Company Valuation: Daqin Railway Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: Dezember 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 122,056 96,039 95,148 99,311 110,828 108,728 - -
Change - -21.32% -0.93% 4.38% 11.6% -1.89% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 116,418 81,465 78,817 79,100 80,850 67,666 78,013 70,070
Change - -30.02% -3.25% 0.36% 2.21% -16.31% 15.29% -10.18%
P/E ratio 8.92x 8.97x 9.28x 11x 10.6x 10.5x 9.92x 9.36x
PBR 1.07x 0.79x 0.79x 0.79x 0.84x 0.72x 0.7x 0.68x
PEG - -0.4x -2.23x -0.9x 0.9x -0.7x 1.73x 1.57x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.53x 1.33x 1.21x 1.31x 1.37x 1.39x 1.34x 1.3x
EV / Revenue 1.46x 1.13x 1x 1.04x 1x 0.87x 0.96x 0.84x
EV / EBITDA 4.26x 3.57x 3.41x 3.6x 3.52x 3.54x 3.78x 3.33x
EV / EBIT 5.83x 5.17x 4.33x 4.68x 4.52x 4.28x 4.59x 4.01x
EV / FCF 11.8x 7.69x 5.12x 8.71x 8.06x -3.72x 5.27x 5.94x
FCF Yield 8.46% 13% 19.5% 11.5% 12.4% -26.9% 19% 16.8%
Dividend per Share 2 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.44 0.3305 0.3438 0.3461
Rate of return 5.85% 7.43% 7.5% 7.19% 6.1% 5.52% 5.74% 5.78%
EPS 2 0.92 0.72 0.69 0.61 0.68 0.571 0.6038 0.6398
Distribution rate 52.2% 66.7% 69.6% 78.7% 64.7% 57.9% 56.9% 54.1%
Net sales 1 79,917 72,322 78,682 75,758 81,020 78,045 81,262 83,481
EBITDA 1 27,306 22,800 23,084 21,951 22,977 19,108 20,646 21,034
EBIT 1 19,975 15,750 18,212 16,901 17,872 15,813 17,004 17,479
Net income 1 13,669 10,896 12,181 11,196 11,930 10,289 11,290 11,979
Net Debt 1 -5,639 -14,575 -16,331 -20,211 -29,978 -41,062 -30,715 -38,659
Reference price 2 8.210 6.460 6.400 6.680 7.210 5.990 5.990 5.990
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 14,866,791 14,866,791 14,866,897 14,866,942 15,371,394 18,151,650 - -
Announcement Date 28/04/20 26/04/21 27/04/22 26/04/23 26/04/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

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P/E ratio EV / Sales EV / EBITDA Yield (Y) Capi. ($)
10.37x0.85x3.47x+5.58%15.15B
22.77x7.58x15.04x+2.06%154B
17.66x5.57x11.35x+1.37%66.05B
25.19x5.9x13.14x+2.20%55.67B
12.66x2.39x5.52x+6.68%7.39B
41.08x5.39x24.19x+1.36%6.87B
-5.34x - - +1.28%983M
14.76x0.37x4.82x+1.45%944M
Average 17.39x 4.01x 11.08x +2.75% 38.44B
Weighted average by Cap. 21.55x 6.31x 13.27x +2.20%
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Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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