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Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 47.06 EUR | +0.22% |
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+2.46% | +38.40% |
| 12-15 | WSI Institute: Real wages to rise slightly in 2025 – losses not recouped | RE |
| 12-11 | DHL Group Unit to Establish EUR24 Million Service Center in Egypt | MT |
Projected Income Statement: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 66,806 | 81,747 | 94,436 | 81,758 | 84,186 | 83,531 | 85,461 | 88,658 |
| Change | - | 22.36% | 15.52% | -13.42% | 2.97% | -0.78% | 2.31% | 3.74% |
| EBITDA 1 | 8,677 | 11,746 | 12,613 | 10,822 | 10,606 | 10,973 | 11,366 | 11,996 |
| Change | - | 35.37% | 7.38% | -14.2% | -2% | 3.46% | 3.59% | 5.54% |
| EBIT 1 | 4,847 | 7,978 | 8,436 | 6,345 | 5,886 | 6,077 | 6,407 | 6,907 |
| Change | - | 64.6% | 5.74% | -24.79% | -7.23% | 3.24% | 5.43% | 7.8% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -618 | -619 | -525 | -829 | -823 | -839.9 | -878.4 | -837.4 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 4,171 | 7,359 | 7,911 | 5,516 | 5,063 | 5,208 | 5,376 | 5,815 |
| Change | - | 76.43% | 7.5% | -30.27% | -8.21% | 2.86% | 3.22% | 8.17% |
| Net income 1 | 2,979 | 5,053 | 5,359 | 3,677 | 3,332 | 3,488 | 3,670 | 3,969 |
| Change | - | 69.62% | 6.06% | -31.39% | -9.38% | 4.68% | 5.21% | 8.17% |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 06/03/24 | 06/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 12,928 | 16,366 | 15,856 | 17,739 | 18,998 | 21,863 | 22,664 | 22,214 |
| Change | - | 26.59% | -3.12% | 11.88% | 7.1% | 15.08% | 3.66% | -1.99% |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 06/03/24 | 06/03/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 2,999 | 3,546 | 4,123 | 3,370 | 3,066 | 3,176 | 3,289 | 3,383 |
| Change | - | 18.24% | 16.27% | -18.26% | -9.02% | 3.59% | 3.56% | 2.85% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 2,535 | 4,092 | 3,067 | 2,942 | 5,656 | 2,971 | 2,966 | 3,328 |
| Change | - | 61.42% | -25.05% | -4.08% | 92.25% | -47.47% | -0.19% | 12.22% |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 06/03/24 | 06/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: DHL Group
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 12.99% | 14.37% | 13.36% | 13.24% | 12.6% | 13.14% | 13.3% | 13.53% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 7.26% | 9.76% | 8.93% | 7.76% | 6.99% | 7.27% | 7.5% | 7.79% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 6.24% | 9% | 8.38% | 6.75% | 6.01% | 6.23% | 6.29% | 6.56% |
| Net margin (%) | 4.46% | 6.18% | 5.67% | 4.5% | 3.96% | 4.18% | 4.29% | 4.48% |
| FCF margin (%) | 3.79% | 5.01% | 3.25% | 3.6% | 6.72% | 3.56% | 3.47% | 3.75% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 85.1% | 80.98% | 57.23% | 80.01% | 169.75% | 85.19% | 80.81% | 83.84% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 5.54% | 8.5% | 8.13% | 7.98% | 7.41% | 4.94% | 5.01% | 5.48% |
| ROE | 21.36% | 30.8% | 25.35% | 19.22% | 17.71% | 14.94% | 15.49% | 16.14% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.49x | 1.39x | 1.26x | 1.64x | 1.79x | 1.99x | 1.99x | 1.85x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 5.1x | 4x | 5.17x | 6.03x | 3.36x | 7.36x | 7.64x | 6.68x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.49% | 4.34% | 4.37% | 4.12% | 3.64% | 3.8% | 3.85% | 3.82% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 34.56% | 30.19% | 32.69% | 31.14% | 28.91% | 28.94% | 28.94% | 28.2% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 118.3% | 86.66% | 134.43% | 114.55% | 54.21% | 106.89% | 110.91% | 101.65% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 6.22 | 8.11 | 9.03 | 7.79 | 7.343 | 6.391 | 6.259 | 6.068 |
| Change | - | 30.39% | 11.34% | -13.73% | -5.74% | -12.96% | -2.07% | -3.05% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.35 | 1.8 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.86 | 1.919 | 2.008 |
| Change | - | 33.33% | 2.78% | 0% | 0% | 0.56% | 3.15% | 4.63% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 11.14 | 15.45 | 19.14 | 16.01 | 15.95 | 20.72 | 21.65 | 23.19 |
| Change | - | 38.66% | 23.91% | -16.36% | -0.4% | 29.92% | 4.5% | 7.13% |
| EPS 1 | 2.36 | 4.01 | 4.33 | 3.04 | 2.81 | 3.051 | 3.299 | 3.657 |
| Change | - | 69.92% | 7.98% | -29.79% | -7.57% | 8.59% | 8.12% | 10.86% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,239,059 | 1,224,639 | 1,205,059 | 1,182,263 | 1,153,116 | 1,121,383 | 1,121,383 | 1,121,383 |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/21 | 09/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 06/03/24 | 06/03/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 15.4x | 14.3x |
| PBR | 2.27x | 2.18x |
| EV / Sales | 0.89x | 0.88x |
| Yield | 3.95% | 4.07% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
This super rating is the result of a weighted average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Global Valuation (Composite), EPS Revisions (4 months), and Visibility (Composite). We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Investor
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Global
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Quality
This composite rating is the result of an average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Capital Efficiency (Composite), Quality of Financial Reporting (Composite), and Financial Health (Composite). The company must be covered by at least 2 of these 3 ratings for the calculation to be performed. We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- DHL Stock
- Financials DHL Group
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