Projected Income Statement: Emperador Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Emperador Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 26,210 16,597 11,063 15,454 23,693 23,470 24,734 24,992
Change - -36.68% -33.34% 39.69% 53.31% -0.94% 5.39% 1.04%
Announcement Date 22/04/21 27/04/22 16/04/23 30/04/24 02/05/25 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Emperador Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,014 1,739 4,003 4,785 7,510 3,144 2,526 2,581
Change - 71.52% 130.23% 19.53% 56.96% -58.13% -19.65% 2.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,538 14,676 4,139 2,365 -2,209 6,671 2,838 2,983
Change - 124.45% -71.8% -42.86% -193.39% 402.04% -57.46% 5.13%
Announcement Date 22/04/21 27/04/22 16/04/23 30/04/24 02/05/25 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Emperador Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.86% 27.22% 21.99% 20.97% 18.49% 18.74% 19.25% 18.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.05% 25.18% 19.74% 19.07% 15.95% 14.42% 15.05% 15.07%
EBT Margin (%) 17.86% 23.05% 18.66% 16.67% 13.17% 11.99% 12.44% 13.31%
Net margin (%) 15.08% 17.83% 16.03% 13.26% 10.26% 10.63% 10.32% 11.14%
FCF margin (%) 12.38% 26.24% 6.59% 3.6% -3.58% 11.52% 4.47% 4.26%
FCF / Net Income (%) 82.07% 147.18% 41.14% 27.17% -34.94% 108.34% 43.3% 38.26%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.56% 7.95% 7.46% 6.01% 4.1% 4.09% 4.3% 4.62%
ROE 11.93% 13.82% 12.19% 9.6% 6.54% 5.77% 6.27% 7.06%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.27x 1.09x 0.8x 1.12x 2.08x 2.16x 2.02x 1.94x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.01x 1.13x 2.67x 6.53x -10.73x 3.52x 8.72x 8.38x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.92% 3.11% 6.38% 7.29% 12.18% 5.43% 3.98% 3.69%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.78% 11.42% 29% 34.76% 65.88% 28.98% 20.66% 20%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 15.5% 11.85% 96.72% 202.32% -340.02% 47.13% 89.03% 86.5%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.718 0.9551 0.8863 0.4379 0.7024 0.5486 0.545 0.6086
Change - 33.04% -7.21% -50.59% 60.4% -21.9% -0.65% 11.68%
Dividend per Share 1 0.11 0.23 0.29 0.24 0.19 0.1939 0.1715 0.2056
Change - 109.09% 26.09% -17.24% -20.83% 2.07% -11.58% 19.89%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.25 4.939 5.577 5.969 6.316 6.403 6.643 6.932
Change - 16.21% 12.92% 7.03% 5.83% 1.37% 3.75% 4.35%
EPS 1 0.5 0.63 0.64 0.53 0.39 0.3925 0.4113 0.4876
Change - 26% 1.59% -17.19% -26.42% 0.64% 4.8% 18.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 15,846,333 15,736,471 15,736,471 15,736,471 15,736,471 15,742,471 15,742,471 15,742,471
Announcement Date 22/04/21 27/04/22 16/04/23 30/04/24 02/05/25 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 39.5x 37.7x
PBR 2.42x 2.33x
EV / Sales 4.62x 4.23x
Yield 1.25% 1.11%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
15.50PHP
Average target price
9.960PHP
Spread / Average Target
-35.74%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. EMI Stock
  4. Financials Emperador Inc.