Projected Income Statement: Danone

Forecast Balance Sheet: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 11,941 10,500 10,107 10,221 8,601 7,949 7,116 6,232
Change - -12.07% -3.74% 1.13% -15.85% -7.58% -10.48% -12.42%
Announcement Date 19/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 962 1,043 873 847 923 1,009 1,066 1,120
Change - 8.42% -16.3% -2.98% 8.97% 9.34% 5.62% 5.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,052 2,431 2,091 2,633 3,003 2,492 2,701 2,852
Change - 18.47% -13.99% 25.92% 14.05% -17.03% 8.42% 5.59%
Announcement Date 19/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Danone

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.19% 18.95% 18.94% 18.44% 17.26% 17.44% 17.81% 18.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.04% 13.74% 12.21% 12.6% 13% 13.51% 13.87% 14.18%
EBT Margin (%) 10.53% 8.22% 6.62% 6.1% 10.95% 11.67% 12.46% 12.94%
Net margin (%) 8.28% 7.92% 3.47% 3.19% 7.38% 8.17% 8.75% 9.04%
FCF margin (%) 8.69% 10.01% 7.56% 9.53% 10.97% 9.09% 9.56% 9.72%
FCF / Net Income (%) 104.91% 126.35% 218.04% 298.86% 148.59% 111.27% 109.28% 107.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.44% 4.96% 4.86% 5.09% 4.5% 5.04% 5.47% 5.77%
ROE 11.7% 11.49% 12.53% 13.39% 13.81% 13.39% 13.93% 14.41%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.5x 2.28x 1.93x 2.01x 1.82x 1.66x 1.41x 1.17x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.82x 4.32x 4.83x 3.88x 2.86x 3.19x 2.63x 2.18x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.07% 4.3% 3.16% 3.07% 3.37% 3.68% 3.77% 3.82%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.17% 22.66% 16.66% 16.63% 19.53% 21.1% 21.19% 21.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 46.88% 42.9% 41.75% 32.17% 30.74% 40.5% 39.46% 39.28%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.565 5.374 4.635 5.364 5.945 4.956 5.331 6.045
Change - 17.73% -13.75% 15.72% 10.83% -16.64% 7.56% 13.41%
Dividend per Share 1 1.94 1.94 2 2.1 2.15 2.248 2.386 2.55
Change - 0% 3.09% 5% 2.38% 4.56% 6.15% 6.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 24.94 27.07 28.02 25.2 25.1 28.73 30.32 32.12
Change - 8.54% 3.52% -10.07% -0.4% 14.46% 5.54% 5.92%
EPS 1 2.99 2.94 1.48 1.3 3.13 3.521 3.924 4.218
Change - -1.67% -49.66% -12.16% 140.77% 12.49% 11.44% 7.49%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 649,380 650,849 626,246 641,543 643,653 645,998 645,998 645,998
Announcement Date 19/02/21 23/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 26/02/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 21.5x 19.3x
PBR 2.63x 2.5x
EV / Sales 2.07x 1.98x
Yield 2.97% 3.15%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
75.66EUR
Average target price
79.02EUR
Spread / Average Target
+4.44%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise