Projected Income Statement: Auto Trader Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Auto Trader Group plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -10.3 -41.8 52.4 11.3 -15.3 -46.2 -143 -239
Change - -305.83% 225.36% -78.44% -235.4% -201.96% -209.52% -67.13%
Announcement Date 10/06/21 26/05/22 01/06/23 30/05/24 29/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Auto Trader Group plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1.3 2.8 2.4 3.6 4 15.71 4.083 3.935
Change - 115.38% -14.29% 50% 11.11% 292.81% -74.01% -3.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 123.4 269.1 264.5 283.9 300.6 309.4 338.9 361.9
Change - 118.07% -1.71% 7.33% 5.88% 2.92% 9.55% 6.77%
Announcement Date 10/06/21 26/05/22 01/06/23 30/05/24 29/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Auto Trader Group plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 64.99% 73.01% 69.34% 65.74% 65.53% 67.2% 67.3% 67.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 61.34% 70.16% 58.69% 61.08% 62.69% 65.02% 65.74% 65.25%
EBT Margin (%) 59.89% 69.56% 62.07% 60.47% 62.5% 64.23% 64.43% 64.88%
Net margin (%) 48.63% 56.55% 49.45% 45% 47.01% 47.7% 48.01% 48.43%
FCF margin (%) 46.96% 62.19% 55.92% 49.73% 50.01% 49.01% 50.5% 50.85%
FCF / Net Income (%) 96.56% 109.97% 113.08% 110.51% 106.37% 102.74% 105.19% 105.01%

Profitability

        
ROA 24.5% 45.42% 42.07% 40.58% 43.56% 44.4% 39.43% 35.01%
ROE 42.58% 52.56% 50.73% 49.65% 50.39% 53.56% 53.34% 52.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.16x 0.03x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 0.2x 0.04x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.49% 0.65% 0.51% 0.63% 0.67% 2.49% 0.61% 0.55%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 0.76% 0.89% 0.73% 0.96% 1.02% 3.7% 0.9% 0.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 1.05% 1.04% 0.91% 1.27% 1.33% 5.08% 1.2% 1.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1342 0.284 0.2827 0.3141 0.3413 0.3763 0.41 0.4472
Change - 111.61% -0.45% 11.11% 8.66% 10.24% 8.98% 9.05%
Dividend per Share 1 0.05 0.082 0.084 0.096 0.106 0.1175 0.1271 0.1399
Change - 64% 2.44% 14.29% 10.42% 10.82% 8.21% 10.08%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.4747 0.4945 0.574 0.6121 0.6472 0.646 0.7299 0.8088
Change - 4.17% 16.07% 6.65% 5.73% -0.19% 12.99% 10.8%
EPS 1 0.1321 0.2556 0.2477 0.2807 0.3156 0.3441 0.378 0.4097
Change - 93.49% -3.09% 13.32% 12.43% 9.04% 9.83% 8.4%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 966,104 942,680 918,277 902,001 879,198 838,281 838,281 838,281
Announcement Date 10/06/21 26/05/22 01/06/23 30/05/24 29/05/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14.1x 12.9x
PBR 7.52x 6.66x
EV / Sales 6.38x 5.86x
Yield 2.42% 2.62%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
4.858GBP
Average target price
7.712GBP
Spread / Average Target
+58.74%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. AUTO Stock
  4. Financials Auto Trader Group plc