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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 11.86 HKD | +1.89% |
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-8.49% | -4.59% |
| 06-12 | Airlines resume some Middle East flights but disruption continues | RE |
| 06-10 | Airlines resume some Middle East flights but disruption continues | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 45,587 | 51,036 | 94,485 | 104,371 | 116,766 | 127,702 | 129,323 | 138,209 |
| Change | - | 11.95% | 85.13% | 10.46% | 11.88% | 9.37% | 1.27% | 6.87% |
| EBITDA 1 | 12,336 | 15,735 | 25,323 | 25,236 | 25,643 | 23,746 | 25,515 | 26,586 |
| Change | - | 27.55% | 60.93% | -0.34% | 1.61% | -7.4% | 7.45% | 4.2% |
| EBIT 1 | -450 | 3,546 | 12,999 | 13,177 | 14,073 | 11,091 | 12,886 | 14,066 |
| Change | - | 888% | 266.58% | 1.37% | 6.8% | -21.19% | 16.19% | 9.15% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -2,629 | -2,909 | -2,733 | -3,056 | -2,677 | -2,492 | -2,724 | -2,270 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -6,057 | -6,040 | 10,858 | 11,203 | 12,310 | 9,066 | 11,110 | 12,391 |
| Change | - | 0.28% | 279.77% | 3.18% | 9.88% | -26.36% | 22.55% | 11.53% |
| Net income 1 | -6,123 | -7,162 | 9,067 | 9,607 | 10,828 | 8,290 | 10,035 | 10,651 |
| Change | - | -16.97% | 226.6% | 5.96% | 12.71% | -23.44% | 21.06% | 6.13% |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/22 | 08/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 12/03/25 | 11/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 89,854 | 58,829 | 52,764 | 57,941 | 46,812 | 44,852 | 41,842 | 39,077 |
| Change | - | -34.53% | -10.31% | 9.81% | -19.21% | -4.19% | -6.71% | -6.61% |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/22 | 08/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 12/03/25 | 11/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 2,276 | 3,729 | 6,801 | 9,207 | 9,830 | 10,255 | 14,806 | 19,645 |
| Change | - | 63.84% | 82.38% | 35.38% | 6.77% | 4.32% | 44.38% | 32.68% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 6,559 | 14,107 | 19,607 | 14,334 | 15,551 | 2,931 | 17,402 | 20,897 |
| Change | - | 115.08% | 38.99% | -26.89% | 8.49% | -81.15% | 493.72% | 20.08% |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/22 | 08/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 12/03/25 | 11/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 27.06% | 30.83% | 26.8% | 24.18% | 21.96% | 18.59% | 19.73% | 19.24% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | -0.99% | 6.95% | 13.76% | 12.63% | 12.05% | 8.68% | 9.96% | 10.18% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -13.29% | -11.83% | 11.49% | 10.73% | 10.54% | 7.1% | 8.59% | 8.97% |
| Net margin (%) | -13.43% | -14.03% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.27% | 6.49% | 7.76% | 7.71% |
| FCF margin (%) | 14.39% | 27.64% | 20.75% | 13.73% | 13.32% | 2.3% | 13.46% | 15.12% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -107.12% | -196.97% | 216.25% | 149.2% | 143.62% | 35.36% | 173.41% | 196.21% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | -3.05% | -3.79% | 5.11% | 5.56% | 6.22% | 4.92% | 5.65% | 5.69% |
| ROE | -8.42% | -10.52% | 14.64% | 17.08% | 19.23% | 13.7% | 15.62% | 15.13% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 7.28x | 3.74x | 2.08x | 2.3x | 1.83x | 1.89x | 1.64x | 1.47x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 13.7x | 4.17x | 2.69x | 4.04x | 3.01x | 15.3x | 2.4x | 1.87x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.99% | 7.31% | 7.2% | 8.82% | 8.42% | 8.03% | 11.45% | 14.21% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 18.45% | 23.7% | 26.86% | 36.48% | 38.33% | 43.19% | 58.03% | 73.89% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 34.7% | 26.43% | 34.69% | 64.23% | 63.21% | 349.88% | 85.08% | 94.01% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.37 | 2.771 | 3.571 | 3.188 | 3.774 | 2.925 | 3.428 | 3.781 |
| Change | - | 102.25% | 28.88% | -10.72% | 18.4% | -22.51% | 17.22% | 10.28% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | 0.43 | 0.69 | 0.84 | 0.6444 | 0.7791 | 0.8433 |
| Change | - | - | - | 60.47% | 21.74% | -23.29% | 20.91% | 8.24% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 11.22 | 9.923 | 8.117 | 7.11 | 9.187 | 9.663 | 10.54 | 11.44 |
| Change | - | -11.58% | -18.2% | -12.41% | 29.21% | 5.18% | 9.04% | 8.62% |
| EPS 1 | -0.951 | -1.113 | 1.258 | 1.332 | 1.618 | 1.263 | 1.524 | 1.659 |
| Change | - | -17.03% | 213.03% | 5.88% | 21.47% | -21.95% | 20.66% | 8.89% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 6,437,200 | 6,437,200 | 6,437,900 | 6,439,409 | 6,722,857 | 6,081,128 | 6,081,128 | 6,081,128 |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/22 | 08/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 12/03/25 | 11/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 9.39x | 7.78x |
| PBR | 1.23x | 1.13x |
| EV / Sales | 0.92x | 0.88x |
| Yield | 5.43% | 6.57% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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ESG MSCI
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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