Projected Income Statement: Diageo plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,871 16,657 19,195 20,371 21,548 20,572 17,869 16,005
Change - -1.27% 15.24% 6.13% 5.78% -4.53% -13.14% -10.43%
Announcement Date 29/07/21 28/07/22 01/08/23 30/07/24 05/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 874.5 1,330 1,504 1,510 1,549 1,212 1,190 1,135
Change - 52.14% 13.02% 0.42% 2.58% -21.78% -1.79% -4.59%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,230 3,442 3,511 2,595 2,748 3,066 3,376 3,574
Change - -18.63% 2% -26.08% 5.9% 11.56% 10.13% 5.86%
Announcement Date 29/07/21 28/07/22 01/08/23 30/07/24 05/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Diageo plc

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.93% 36.4% 35.76% 34.72% 32.82% 32.6% 32.43% 32.78%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.42% 31.04% 30.7% 29.33% 28.17% 28.68% 28.41% 28.65%
EBT Margin (%) 29.11% 28.39% 27.67% 26.94% 17.47% 24.33% 25.6% 27.16%
Net margin (%) 20.89% 21.03% 21.82% 19.09% 11.63% 17.44% 17.92% 19.06%
FCF margin (%) 23.78% 18.37% 16.1% 12.8% 13.57% 15.69% 17.33% 17.85%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.83% 87.35% 73.78% 67.05% 116.74% 89.97% 96.68% 93.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.41% 10.28% 10.26% 8.88% 7.7% 7.04% 7.27% 7.38%
ROE 40.18% 47.91% 47.39% 40.35% 34.54% 29.16% 25.19% 23.13%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.88x 2.44x 2.46x 2.89x 3.24x 3.23x 2.83x 2.44x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.99x 4.84x 5.47x 7.85x 7.84x 6.71x 5.29x 4.48x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.92% 7.1% 6.9% 7.45% 7.65% 6.2% 6.11% 5.67%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.93% 19.5% 19.28% 21.46% 23.31% 19.02% 18.83% 17.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.67% 38.65% 42.83% 58.19% 56.37% 39.52% 35.24% 31.77%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.171 2.053 1.697 1.833 1.929 2.032 2.065 2.198
Change - -5.45% -17.33% 8.05% 5.19% 5.37% 1.63% 6.45%
Dividend per Share 1 1.013 0.9239 1.019 1.035 1.035 0.5647 0.6253 0.6465
Change - -8.84% 10.34% 1.51% 0% -45.43% 10.74% 3.38%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.11 4.151 4.394 4.491 4.991 5.801 6.854 7.886
Change - 1% 5.84% 2.21% 11.14% 16.24% 18.15% 15.05%
EPS 1 1.584 1.694 2.095 1.728 1.057 1.53 1.597 1.742
Change - 6.95% 23.65% -17.52% -38.83% 44.73% 4.36% 9.08%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,334,775 2,278,906 2,245,879 2,219,979 2,222,295 2,223,497 2,223,497 2,223,497
Announcement Date 29/07/21 28/07/22 01/08/23 30/07/24 05/08/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 13.4x 12.9x
PBR 3.54x 3x
EV / Sales 3.39x 3.26x
Yield 2.75% 3.04%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
20.56USD
Average target price
26.47USD
Spread / Average Target
+28.77%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DGE Stock
  4. Financials Diageo plc
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