Projected Income Statement: ELF Beauty

Forecast Balance Sheet: ELF Beauty

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 53.5 -54.3 154 108 550 443 319 -0.81
Change - -201.5% 383.61% -29.87% 409.26% -19.41% -27.99% -100.25%
Announcement Date 25/05/22 24/05/23 22/05/24 28/05/25 20/05/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ELF Beauty

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 4.818 1.723 8.659 18.52 22.45 43.64 53.86 27.17
Change - -64.24% 402.55% 113.88% 21.21% 94.4% 23.41% -49.55%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 14.7 100.2 62.5 115.3 190.1 151 95 -
Change - 581.59% -37.6% 84.53% 64.81% -20.55% -37.09% -100%
Announcement Date 25/05/22 24/05/23 22/05/24 28/05/25 20/05/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ELF Beauty

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.05% 20.17% 22.93% 22.6% 20.48% 20.28% 20.38% 21%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.33% 17.39% 19.37% 18.64% 11% 16.43% 16.56% 16.87%
EBT Margin (%) 6.48% 11.07% 13.77% 11.08% 2.47% 9.69% 10.44% -
Net margin (%) 5.55% 10.63% 12.47% 8.53% 1.61% 8.12% 8.16% 7.33%
FCF margin (%) 3.75% 17.3% 6.1% 8.78% 11.61% 8.13% 4.76% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 67.5% 162.78% 48.95% 102.88% 722.17% 100.09% 58.3% -

Profitability

        
ROA 9.21% 16.84% 21.31% 9.43% 10.21% 6.84% 7.17% 6.77%
ROE 15.54% 25.38% 34.88% 15.97% 19.66% 15.29% 14.45% 12.25%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.72x - 0.66x 0.36x 1.64x 1.18x 0.78x -
Debt / Free cash flow 3.64x - 2.46x 0.94x 2.89x 2.93x 3.36x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.23% 0.3% 0.85% 1.41% 1.37% 2.35% 2.7% 1.27%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 6.45% 1.48% 3.69% 6.24% 6.7% 11.58% 13.24% 6.07%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 32.79% 1.72% 13.86% 16.06% 11.81% 28.9% 56.69% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 1.841 1.231 2.294 3.581 1.97 4.505 5.448
Change - - -33.12% 86.3% 56.09% -44.97% 128.64% 20.92%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 6.133 7.644 11.56 13.04 19.13 22.22 25.34 28.9
Change - 24.63% 51.24% 12.8% 46.71% 16.12% 14.05% 14.07%
EPS 1 0.41 1.11 2.21 1.92 0.44 2.338 2.678 -
Change - 170.73% 99.1% -13.12% -77.08% 431.28% 14.56% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 52,121 53,295 55,507 56,399 59,052 59,441 59,441 59,441
Announcement Date 25/05/22 24/05/23 22/05/24 28/05/25 20/05/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E ratio 22.4x 19.5x
PBR 2.35x 2.06x
EV / Sales 1.91x 1.72x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
52.28USD
Average target price
72.40USD
Spread / Average Target
+38.49%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ELF Stock
  4. Financials ELF Beauty
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