announcement Date 18/08/21 17/08/22 16/08/23 13/08/24 12/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Evolution Mining Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 49.04% 43.53% 37.92% 47.06% 50.71% 59.03% 62.89% 62.1%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.31% 20.87% 14.55% 26.38% 33.64% 45.05% 48.04% 51.02%
EBT Margin (%) 26.62% 20.23% 10.5% 19.27% 29.31% 42.19% 49.81% 50.02%
Net margin (%) 18.52% 15.66% 7.34% 13.13% 21.28% 29.36% 33.95% 35.5%
FCF margin (%) 17.15% -50.91% -13.32% -7.04% 18.16% 27.66% 31.28% 31.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 92.58% -325.19% -181.46% -53.63% 85.32% 94.2% 92.14% 89.54%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.16% 6.11% 2.4% 6.19% 10.04% 17.07% 19.69% 19.3%
ROE 13.82% 11.17% 5% 12.96% 20.38% 29.31% 30.9% 27.44%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.52x 1.43x 2.12x 1.07x 0.46x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.49x -1.22x -6.03x -7.18x 1.29x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 23.22% 32.4% 37.66% 28.55% 27.03% 20.07% 16.64% 16.82%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 47.34% 74.44% 99.31% 60.68% 53.31% 34% 26.46% 27.09%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 135.39% -63.64% -282.67% -405.51% 148.87% 72.54% 53.19% 52.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4416 0.4252 0.3997 0.666 0.9855 1.267 1.512 1.493
Change - -3.71% -6% 66.62% 47.97% 28.54% 19.39% -1.26%
Dividend per Share 1 0.12 0.06 0.02 0.07 0.2 0.4428 0.5148 0.5226
Change - -50% -66.67% 250% 185.71% 121.42% 16.24% 1.52%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.51 1.89 2.11 2.35 2.81 3.014 3.564 4.16
Change - 25.17% 11.64% 11.37% 19.57% 7.25% 18.24% 16.74%
EPS 1 0.2014 0.177 0.0889 0.2195 0.4641 0.8328 1.079 1.107
Change - -12.12% -49.77% 146.91% 111.44% 79.44% 29.57% 2.6%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,708,667 1,833,008 1,835,016 1,985,878 2,002,481 2,031,560 2,031,560 2,031,560
Announcement Date 18/08/21 17/08/22 16/08/23 13/08/24 12/08/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 15.7x 12.1x
PBR 4.33x 3.66x
EV / Sales 4.64x 3.99x
Yield 3.39% 3.94%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
13.05AUD
Average target price
14.04AUD
Spread / Average Target
+7.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. EVN Stock
  4. Financials Evolution Mining Limited