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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 3.210 HKD | -4.75% |
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-5.87% | -44.85% |
| 07-06 | China Southern Airlines's Application for Share Issue Accepted by Shanghai Bourse | MT |
| 07-06 | Chinese Airlines to Cut Fuel Surcharges on Domestic Routes | MT |
Company Valuation: China Southern Airlines Company Limited
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 104,399 | 123,293 | 91,580 | 105,270 | 132,238 | 81,312 | - | - |
| Change | - | 18.1% | -25.72% | 14.95% | 25.62% | -38.51% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 175,018 | 305,301 | 252,772 | 315,642 | 251,678 | 301,433 | 306,321 | 280,211 |
| Change | - | 74.44% | -17.21% | 24.87% | -20.26% | 19.77% | 1.62% | -8.52% |
| P/E | -9.08x | -4x | -25x | -72.1x | 160x | -120x | 18.4x | 9.54x |
| PBR | 1.71x | 3.35x | 2.84x | 3.39x | 4.08x | 2.6x | 2.29x | 1.89x |
| PEG | - | -0x | 0.3x | 1.2x | -1x | 1x | -0x | 0.1x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.03x | 1.42x | 0.57x | 0.6x | 0.73x | 0.41x | 0.4x | 0.37x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.72x | 3.51x | 1.58x | 1.81x | 1.38x | 1.51x | 1.51x | 1.28x |
| EV / EBITDA | 14.5x | -87.5x | 9.05x | 8.61x | 6.13x | 8.13x | 6.98x | 5.47x |
| EV / EBIT | -12.2x | -10.8x | 288x | 37.9x | 63.4x | -116x | 45.7x | 24.2x |
| EV / FCF | -63x | -37.1x | 11.1x | 33x | 12.1x | 22x | 19.1x | - |
| FCF Yield | -1.59% | -2.7% | 9% | 3.03% | 8.29% | 4.54% | 5.23% | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Rate of return | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS 2 | -0.75 | -1.9 | -0.23 | -0.09 | 0.05 | -0.0421 | 0.2739 | 0.5274 |
| Distribution rate | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net sales 1 | 101,644 | 87,059 | 159,929 | 174,224 | 182,256 | 199,408 | 203,051 | 219,595 |
| EBITDA 1 | 12,051 | -3,488 | 27,919 | 36,668 | 41,051 | 37,086 | 43,857 | 51,185 |
| EBIT 1 | -14,302 | -28,203 | 877 | 8,327 | 3,967 | -2,598 | 6,701 | 11,561 |
| Net income 1 | -12,103 | -32,699 | -4,140 | -1,769 | 857 | -4,452 | 5,495 | 6,642 |
| Net Debt 1 | 70,619 | 182,008 | 161,192 | 210,372 | 119,440 | 220,121 | 225,008 | 198,898 |
| Reference price 2 | 6.810 | 7.600 | 5.760 | 6.490 | 8.010 | 5.030 | 5.030 | 5.030 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 16,948,417 | 18,120,890 | 18,120,906 | 18,120,912 | 18,120,922 | 18,120,970 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 30/03/22 | 28/03/23 | 27/03/24 | 26/03/25 | 30/03/26 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.51x | 0.99x | 7.42x | 0.88% | 56.71B | ||
| 10.35x | 0.84x | 6.55x | -.--% | 38.56B | ||
| 13.81x | 1.54x | 6.79x | 1.75% | 32B | ||
| 9.07x | 0.83x | 3.97x | 1.97% | 26.71B | ||
| -369.47x | 2.72x | 14.38x | 0.19% | 21.13B | ||
| 28.58x | 1.23x | 6.26x | 3.44% | 18.58B | ||
| 11.69x | 1.23x | 4.87x | 2.99% | 15.73B | ||
| -13.66x | 1.51x | 9.98x | -.--% | 13.42B | ||
| 8.56x | 0.41x | 4.03x | 3.5% | 12.51B | ||
| Average | -31.95x | 1.26x | 7.14x | 1.64% | 26.15B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | -22.60x | 1.21x | 7.13x | 1.35% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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- Valuation China Southern Airlines Company Limited
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