Projected Income Statement: DHL Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,366 15,856 17,739 18,998 - 24,425 23,499 25,696
Change - -3.12% 11.88% 7.1% - - -3.79% 9.35%
Announcement Date 09/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,546 4,123 3,370 3,066 3,217 3,410 3,612
Change - 16.27% -18.26% -9.02% - 5.97% 5.92%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,092 3,067 2,942 5,656 3,062 3,562 3,847
Change - -25.05% -4.08% 92.25% - 16.34% 7.98%
Announcement Date 09/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.37% 13.36% 13.24% 12.6% 13.24% 13.29% 13.55% 13.68%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.76% 8.93% 7.76% 6.99% 7.37% 7.47% 7.79% 7.89%
EBT Margin (%) 9% 8.38% 6.75% 6.01% 6.33% 6.31% 6.67% 6.97%
Net margin (%) 6.18% 5.67% 4.5% 3.96% 4.23% 4.29% 4.54% 4.72%
FCF margin (%) 5.01% 3.25% 3.6% 6.72% - 3.62% 4.03% 4.24%
FCF / Net Income (%) 80.98% 57.23% 80.01% 169.75% - 84.42% 88.64% 89.77%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.5% 8.13% 7.98% 7.41% - 4.96% 5.49% 5.76%
ROE 30.8% 25.35% 19.22% 17.71% - 15.84% 16.72% 16.49%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.39x 1.26x 1.64x 1.79x - 2.17x 1.96x 2.07x
Debt / Free cash flow 4x 5.17x 6.03x 3.36x - 7.98x 6.6x 6.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.34% 4.37% 4.12% 3.64% - 3.8% 3.86% 3.98%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.19% 32.69% 31.14% 28.91% - 28.6% 28.46% 29.09%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 86.66% 134.43% 114.55% 54.21% - 105.07% 95.71% 93.89%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.11 9.03 7.79 7.343 - 6.479 6.769 6.581
Change - 11.34% -13.73% -5.74% - - 4.46% -2.78%
Dividend per Share 1 1.8 1.85 1.85 1.85 - 1.921 2.007 2.024
Change - 2.78% 0% 0% - - 4.45% 0.86%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.45 19.14 16.01 15.95 - 20.51 21.89 23.64
Change - 23.91% -16.36% -0.4% - - 6.75% 7.99%
EPS 1 4.01 4.33 3.04 2.81 3.04 3.196 3.61 3.871
Change - 7.98% -29.79% -7.57% 8.19% 5.14% 12.95% 7.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,224,639 1,205,059 1,182,263 1,153,116 1,121,383 1,116,978 1,116,978 1,116,978
Announcement Date 09/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14.5x 12.8x
PBR 2.26x 2.11x
EV / Sales 0.9x 0.85x
Yield 4.15% 4.34%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
46.28EUR
Average target price
47.83EUR
Spread / Average Target
+3.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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