Projected Income Statement: ERG S.p.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: ERG S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,439 2,051 - 1,445 1,793 1,978 1,943 1,898
Change - 42.53% - - 24.08% 10.32% -1.77% -2.32%
Announcement Date 12/03/21 15/03/22 15/03/23 13/03/24 11/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ERG S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 156.1 647 489 553 256.4 235.2 327.6
Change - 314.48% - 13.09% -53.64% -8.24% 39.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 283.9 -120 12 -68 230.5 243.2 187.3
Change - -142.27% - -666.67% 438.97% 5.5% -22.96%
Announcement Date 12/03/21 15/03/22 13/03/24 11/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ERG S.p.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 48.29% 46.66% 71.7% 70.18% 71.95% 68.4% 69.77% 70.32%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.41% 24.46% 41.12% 41.16% 34.28% 35.3% 37.82% 38.05%
EBT Margin (%) 6.66% 9.01% 24.97% 39.14% 30.22% 29.16% 30.27% 29.65%
Net margin (%) 10.84% 13.92% 50.6% 24.16% 25.34% 22.01% 24.05% 24.35%
FCF margin (%) 28.52% -9.65% - 1.62% -9.21% 28.1% 27.85% 20.85%
FCF / Net Income (%) 263.11% -69.36% - 6.7% -36.36% 127.64% 115.8% 85.62%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 5.98% 10.46% - 10.82% 8.74% 8.39% 9.52% 9.52%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.99x 3.54x - 2.78x 3.38x 3.53x 3.19x 3x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.07x -17.09x - 120.42x -26.37x 8.58x 7.99x 10.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.68% 52.05% - 65.99% 74.93% 31.25% 26.94% 36.47%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 32.47% 111.55% - 94.04% 104.14% 45.69% 38.61% 51.86%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 54.98% -539.17% - 4,075% -813.24% 111.23% 96.74% 174.89%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.956 3.53 - 3.356 3.323 2.946 3.219 3.209
Change - 19.42% - - -0.98% -11.34% 9.25% -0.3%
Dividend per Share 1 0.75 0.9 - 1 1 1.051 1.071 1.05
Change - 20% - - 0% 5.08% 1.96% -2%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.82 10.36 - 14.5 14.71 14.28 14.76 15.15
Change - -12.37% - - 1.47% -2.92% 3.36% 2.65%
EPS 1 0.7248 1.159 2.534 1.199 1.281 1.26 1.482 1.592
Change - 59.85% 118.76% -52.69% 6.86% -1.66% 17.65% 7.44%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 148,870 148,870 149,538 147,144 146,489 145,355 145,355 145,355
Announcement Date 12/03/21 15/03/22 15/03/23 13/03/24 11/03/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 16.9x 14.4x
PBR 1.49x 1.45x
EV / Sales 6.19x 5.78x
Yield 4.92% 5.02%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
21.34EUR
Average target price
23.42EUR
Spread / Average Target
+9.77%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ERG Stock
  4. Financials ERG S.p.A.