Projected Income Statement: BP PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 22,182 23,114 18,203 17,570
Change - -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% -3.54% 4.2% -21.25% -3.48%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 11/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,533 13,614 13,834 14,177
Change - 50% -12.52% 7.08% -4.99% -6.33% 1.62% 2.48%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 9,960 11,603 11,630 10,445
Change - 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -17% 16.5% 0.24% -10.19%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 11/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.69% 19.29% 19.3% 18.71%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 12.06% 11.33% 10.2%
EBT Margin (%) 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 4.09% 8.98% 8.77% 8.28%
Net margin (%) 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 0.03% 5.19% 5% 4.79%
FCF margin (%) 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.26% 5.42% 5.87% 5.24%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 18,109.09% 104.51% 117.39% 109.37%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.67% 4.44% 4% 3.4%
ROE 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 13.33% 16.61% 14.22% 15.11%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.6x 0.56x 0.48x 0.47x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.23x 1.99x 1.57x 1.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.68% 6.36% 6.98% 7.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.99% 32.96% 36.19% 38.05%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 145.91% 117.33% 118.95% 135.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.539 1.782 1.792 1.752
Change - 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -5.18% 15.76% 0.58% -2.23%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3296 0.3421 0.358 0.371
Change - 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.4% 3.8% 4.64% 3.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.45 3.836 4.034 4.276
Change - -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% -7.7% 11.19% 5.16% 5.99%
EPS 1 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.0034 0.7753 0.68 0.6659
Change - -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% -85.34% 22,701.76% -12.28% -2.08%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 19,593,397 18,157,212 16,930,452 15,828,940 15,297,154 15,369,775 15,369,775 15,369,775
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 06/02/24 11/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.89x 11.3x
PBR 2x 1.9x
EV / Sales 0.66x 0.69x
Yield 4.46% 4.67%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
7.668USD
Average target price
7.908USD
Spread / Average Target
+3.13%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise