Projected Income Statement: Brightstar Lottery

Forecast Balance Sheet: Brightstar Lottery

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 7,343 5,938 5,160 5,099 4,777 2,451 3,549 3,366
Change - -19.13% -13.1% -1.18% -6.31% -48.69% 44.8% -5.16%
Announcement Date 02/03/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 12/03/24 25/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Brightstar Lottery

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 254.7 238 317 399 149 450.5 452 224
Change - -6.55% 33.19% 25.87% -62.66% 202.35% 0.33% -50.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 610.9 740 582 641 881 -686.4 -1,175 -
Change - 21.12% -21.35% 10.14% 37.44% -177.91% -71.12% 100%
Announcement Date 02/03/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 12/03/24 25/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Brightstar Lottery

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 36.78% 41.23% 39.38% 41.28% 46.58% 43.46% 46.3% 46.73%
EBIT Margin (%) -3.45% 22.06% 21.82% 23.23% 27.31% 25.23% 26.68% -
EBT Margin (%) -27.21% 12.94% 13.94% 14.59% 20.74% 18.07% 24.22% 21.36%
Net margin (%) -28.82% 11.79% 6.51% 3.62% 13.85% 6.12% 9.84% -
FCF margin (%) 19.61% 18.1% 13.78% 14.87% 35.07% -27.03% -45.61% -
FCF / Net Income (%) -68.04% 153.53% 211.64% 410.9% 253.16% -441.47% -463.61% -

Profitability

        
ROA -6.74% 3.96% 2.53% - - - - -
ROE -2.53% 10.95% 29.86% 28.56% 8.83% 8.71% 10.65% 9.46%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.41x 3.52x 3.1x 2.87x 4.08x 2.22x 2.98x 2.74x
Debt / Free cash flow 12.02x 8.02x 8.87x 7.95x 5.42x -3.57x -3.02x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.18% 5.82% 7.5% 9.26% 5.93% 17.74% 17.55% 8.53%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.23% 14.12% 19.05% 22.43% 12.74% 40.82% 37.91% 18.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.69% 32.16% 54.47% 62.25% 16.91% -65.63% -38.48% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.226 4.729 4.42 5.123 5.049 2.419 2.849 2.954
Change - 11.92% -6.54% 15.91% -1.45% -52.1% 17.81% 3.67%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.84 0.8667
Change - 0% 300% 0% 0% 0% 5% 3.18%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.626 6.255 7.178 7.108 8.178 9.324 11.47 12.05
Change - -17.97% 14.75% -0.97% 15.05% 14.01% 23.06% 4.99%
EPS 1 -4.39 2.33 1.35 0.77 1.71 0.7801 1.307 -
Change - 153.08% -42.06% -42.96% 122.08% -54.38% 67.6% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 204,857 203,688 199,308 200,482 201,858 203,012 203,012 203,012
Announcement Date 02/03/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 12/03/24 25/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 18.9x 11.3x
PBR 1.58x 1.28x
EV / Sales 2.14x 2.54x
Yield 5.43% 5.7%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
14.74USD
Average target price
19.35USD
Spread / Average Target
+31.28%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BRSL Stock
  4. Financials Brightstar Lottery