Projected Income Statement: CLP Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: CLP Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 42,640 49,955 54,966 52,333 60,178 59,817 58,683 56,883
Change - 17.16% 10.03% -4.79% 14.99% -0.6% -1.9% -3.07%
Announcement Date 22/02/21 28/02/22 27/02/23 26/02/24 24/02/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CLP Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 10,586 12,431 14,553 11,776 15,076 14,350 14,776 14,747
Change - 17.43% 17.07% -19.08% 28.02% -4.82% 2.97% -0.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 11,788 5,647 -1,819 11,791 8,064 6,116 7,225 8,278
Change - -52.1% -132.21% 748.21% -31.61% -24.16% 18.13% 14.57%
Announcement Date 22/02/21 28/02/22 27/02/23 26/02/24 24/02/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CLP Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 29.14% 24.31% 9.81% 20.55% 26.58% 28.23% 28.71% 28.97%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.49% 13.22% 0.97% 10.69% 16.38% 17.14% 17.35% 17.79%
EBT Margin (%) 19.48% 13.62% 1.58% 12.21% 17.08% 16.89% 17.24% 17.75%
Net margin (%) 14.39% 10.11% 0.92% 7.63% 12.91% 12.78% 12.94% 13.4%
FCF margin (%) 14.81% 6.73% -1.81% 13.53% 8.87% 6.97% 8.08% 9.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 102.9% 66.51% -196.86% 177.18% 68.68% 54.55% 62.47% 68.53%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.03% 3.58% 1.94% 2.86% 5.13% 4.68% 4.65% 4.81%
ROE 10.16% 7.29% 4.09% 11.37% 11.3% 10.7% 10.77% 10.85%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.84x 2.45x 5.57x 2.92x 2.49x 2.42x 2.29x 2.18x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.62x 8.85x -30.22x 4.44x 7.46x 9.78x 8.12x 6.87x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.3% 14.81% 14.46% 13.51% 16.57% 16.36% 16.53% 16.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 45.65% 60.91% 147.36% 65.75% 62.35% 57.95% 57.58% 56.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 89.8% 220.13% -800.05% 99.87% 186.95% 234.63% 204.52% 178.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.856 7.155 5.04 9.328 9.159 8.901 9.33 9.612
Change - -19.21% -29.56% 85.08% -1.81% -2.82% 4.82% 3.02%
Dividend per Share 1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.15 3.163 3.189 3.237
Change - 0% 0% 0% 1.61% 0.4% 0.83% 1.53%
Book Value Per Share 1 45.95 46.28 43.3 42.04 41.19 42.82 44.5 46.12
Change - 0.72% -6.45% -2.9% -2.04% 3.98% 3.92% 3.63%
EPS 1 4.53 3.36 0.37 2.63 4.65 4.432 4.649 4.851
Change - -25.83% -88.99% 610.81% 76.81% -4.69% 4.89% 4.36%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,526,451 2,526,451 2,526,451 2,526,451 2,526,451 2,526,451 2,526,451 2,526,451
Announcement Date 22/02/21 28/02/22 27/02/23 26/02/24 24/02/25 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 17.4x 16.5x
PBR 1.8x 1.73x
EV / Sales 2.9x 2.83x
Yield 4.11% 4.15%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
76.90HKD
Average target price
72.79HKD
Spread / Average Target
-5.35%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 2 Stock
  4. Financials CLP Holdings Limited