Company Valuation: Carlsberg A/S

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Capitalization 1 142,676 163,149 133,594 122,775 95,313 116,023 116,023 -
Change - 14.35% -18.12% -8.1% -22.37% 21.73% 0% -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 163,939 182,311 152,920 145,126 122,670 175,929 172,376 167,992
Change - 11.21% -16.12% -5.1% -15.47% 43.42% -2.02% -2.54%
P/E ratio 23.7x 23.8x -121x -2.83x 10x 15.6x 13.4x 12.1x
PBR 3.6x 3.65x 3.97x 4.89x 3.28x 3.52x 3.11x 2.75x
PEG - 1.6x 1x -0x -0x -0.7x 0.8x 1.1x
Capitalization / Revenue 2.44x 2.45x 1.9x 1.67x 1.27x 1.3x 1.25x 1.2x
EV / Revenue 2.8x 2.74x 2.18x 1.97x 1.64x 1.96x 1.85x 1.74x
EV / EBITDA 11.6x 11.8x 9.77x 9.56x 7.77x 9.4x 8.78x 8.02x
EV / EBIT 16.9x 16.8x 13.3x 13.1x 10.8x 12.9x 12x 10.9x
EV / FCF 32.4x 20.5x 15.5x 29.8x 12.5x 27x 20x 17.1x
FCF Yield 3.08% 4.87% 6.46% 3.36% 7.98% 3.7% 5% 5.85%
Dividend per Share 2 22 24 27 27 27 28.62 30.89 33.86
Rate of return 2.26% 2.12% 2.92% 3.19% 3.91% 3.42% 3.69% 4.05%
EPS 2 41.1 47.4 -7.6 -299.7 68.7 53.57 62.3 69.44
Distribution rate 53.5% 50.6% -355% -9.01% 39.3% 53.4% 49.6% 48.8%
Net sales 1 58,541 66,634 70,265 73,585 75,011 89,534 93,049 96,379
EBITDA 1 14,085 15,474 15,657 15,179 15,781 18,714 19,640 20,943
EBIT 1 9,699 10,862 11,470 11,105 11,411 13,606 14,329 15,401
Net income 1 6,030 6,846 -1,063 -40,788 9,116 7,245 8,411 9,390
Net Debt 1 21,263 19,162 19,326 22,351 27,357 59,906 56,353 51,969
Reference price 2 975.20 1,129.50 923.20 846.80 690.00 836.80 836.80 836.80
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 145,102 141,892 137,341 134,114 132,079 132,079 132,079 -
Announcement Date 05/02/21 04/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 - - -
1DKK in Million2DKK
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
15.62x1.96x9.4x3.42% 18.07B
19.73x3.17x8.86x1.88% 130B
18.06x1.79x8.12x2.81% 43.07B
14.39x2.19x6.73x6.81% 40.24B
14.87x4.13x11.16x2.67% 26.56B
17.77x - - - 19.68B
14.05x1.25x8.7x3.09% 15.18B
21.46x1.82x6.56x5.36% 13.17B
12.95x1.11x8.51x3.17% 12.06B
Average 16.54x 2.18x 8.50x 3.65% 35.38B
Weighted average by Cap. 17.61x 2.61x 8.58x 3.11%
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Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Carlsberg A/S