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End-of-day quote
Other stock markets
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 2,590.00 COP | -1.52% |
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+1.57% | +38.50% |
| 07-10 | LatAm assets head for weekly advance as risk appetite improves | RE |
| 07-09 | LatAm currencies gain as easing oil prices lift risk appetite, stocks mixed | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 91,744,000 | 159,474,000 | 143,079,000 | 133,328,000 | 119,694,000 | 125,724,943 | 120,903,552 | 119,344,052 |
| Change | - | 73.82% | -10.28% | -6.82% | -10.23% | 5.04% | -3.83% | -1.29% |
| EBITDA 1 | 41,967,000 | 75,244,000 | 60,718,000 | 54,143,000 | 46,676,000 | 53,960,637 | 50,158,394 | 48,712,460 |
| Change | - | 79.29% | -19.31% | -10.83% | -13.79% | 15.61% | -7.05% | -2.88% |
| EBIT 1 | 29,594,000 | 60,381,000 | 43,746,000 | 37,593,000 | 26,656,000 | 37,826,923 | 33,675,721 | 32,016,198 |
| Change | - | 104.03% | -27.55% | -14.07% | -29.09% | 41.91% | -10.97% | -4.93% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -4,028,056 | -6,710,107 | -8,063,096 | -8,571,515 | -8,528,000 | -7,957,084 | -6,573,565 | -6,707,762 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 26,322,000 | 54,026,000 | 36,788,000 | 30,705,000 | 18,861,000 | 26,982,073 | 26,897,023 | 27,408,685 |
| Change | - | 105.25% | -31.91% | -16.54% | -38.57% | 43.06% | -0.32% | 1.9% |
| Net income 1 | 16,695,000 | 33,406,000 | 19,062,000 | 14,935,000 | 9,029,000 | 14,966,996 | 12,250,758 | 11,281,285 |
| Change | - | 100.1% | -42.94% | -21.65% | -39.54% | 65.77% | -18.15% | -7.91% |
| Announcement Date | 01/03/22 | 28/02/23 | 29/02/24 | 04/03/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 78,883,872 | 98,571,654 | 91,618,484 | 105,059,013 | 96,668,000 | 91,860,138 | 88,599,203 | 84,714,913 |
| Change | - | 24.96% | -7.05% | 14.67% | -7.99% | -4.97% | -3.55% | -4.38% |
| Announcement Date | 01/03/22 | 28/02/23 | 29/02/24 | 04/03/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 12,850,616 | 20,731,000 | 23,314,320 | 20,061,877 | 20,325,000 | 22,396,596 | 22,184,606 | 22,327,548 |
| Change | - | 61.32% | 12.46% | -13.95% | 1.31% | 10.19% | -0.95% | 0.64% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 9,685,405 | 15,504,000 | -3,513,768 | 25,065,639 | 11,908,000 | 11,627,412 | 13,044,534 | 11,315,872 |
| Change | - | 60.08% | -122.66% | 813.35% | -52.49% | -2.36% | 12.19% | -13.25% |
| Announcement Date | 01/03/22 | 28/02/23 | 29/02/24 | 04/03/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 45.74% | 47.18% | 42.44% | 40.61% | 39% | 42.92% | 41.49% | 40.82% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 32.26% | 37.86% | 30.57% | 28.2% | 22.27% | 30.09% | 27.85% | 26.83% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 28.69% | 33.88% | 25.71% | 23.03% | 15.76% | 21.46% | 22.25% | 22.97% |
| Net margin (%) | 18.2% | 20.95% | 13.32% | 11.2% | 7.54% | 11.9% | 10.13% | 9.45% |
| FCF margin (%) | 10.56% | 9.72% | -2.46% | 18.8% | 9.95% | 9.25% | 10.79% | 9.48% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 58.01% | 46.41% | -18.43% | 167.83% | 131.89% | 77.69% | 106.48% | 100.31% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 8.7% | 12.25% | 6.48% | 5.12% | 3.11% | 6.13% | 4.99% | 4.58% |
| ROE | 26.96% | 43.2% | 22.5% | 18.43% | 10.86% | 17.57% | 15.6% | 13.29% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.88x | 1.31x | 1.51x | 1.94x | 2.07x | 1.7x | 1.77x | 1.74x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 8.14x | 6.36x | -26.07x | 4.19x | 8.12x | 7.9x | 6.79x | 7.49x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 14.01% | 13% | 16.29% | 15.05% | 16.98% | 17.81% | 18.35% | 18.71% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 30.62% | 27.55% | 38.4% | 37.05% | 43.54% | 41.51% | 44.23% | 45.84% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 132.68% | 133.71% | -663.51% | 80.04% | 170.68% | 192.62% | 170.07% | 197.31% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 548.1 | 881.3 | 532 | 1,098 | 810.9 | 848 | 1,130 | - |
| Change | - | 60.79% | -39.63% | 106.29% | -26.12% | 4.57% | 33.22% | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 243 | 487 | - | - | - | 136.3 | 146.9 | 219.6 |
| Change | - | 100.41% | - | - | - | - | 7.8% | 49.52% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 1,745 | 2,095 | 1,907 | 2,036 | 2,037 | 2,069 | 2,183 | 2,374 |
| Change | - | 20.1% | -9.01% | 6.77% | 0.08% | 1.56% | 5.51% | 8.77% |
| EPS 1 | 406 | 768.7 | 512.2 | 363.2 | 219.6 | 431.6 | 386.2 | 365 |
| Change | - | 89.33% | -33.37% | -29.09% | -39.54% | 96.55% | -10.51% | -5.49% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 |
| Announcement Date | 01/03/22 | 28/02/23 | 29/02/24 | 04/03/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 6x | 6.71x |
| PBR | 1.25x | 1.19x |
| EV / Sales | 1.58x | 1.61x |
| Yield | 5.26% | 5.67% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Global
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Quality
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- ECOPETROL Stock
- Financials Ecopetrol S.A.
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