|
End-of-day quote
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 2,630.00 COP | +3.34% |
|
+8.23% | +40.64% |
| 07-10 | LatAm assets head for weekly advance as risk appetite improves | RE |
| 07-09 | LatAm currencies gain as easing oil prices lift risk appetite, stocks mixed | RE |
Company Valuation: Ecopetrol S.A.
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 110,603,909 | 99,502,401 | 96,213,066 | 68,870,464 | 76,888,219 | 108,136,907 | - | - |
| Change | - | -10.04% | -3.31% | -28.42% | 11.64% | 40.64% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 189,487,781 | 198,074,055 | 187,831,550 | 173,929,477 | 173,556,219 | 199,997,045 | 196,736,110 | 192,851,820 |
| Change | - | 4.53% | -5.17% | -7.4% | -0.21% | 15.23% | -1.63% | -1.97% |
| P/E | 6.63x | 3.15x | 4.57x | 4.61x | 8.52x | 6.09x | 6.81x | 7.2x |
| PBR | 1.54x | 1.15x | 1.23x | 0.82x | 0.92x | 1.27x | 1.2x | 1.11x |
| PEG | - | 0x | -0.1x | -0.2x | -0.2x | 0.1x | -0.6x | -1.31x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.21x | 0.62x | 0.67x | 0.52x | 0.64x | 0.86x | 0.89x | 0.91x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.07x | 1.24x | 1.31x | 1.3x | 1.45x | 1.59x | 1.63x | 1.62x |
| EV / EBITDA | 4.52x | 2.63x | 3.09x | 3.21x | 3.72x | 3.71x | 3.92x | 3.96x |
| EV / EBIT | 6.4x | 3.28x | 4.29x | 4.63x | 6.51x | 5.29x | 5.84x | 6.02x |
| EV / FCF | 19.6x | 12.8x | -53.5x | 6.94x | 14.6x | 17.2x | 15.1x | 17x |
| FCF Yield | 5.11% | 7.83% | -1.87% | 14.4% | 6.86% | 5.81% | 6.63% | 5.87% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 243 | 487 | - | - | - | 136.3 | 146.9 | 219.6 |
| Rate of return | 9.03% | 20.1% | - | - | - | 5.18% | 5.59% | 8.35% |
| EPS 2 | 406 | 768.7 | 512.2 | 363.2 | 219.6 | 431.6 | 386.2 | 365 |
| Distribution rate | 59.9% | 63.4% | - | - | - | 31.6% | 38% | 60.2% |
| Net sales 1 | 91,744,000 | 159,474,000 | 143,079,000 | 133,328,000 | 119,694,000 | 125,724,943 | 120,903,552 | 119,344,052 |
| EBITDA 1 | 41,967,000 | 75,244,000 | 60,718,000 | 54,143,000 | 46,676,000 | 53,960,637 | 50,158,394 | 48,712,460 |
| EBIT 1 | 29,594,000 | 60,381,000 | 43,746,000 | 37,593,000 | 26,656,000 | 37,826,923 | 33,675,721 | 32,016,198 |
| Net income 1 | 16,695,000 | 33,406,000 | 19,062,000 | 14,935,000 | 9,029,000 | 14,966,996 | 12,250,758 | 11,281,285 |
| Net Debt 1 | 78,883,872 | 98,571,654 | 91,618,484 | 105,059,013 | 96,668,000 | 91,860,138 | 88,599,203 | 84,714,913 |
| Reference price 2 | 2,690.00 | 2,420.00 | 2,340.00 | 1,675.00 | 1,870.00 | 2,630.00 | 2,630.00 | 2,630.00 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 01/03/22 | 28/02/23 | 29/02/24 | 04/03/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
1COP in Million2COP
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.09x | 1.59x | 3.71x | 5.18% | 33.2B | ||
| 10.98x | 2.15x | 5.09x | 3.02% | 136B | ||
| 11.05x | 3.06x | 5.7x | 4.16% | 88.81B | ||
| 7.84x | 2.66x | 4.49x | 2.99% | 73.51B | ||
| 8x | 2.55x | 4.06x | 1.88% | 54.28B | ||
| 12.63x | 3.53x | 5.08x | 2.27% | 53.64B | ||
| 8.79x | 1.32x | 4.58x | 2.21% | 51.6B | ||
| 9.53x | 2.4x | 4.59x | 2.71% | 50.06B | ||
| 10.92x | 3.12x | 4.62x | 6.96% | 40.12B | ||
| 10.43x | 3.82x | 5.44x | 1.32% | 31.16B | ||
| Average | 9.63x | 2.62x | 4.74x | 3.27% | 61.27B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 9.89x | 2.57x | 4.84x | 3.21% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
- Stock Market
- Stocks
- ECOPETROL Stock
- Valuation Ecopetrol S.A.
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