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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 151.16 CAD | +1.34% |
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-0.72% | +11.35% |
| 04-10 | Canadian National Railway Volume Data Seen Tracking Ahead of Estimates, BofA Says | MT |
| 04-10 | RBC on Canadian Rails' Q1 Carload, Performance Metrics | MT |
Company Valuation: Canadian National Railway Company
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 109,745 | 108,728 | 107,541 | 91,888 | 83,554 | 92,326 | - | - |
| Change | - | -0.93% | -1.09% | -14.55% | -9.07% | 10.5% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 121,392 | 123,829 | 125,539 | 112,393 | 104,726 | 114,661 | 115,192 | 114,693 |
| Change | - | 2.01% | 1.38% | -10.47% | -6.82% | 9.49% | 0.46% | -0.43% |
| P/E ratio | 22.6x | 21.6x | 19.5x | 20.8x | 17.9x | 19.2x | 17.3x | 16x |
| PBR | 4.79x | 5.05x | 5.45x | 4.35x | 3.86x | 4.33x | 4.19x | 3.77x |
| PEG | - | 2.71x | 1.3x | -1.2x | 2.24x | 4.97x | 1.6x | 1.9x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 7.58x | 6.36x | 6.39x | 5.39x | 4.83x | 5.17x | 4.95x | 4.7x |
| EV / Revenue | 8.39x | 7.24x | 7.46x | 6.59x | 6.05x | 6.42x | 6.17x | 5.83x |
| EV / EBITDA | 16.8x | 14.4x | 14.9x | 13.7x | 12.3x | 13.1x | 12.3x | 11.5x |
| EV / EBIT | 21.6x | 18x | 19x | 17.8x | 15.8x | 16.9x | 15.8x | 14.6x |
| EV / FCF | 29.8x | 31.6x | 33.2x | 35.7x | 30.9x | 28.1x | 26x | 27.3x |
| FCF Yield | 3.36% | 3.16% | 3.01% | 2.8% | 3.24% | 3.56% | 3.85% | 3.67% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 2.46 | 2.93 | 3.16 | 3.38 | 3.55 | 3.658 | 3.704 | 3.909 |
| Rate of return | 1.58% | 1.82% | 1.9% | 2.32% | 2.62% | 2.42% | 2.45% | 2.59% |
| EPS 2 | 6.89 | 7.44 | 8.53 | 7.01 | 7.57 | 7.863 | 8.726 | 9.46 |
| Distribution rate | 35.7% | 39.4% | 37% | 48.2% | 46.9% | 46.5% | 42.4% | 41.3% |
| Net sales 1 | 14,477 | 17,107 | 16,828 | 17,046 | 17,304 | 17,859 | 18,668 | 19,660 |
| EBITDA 1 | 7,220 | 8,591 | 8,414 | 8,217 | 8,525 | 8,769 | 9,332 | 9,958 |
| EBIT 1 | 5,622 | 6,862 | 6,597 | 6,325 | 6,636 | 6,798 | 7,295 | 7,835 |
| Net income 1 | 4,892 | 5,118 | 5,625 | 4,448 | 4,720 | 4,730 | 5,098 | 5,513 |
| Net Debt 1 | 11,647 | 15,101 | 17,998 | 20,505 | 21,172 | 22,335 | 22,866 | 22,367 |
| Reference price 2 | 155.38 | 160.84 | 166.55 | 145.97 | 135.75 | 151.16 | 151.16 | 151.16 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 706,300 | 676,000 | 645,695 | 629,500 | 615,500 | 610,781 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 25/01/22 | 24/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 30/01/25 | 30/01/26 | - | - | - |
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates
P/E ratio, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.23x | 6.42x | 13.08x | 2.42% | 67.53B | ||
| 22.46x | 7.72x | 14.78x | 0.85% | 73.28B | ||
| 55.86x | 3.42x | 20.77x | -.--% | 26.42B | ||
| 30.12x | 1.34x | 21.29x | 1.38% | 21.48B | ||
| 39.01x | 1.58x | 9.87x | 1.2% | 10.47B | ||
| 8.88x | 2.33x | 32.01x | 5.87% | 10.43B | ||
| 157.1x | - | - | - | 9.67B | ||
| 16.81x | 1.2x | 5.3x | 1.56% | 8.9B | ||
| 15.15x | 3.63x | 6.47x | 2.25% | 6.16B | ||
| 36.8x | 0.91x | 7.97x | 1.36% | 5.15B | ||
| Average | 40.14x | 3.17x | 14.62x | 1.88% | 23.95B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 31.40x | 5.21x | 15.39x | 1.58% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
- Stock Market
- Equities
- CNR Stock
- Valuation Canadian National Railway Company
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