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Projected Income Statement: Auto Trader Group plc
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 368.9 | 262.8 | 432.7 | 473 | 570.9 | 606.4 | 653.8 | 702.6 |
Change | - | -28.76% | 64.65% | 9.31% | 20.7% | 6.21% | 7.83% | 7.47% |
EBITDA 1 | 268.8 | 170.8 | 315.9 | 328 | 375.3 | 397.5 | 436.3 | 472.2 |
Change | - | -36.46% | 84.95% | 3.83% | 14.42% | 5.92% | 9.75% | 8.24% |
EBIT 1 | 258.9 | 161.2 | 303.6 | 277.6 | 348.7 | 385 | 423.9 | 459.2 |
Change | - | -37.74% | 88.34% | -8.56% | 25.61% | 10.42% | 10.1% | 8.32% |
Interest Paid 1 | -7.4 | -3.8 | -2.6 | -3.1 | -3.5 | -1.845 | -1.812 | -2.083 |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 251.5 | 157.4 | 301 | 293.6 | 345.2 | 378.9 | 416.9 | 452.9 |
Change | - | -37.42% | 91.23% | -2.46% | 17.57% | 9.77% | 10.01% | 8.64% |
Net income 1 | 205.1 | 127.8 | 244.7 | 233.9 | 256.9 | 281.5 | 311.7 | 338.7 |
Change | - | -37.69% | 91.47% | -4.41% | 9.83% | 9.59% | 10.72% | 8.65% |
Announcement Date | 25/06/20 | 10/06/21 | 26/05/22 | 01/06/23 | 30/05/24 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Auto Trader Group plc
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Debt 1 | 282 | -10.3 | -41.8 | 52.4 | 11.3 | -37.8 | -98.4 | -161 |
Change | - | -103.65% | -505.83% | 25.36% | -78.44% | -434.51% | -360.32% | -263.62% |
Announcement Date | 25/06/20 | 10/06/21 | 26/05/22 | 01/06/23 | 30/05/24 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Auto Trader Group plc
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAPEX 1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 3.719 | 3.928 | 4.235 |
Change | - | -13.33% | 115.38% | -14.29% | 50% | 3.3% | 5.63% | 7.81% |
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 194.4 | 123.4 | 269.1 | 264.5 | 283.9 | 295.6 | 324.3 | 351.3 |
Change | - | -36.52% | 118.07% | -1.71% | 7.33% | 4.12% | 9.72% | 8.32% |
Announcement Date | 25/06/20 | 10/06/21 | 26/05/22 | 01/06/23 | 30/05/24 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Auto Trader Group plc
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
EBITDA Margin (%) | 72.87% | 64.99% | 73.01% | 69.34% | 65.74% | 65.56% | 66.73% | 67.21% |
EBIT Margin (%) | 70.18% | 61.34% | 70.16% | 58.69% | 61.08% | 63.5% | 64.84% | 65.35% |
EBT Margin (%) | 68.18% | 59.89% | 69.56% | 62.07% | 60.47% | 62.49% | 63.76% | 64.45% |
Net margin (%) | 55.6% | 48.63% | 56.55% | 49.45% | 45% | 46.43% | 47.68% | 48.2% |
FCF margin (%) | 52.7% | 46.96% | 62.19% | 55.92% | 49.73% | 48.75% | 49.6% | 50% |
FCF / Net Income (%) | 94.78% | 96.56% | 109.97% | 113.08% | 110.51% | 104.99% | 104.04% | 103.72% |
Profitability | ||||||||
ROA | 42.72% | 24.5% | 45.42% | 42.07% | 40.58% | 39.65% | 36.71% | 32.94% |
ROE | 204.49% | 42.58% | 52.56% | 50.73% | 49.65% | 50.75% | 51.95% | 53.4% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.05x | - | - | 0.16x | 0.03x | - | - | - |
Debt / Free cash flow | 1.45x | - | - | 0.2x | 0.04x | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 0.41% | 0.49% | 0.65% | 0.51% | 0.63% | 0.61% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 0.56% | 0.76% | 0.89% | 0.73% | 0.96% | 0.94% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
CAPEX / FCF (%) | 0.77% | 1.05% | 1.04% | 0.91% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 1.21% | 1.21% |
Items per share | ||||||||
Cash flow per share 1 | 0.2106 | 0.1342 | 0.284 | 0.2827 | 0.3141 | 0.3422 | 0.3842 | 0.4261 |
Change | - | -36.28% | 111.61% | -0.45% | 11.11% | 8.94% | 12.3% | 10.9% |
Dividend per Share 1 | 0.024 | 0.05 | 0.082 | 0.084 | 0.096 | 0.1043 | 0.1189 | 0.1324 |
Change | - | 108.33% | 64% | 2.44% | 14.29% | 8.66% | 13.96% | 11.34% |
Book Value Per Share 1 | 0.1532 | 0.4747 | 0.4945 | 0.574 | 0.6121 | 0.6512 | 0.71 | 0.7889 |
Change | - | 209.94% | 4.17% | 16.07% | 6.65% | 6.39% | 9.03% | 11.11% |
EPS 1 | 0.2208 | 0.1321 | 0.2556 | 0.2477 | 0.2807 | 0.3124 | 0.3529 | 0.3921 |
Change | - | -40.17% | 93.49% | -3.09% | 13.32% | 11.29% | 12.97% | 11.1% |
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 917,911 | 966,104 | 942,680 | 918,277 | 902,001 | 884,115 | 884,115 | 884,115 |
Announcement Date | 25/06/20 | 10/06/21 | 26/05/22 | 01/06/23 | 30/05/24 | - | - | - |
2025 * | 2026 * | |
---|---|---|
P/E ratio | 25x | 22.1x |
PBR | 12x | 11x |
EV / Sales | 11.3x | 10.4x |
Yield | 1.34% | 1.52% |
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- AUTO Stock
- Financials Auto Trader Group plc

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