Projected Income Statement: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -30,368 -50,823 -51,580 -63,689 -62,977 -47,910 -68,285 -74,388
Change - -67.36% -1.49% -23.48% 1.12% 23.93% -42.53% -8.94%
Announcement Date 09/04/21 27/04/22 17/04/23 17/04/24 10/04/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,360 1,925 1,405 2,528 3,293 6,476 5,229 5,031
Change - -18.46% -27% 79.93% 30.26% 96.68% -19.26% -3.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,316 21,047 4,871 17,333 1,556 24,639 12,024 8,784
Change - 153.1% -76.86% 255.83% -91.02% 1,482.98% -51.2% -26.94%
Announcement Date 09/04/21 27/04/22 17/04/23 17/04/24 10/04/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.28% 7.35% 9.5% 7% 4.31% 5.36% 5.96% 6.13%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.1% 3.55% 6.3% 6.91% 4.15% 2.71% 4.27% 4.91%
EBT Margin (%) 3.07% 3.63% 6.36% 7% 4.23% 2.73% 4.14% 4.56%
Net margin (%) 3.93% 3.38% 6.43% 7.49% 4.58% 2.89% 3.77% 4.03%
FCF margin (%) 9.83% 20.02% 4.02% 11.46% 0.97% 13.62% 5.9% 3.96%
FCF / Net Income (%) 250.15% 592.46% 62.46% 153.02% 21.26% 471.45% 156.38% 98.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.04% 2.8% 5.54% 6.74% 3.68% 2.35% 3.08% 3.32%
ROE 7.13% 6.53% 13.07% 16.55% 9.69% 6.51% 8.78% 9.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.79% 1.83% 1.16% 1.67% 2.06% 3.58% 2.57% 2.27%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.72% 24.9% 12.2% 23.87% 47.84% 66.78% 43.07% 37.01%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.38% 9.14% 28.84% 14.58% 211.56% 26.29% 43.49% 57.27%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.094 2.315 0.5711 2.003 0.4891 1.61 1.567 1.857
Change - 111.7% -75.33% 250.67% -75.58% 229.16% -2.68% 18.52%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1681 0.1792 0.236 0.343 0.295 0.2338 0.242 0.2777
Change - 6.6% 31.67% 45.34% -13.99% -20.75% 3.52% 14.75%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.473 5.617 6.335 7.245 7.724 8.025 8.706 9.395
Change - 2.64% 12.79% 14.36% 6.61% 3.9% 8.48% 7.91%
EPS 1 0.3736 0.3538 0.7799 1.13 0.74 0.5261 0.7754 0.9004
Change - -5.29% 120.4% 44.89% -34.51% -28.91% 47.38% 16.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 9,761,381 9,921,799 9,921,799 9,917,289 9,914,086 9,914,086 9,914,086 9,914,086
Announcement Date 09/04/21 27/04/22 17/04/23 17/04/24 10/04/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 22.3x 15.1x
PBR 1.46x 1.35x
EV / Sales 0.31x 0.17x
Yield 1.99% 2.07%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
11.72CNY
Average target price
14.82CNY
Spread / Average Target
+26.49%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited