Company Valuation: Ecopetrol S.A.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 110,603,909 99,502,401 96,213,066 68,870,464 76,888,219 108,136,907 - -
Change - -10.04% -3.31% -28.42% 11.64% 40.64% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 189,487,781 198,074,055 187,831,550 173,929,477 173,556,219 199,997,045 196,736,110 192,851,820
Change - 4.53% -5.17% -7.4% -0.21% 15.23% -1.63% -1.97%
P/E 6.63x 3.15x 4.57x 4.61x 8.52x 6.09x 6.81x 7.2x
PBR 1.54x 1.15x 1.23x 0.82x 0.92x 1.27x 1.2x 1.11x
PEG - 0x -0.1x -0.2x -0.2x 0.1x -0.6x -1.31x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.21x 0.62x 0.67x 0.52x 0.64x 0.86x 0.89x 0.91x
EV / Revenue 2.07x 1.24x 1.31x 1.3x 1.45x 1.59x 1.63x 1.62x
EV / EBITDA 4.52x 2.63x 3.09x 3.21x 3.72x 3.71x 3.92x 3.96x
EV / EBIT 6.4x 3.28x 4.29x 4.63x 6.51x 5.29x 5.84x 6.02x
EV / FCF 19.6x 12.8x -53.5x 6.94x 14.6x 17.2x 15.1x 17x
FCF Yield 5.11% 7.83% -1.87% 14.4% 6.86% 5.81% 6.63% 5.87%
Dividend per Share 2 243 487 - - - 136.3 146.9 219.6
Rate of return 9.03% 20.1% - - - 5.18% 5.59% 8.35%
EPS 2 406 768.7 512.2 363.2 219.6 431.6 386.2 365
Distribution rate 59.9% 63.4% - - - 31.6% 38% 60.2%
Net sales 1 91,744,000 159,474,000 143,079,000 133,328,000 119,694,000 125,724,943 120,903,552 119,344,052
EBITDA 1 41,967,000 75,244,000 60,718,000 54,143,000 46,676,000 53,960,637 50,158,394 48,712,460
EBIT 1 29,594,000 60,381,000 43,746,000 37,593,000 26,656,000 37,826,923 33,675,721 32,016,198
Net income 1 16,695,000 33,406,000 19,062,000 14,935,000 9,029,000 14,966,996 12,250,758 11,281,285
Net Debt 1 78,883,872 98,571,654 91,618,484 105,059,013 96,668,000 91,860,138 88,599,203 84,714,913
Reference price 2 2,690.00 2,420.00 2,340.00 1,675.00 1,870.00 2,630.00 2,630.00 2,630.00
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 41,116,695 41,116,695 41,116,695 41,116,695 41,116,695 41,116,695 - -
Announcement Date 01/03/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 04/03/25 04/03/26 - - -
1COP in Million2COP
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
6.09x1.59x3.71x5.18% 33.2B
10.98x2.15x5.09x3.02% 136B
11.05x3.06x5.7x4.16% 88.81B
7.84x2.66x4.49x2.99% 73.51B
8x2.55x4.06x1.88% 54.28B
12.63x3.53x5.08x2.27% 53.64B
8.79x1.32x4.58x2.21% 51.6B
9.53x2.4x4.59x2.71% 50.06B
10.92x3.12x4.62x6.96% 40.12B
10.43x3.82x5.44x1.32% 31.16B
Average 9.63x 2.62x 4.74x 3.27% 61.27B
Weighted average by Cap. 9.89x 2.57x 4.84x 3.21%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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