Projected Income Statement: DHL Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 12,928 16,366 15,856 17,739 18,998 20,607 21,012 20,169
Change - 26.59% -3.12% 11.88% 7.1% 8.47% 1.97% -4.01%
Announcement Date 09/03/21 09/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,999 3,546 4,123 3,370 3,066 3,000 3,231 3,417
Change - 18.24% 16.27% -18.26% -9.02% -2.16% 7.72% 5.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,535 4,092 3,067 2,942 5,656 3,232 3,090 3,426
Change - 61.42% -25.05% -4.08% 92.25% -42.86% -4.39% 10.87%
Announcement Date 09/03/21 09/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.99% 14.37% 13.36% 13.24% 12.6% 12.71% 12.92% 13.13%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.26% 9.76% 8.93% 7.76% 6.99% 7.03% 7.32% 7.57%
EBT Margin (%) 6.24% 9% 8.38% 6.75% 6.01% 5.85% 6.2% 6.45%
Net margin (%) 4.46% 6.18% 5.67% 4.5% 3.96% 4.02% 4.21% 4.37%
FCF margin (%) 3.79% 5.01% 3.25% 3.6% 6.72% 3.74% 3.48% 3.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 85.1% 80.98% 57.23% 80.01% 169.75% 93.08% 82.52% 84.82%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.54% 8.5% 8.13% 7.98% 7.41% 4.94% 5.14% 5.63%
ROE 21.36% 30.8% 25.35% 19.22% 17.71% 14.45% 15.49% 16.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.49x 1.39x 1.26x 1.64x 1.79x 1.88x 1.83x 1.66x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.1x 4x 5.17x 6.03x 3.36x 6.38x 6.8x 5.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.49% 4.34% 4.37% 4.12% 3.64% 3.47% 3.63% 3.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.56% 30.19% 32.69% 31.14% 28.91% 27.3% 28.14% 28.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 118.3% 86.66% 134.43% 114.55% 54.21% 92.82% 104.57% 99.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.22 8.11 9.03 7.79 7.343 6.21 6.093 5.914
Change - 30.39% 11.34% -13.73% -5.74% -15.42% -1.89% -2.94%
Dividend per Share 1 1.35 1.8 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.86 1.926 2.027
Change - 33.33% 2.78% 0% 0% 0.52% 3.6% 5.2%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.14 15.45 19.14 16.01 15.95 20.96 21.83 23.46
Change - 38.66% 23.91% -16.36% -0.4% 31.45% 4.15% 7.47%
EPS 1 2.36 4.01 4.33 3.04 2.81 2.973 3.294 3.631
Change - 69.92% 7.98% -29.79% -7.57% 5.81% 10.79% 10.24%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,239,059 1,224,639 1,205,059 1,182,263 1,153,116 1,139,493 1,139,493 1,139,493
Announcement Date 09/03/21 09/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 13.7x 12.3x
PBR 1.94x 1.86x
EV / Sales 0.77x 0.76x
Yield 4.58% 4.74%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
40.62EUR
Average target price
43.92EUR
Spread / Average Target
+8.12%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise