Company Valuation: Canadian National Railway Company

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 84,035 99,385 109,745 108,728 107,541 101,664 - -
Change - 18.27% 10.42% -0.93% -1.09% -5.46% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 97,767 111,722 121,392 123,829 125,539 122,353 123,739 124,054
Change - 14.27% 8.65% 2.01% 1.38% -2.54% 1.13% 0.25%
P/E ratio 20.1x 28x 22.6x 21.6x 19.5x 21.4x 18.8x 17.1x
PBR 4.64x 5.06x 4.79x 5.05x 5.45x 5.37x 5.25x 5.08x
PEG - -2x 0.6x 2.71x 1.3x -1.8x 1.4x 1.6x
Capitalization / Revenue 5.63x 7.19x 7.58x 6.36x 6.39x 5.81x 5.49x 5.18x
EV / Revenue 6.55x 8.08x 8.39x 7.24x 7.46x 6.99x 6.68x 6.32x
EV / EBITDA 13.7x 16.3x 16.8x 14.4x 14.9x 14x 13.1x 12.2x
EV / EBIT 17.1x 21.2x 21.6x 18x 19x 18.1x 16.6x 15.2x
EV / FCF 49.1x 33.8x 29.8x 31.6x 33.2x 36.9x 32.1x 32.2x
FCF Yield 2.04% 2.96% 3.36% 3.16% 3.01% 2.71% 3.12% 3.11%
Dividend per Share 2 2.15 2.3 2.46 2.93 3.16 3.366 3.566 3.797
Rate of return 1.83% 1.64% 1.58% 1.82% 1.9% 2.09% 2.21% 2.35%
EPS 2 5.83 5 6.89 7.44 8.53 7.541 8.569 9.46
Distribution rate 36.9% 46% 35.7% 39.4% 37% 44.6% 41.6% 40.1%
Net sales 1 14,917 13,819 14,477 17,107 16,828 17,497 18,526 19,628
EBITDA 1 7,155 6,852 7,220 8,591 8,414 8,719 9,470 10,196
EBIT 1 5,708 5,263 5,622 6,862 6,597 6,758 7,469 8,136
Net income 1 4,216 3,562 4,892 5,118 5,625 4,768 5,241 5,657
Net Debt 1 13,732 12,337 11,647 15,101 17,998 20,689 22,075 22,390
Reference price 2 117.47 139.94 155.38 160.84 166.55 161.44 161.44 161.44
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 715,370 710,200 706,300 676,000 645,695 629,732 - -
Announcement Date 28/01/20 26/01/21 25/01/22 24/01/23 23/01/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

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P/E ratio EV / Sales EV / EBITDA Yield (Y) Capi. ($)
21.51x7.02x14.09x+2.08%75.14B
29.04x8.85x17.69x+0.65%80.89B
24.59x - - - 13.22B
32.75x1.92x12.63x-.--%12.49B
25.74x0.73x17.09x+2.43%11.66B
67.74x1.42x9.69x+1.18%8.41B
18.17x3.94x7.1x+1.01%6.89B
11.97x1.01x4.56x+2.16%5.88B
6.94x2.16x45.33x+6.65%5.45B
Average 26.50x 3.38x 16.02x +2.02% 24.45B
Weighted average by Cap. 26.37x 6.44x 15.72x +1.46%
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Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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