Projected Income Statement: Cenovus Energy Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Cenovus Energy Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,591 4,282 5,060 4,614 8,292 5,539 4,562 4,355
Change - -55.35% 18.17% -8.81% 79.71% -33.2% -17.64% -4.54%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 20/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Cenovus Energy Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,563 3,708 4,298 5,015 4,907 5,123 4,956 4,567
Change - 44.67% 15.91% 16.68% -2.15% 4.4% -3.25% -7.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,356 7,695 3,090 4,220 3,964 9,019 7,621 8,128
Change - 129.29% -59.84% 36.57% -6.07% 127.51% -15.49% 6.64%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 20/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Cenovus Energy Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.3% 22.47% 19.67% 18.3% 19.76% 27.63% 25.98% 23.01%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.6% 15.47% 10.77% 9.2% 9.23% 17.77% 14.65% 12.85%
EBT Margin (%) 2.84% 13.05% 9.65% 7.5% 9.01% 16.47% 14.4% 12.17%
Net margin (%) 1.27% 9.64% 7.87% 5.79% 7.91% 12.92% 11.25% 9.24%
FCF margin (%) 7.24% 11.5% 5.92% 7.77% 7.98% 15.22% 14.32% 13.96%
FCF / Net Income (%) 571.72% 119.3% 75.2% 134.31% 100.87% 117.84% 127.37% 151.18%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.35% 11.73% 7.49% 5.69% - 11.11% 8.84% 8.49%
ROE 4.07% 24.61% 14.6% 10.75% 12.81% 22.62% 16.17% 13.86%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.02x 0.28x 0.49x 0.46x 0.84x 0.34x 0.33x 0.33x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.86x 0.56x 1.64x 1.09x 2.09x 0.61x 0.6x 0.54x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.53% 5.54% 8.23% 9.24% 9.87% 8.65% 9.32% 7.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.24% 24.67% 41.87% 50.49% 49.97% 31.29% 35.86% 34.09%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 76.37% 48.19% 139.09% 118.84% 123.79% 56.8% 65.03% 56.19%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.49 5.398 4.57 4.382 4.87 7.885 7.113 7.587
Change - 54.66% -15.33% -4.12% 11.14% 61.91% -9.79% 6.66%
Dividend per Share 1 0.0875 0.35 0.525 0.815 0.78 0.8614 0.8856 0.9661
Change - 300% 50% 55.24% -4.29% 10.44% 2.81% 9.09%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.79 14.44 15.33 16.3 16.79 19.9 20.81 22.09
Change - 22.5% 6.14% 6.34% 2.98% 18.55% 4.56% 6.12%
EPS 1 0.27 3.2 2.12 1.67 2.15 4.136 3.219 3.584
Change - 1,085.19% -33.75% -21.23% 28.74% 92.37% -22.18% 11.34%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,017,677 1,918,887 1,875,669 1,826,530 1,886,175 1,871,502 1,871,502 1,871,502
Announcement Date 08/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 20/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.39x 12.1x
PBR 1.95x 1.87x
EV / Sales 1.32x 1.45x
Yield 2.22% 2.28%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
38.84CAD
Average target price
42.84CAD
Spread / Average Target
+10.31%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CVE Stock
  4. Financials Cenovus Energy Inc.