Projected Income Statement: Empresas Copec S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Empresas Copec S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,211 8,415 8,902 7,835 - 10,908 12,103 13,263
Change - 16.7% 5.79% -11.99% - - 10.96% 9.58%
Announcement Date 04/03/22 03/03/23 29/02/24 27/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Empresas Copec S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,662 1,713 1,310 1,283 3,181 2,644 1,346
Change - 3.08% -23.51% -2.11% - -16.88% -49.12%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 164.7 -512.9 232.3 832 -939.7 -11 1,234
Change - -411.4% 145.29% 258.16% - 98.83% 11,313.64%
Announcement Date 04/03/22 03/03/23 29/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Empresas Copec S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.9% 11.8% 7.89% 10.73% 9.21% 9.52% 9.94% 11.4%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.24% 7.66% 3.05% 5.63% 4.45% 4.65% 4.55% -
EBT Margin (%) 9.69% 6.28% 1.53% 5.55% 4.16% 3.43% 2.88% -
Net margin (%) 7.19% 4.77% 1.2% 3.95% 2.96% 2.71% 2.13% 1.87%
FCF margin (%) 0.66% -1.67% 0.8% 2.96% - -3.08% -0.04% 3.83%
FCF / Net Income (%) 9.25% -34.98% 66.58% 74.87% - -113.77% -1.69% 204.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.01% 5.46% 1.23% 3.89% - 3.9% 3.09% -
ROE 16.5% 12.73% 2.85% 8.76% - 5.24% 6.7% 8.85%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.09x 2.32x 3.87x 2.6x - 3.75x 3.99x 3.61x
Debt / Free cash flow 43.78x -16.41x 38.32x 9.42x - -11.61x -1,100.25x 10.75x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.7% 5.57% 4.49% 4.56% - 10.42% 8.66% 4.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.25% 47.19% 56.9% 42.54% - 109.49% 87.1% 36.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 1,009.02% -334.02% 564.11% 154.18% - -338.57% -24,038.96% 109.08%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.405 0.9234 1.187 1.627 - 1.108 1.39 -
Change - -34.29% 28.53% 37.08% - - 25.46% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.7133 0.517 0.1358 0.2325 - 0.2115 0.2172 0.29
Change - -27.52% -73.73% 71.21% - - 2.73% 33.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.463 9.264 9.551 9.97 - 11.34 11.88 -
Change - 9.47% 3.09% 4.39% - - 4.68% -
EPS 1 1.37 1.128 0.2684 0.8548 - 0.5788 0.4525 0.5
Change - -17.68% -76.2% 218.48% - - -21.82% 10.5%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,299,854 1,299,854 1,299,854 1,299,854 - 1,299,854 1,299,854 1,299,854
Announcement Date 04/03/22 03/03/23 29/02/24 27/02/25 - - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.1x 15.5x
PBR 0.62x 0.59x
EV / Sales 0.66x 0.7x
Yield 3.01% 3.09%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
7.029USD
Average target price
8.492USD
Spread / Average Target
+20.81%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. COPEC Stock
  4. Financials Empresas Copec S.A.
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