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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 5.190 CNY | +0.19% |
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+1.96% | +0.58% |
| 02-10 | Daqin Railway's January cargo throughput up 5.0% y/y | RE |
| 01-08 | Daqin Railway's Freight Volume Slips 1.7% in December 2025 | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Daqin Railway Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 72,322 | 78,682 | 75,758 | 81,020 | 74,627 | 76,176 | 77,592 | 79,226 |
| Change | - | 8.79% | -3.72% | 6.95% | -7.89% | 2.08% | 1.86% | 2.11% |
| EBITDA 1 | 22,800 | 23,084 | 21,951 | 22,977 | 18,925 | 14,942 | 15,182 | 16,065 |
| Change | - | 1.25% | -4.91% | 4.68% | -17.63% | -21.05% | 1.61% | 5.81% |
| EBIT 1 | 15,750 | 18,212 | 16,901 | 17,872 | 13,421 | 9,314 | 9,698 | 9,606 |
| Change | - | 15.63% | -7.2% | 5.75% | -24.91% | -30.6% | 4.12% | -0.95% |
| Interest Paid | -62.35 | -338.5 | -154.5 | -161 | -13.72 | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 15,659 | 18,103 | 16,800 | 17,727 | 13,326 | 10,833 | 11,103 | 11,229 |
| Change | - | 15.61% | -7.2% | 5.52% | -24.83% | -18.71% | 2.49% | 1.14% |
| Net income 1 | 10,896 | 12,181 | 11,196 | 11,930 | 9,039 | 7,226 | 7,478 | 7,981 |
| Change | - | 11.8% | -8.09% | 6.55% | -24.23% | -20.06% | 3.48% | 6.73% |
| Announcement Date | 26/04/21 | 27/04/22 | 26/04/23 | 26/04/24 | 29/04/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Daqin Railway Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -14,575 | -16,331 | -20,211 | -29,978 | -42,236 | -30,388 | -27,198 | -35,133 |
| Change | - | -12.05% | -23.76% | -48.33% | -40.89% | 28.05% | 10.5% | -29.17% |
| Announcement Date | 26/04/21 | 27/04/22 | 26/04/23 | 26/04/24 | 29/04/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Daqin Railway Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,940 | 3,504 | 7,017 | 7,292 | 4,440 | 25,010 | 7,430 | 6,090 |
| Change | - | 80.56% | 100.29% | 3.91% | -39.11% | 463.31% | -70.29% | -18.04% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 10,588 | 15,395 | 9,085 | 10,032 | 4,877 | -15,232 | 6,615 | 7,358 |
| Change | - | 45.4% | -40.99% | 10.43% | -51.39% | -412.34% | 143.43% | 11.24% |
| Announcement Date | 26/04/21 | 27/04/22 | 26/04/23 | 26/04/24 | 29/04/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Daqin Railway Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 31.53% | 29.34% | 28.98% | 28.36% | 25.36% | 19.61% | 19.57% | 20.28% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 21.78% | 23.15% | 22.31% | 22.06% | 17.98% | 12.23% | 12.5% | 12.12% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 21.65% | 23.01% | 22.18% | 21.88% | 17.86% | 14.22% | 14.31% | 14.17% |
| Net margin (%) | 15.07% | 15.48% | 14.78% | 14.72% | 12.11% | 9.49% | 9.64% | 10.07% |
| FCF margin (%) | 14.64% | 19.57% | 11.99% | 12.38% | 6.53% | -20% | 8.53% | 9.29% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 97.18% | 126.38% | 81.14% | 84.09% | 53.95% | -210.8% | 88.46% | 92.21% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 6.58% | 6.25% | 5.59% | 5.82% | 4.36% | 3.54% | 3.63% | 4.22% |
| ROE | 9.45% | 9.94% | 8.9% | 9.09% | 6.1% | 4.57% | 4.5% | 4.66% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.68% | 4.45% | 9.26% | 9% | 5.95% | 32.83% | 9.58% | 7.69% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 8.51% | 15.18% | 31.97% | 31.74% | 23.46% | 167.38% | 48.94% | 37.91% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 18.33% | 22.76% | 77.24% | 72.68% | 91.04% | -164.19% | 112.32% | 82.76% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.8427 | 1.271 | 1.083 | 1.095 | 0.4954 | 0.5194 | 0.6034 | 0.6696 |
| Change | - | 50.85% | -14.8% | 1.11% | -54.76% | 4.85% | 16.17% | 10.96% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.14 | 0.2094 | 0.2123 | 0.2164 |
| Change | - | 0% | 0% | -8.33% | -68.18% | 49.54% | 1.42% | 1.89% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 8.13 | 8.142 | 8.403 | 8.572 | 8.235 | 8.016 | 8.23 | 8.47 |
| Change | - | 0.15% | 3.21% | 2.02% | -3.93% | -2.67% | 2.68% | 2.92% |
| EPS 1 | 0.72 | 0.69 | 0.61 | 0.68 | 0.5 | 0.3577 | 0.3634 | 0.3814 |
| Change | - | -4.17% | -11.59% | 11.48% | -26.47% | -28.46% | 1.58% | 4.96% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 14,866,791 | 14,866,897 | 14,866,942 | 15,371,394 | 18,258,176 | 20,147,178 | 20,147,178 | 20,147,178 |
| Announcement Date | 26/04/21 | 27/04/22 | 26/04/23 | 26/04/24 | 29/04/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 14.5x | 14.3x |
| PBR | 0.65x | 0.63x |
| EV / Sales | 0.97x | 1x |
| Yield | 4.03% | 4.09% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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