Projected Income Statement: Auto Trader Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Auto Trader Group plc

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 282 -10.3 -41.8 52.4 11.3 -37.8 -98.4 -161
Change - -103.65% -505.83% 25.36% -78.44% -434.51% -360.32% -263.62%
Announcement Date 25/06/20 10/06/21 26/05/22 01/06/23 30/05/24 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Auto Trader Group plc

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1.5 1.3 2.8 2.4 3.6 3.719 3.928 4.235
Change - -13.33% 115.38% -14.29% 50% 3.3% 5.63% 7.81%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 194.4 123.4 269.1 264.5 283.9 295.6 324.3 351.3
Change - -36.52% 118.07% -1.71% 7.33% 4.12% 9.72% 8.32%
Announcement Date 25/06/20 10/06/21 26/05/22 01/06/23 30/05/24 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Auto Trader Group plc

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 72.87% 64.99% 73.01% 69.34% 65.74% 65.56% 66.73% 67.21%
EBIT Margin (%) 70.18% 61.34% 70.16% 58.69% 61.08% 63.5% 64.84% 65.35%
EBT Margin (%) 68.18% 59.89% 69.56% 62.07% 60.47% 62.49% 63.76% 64.45%
Net margin (%) 55.6% 48.63% 56.55% 49.45% 45% 46.43% 47.68% 48.2%
FCF margin (%) 52.7% 46.96% 62.19% 55.92% 49.73% 48.75% 49.6% 50%
FCF / Net Income (%) 94.78% 96.56% 109.97% 113.08% 110.51% 104.99% 104.04% 103.72%

Profitability

        
ROA 42.72% 24.5% 45.42% 42.07% 40.58% 39.65% 36.71% 32.94%
ROE 204.49% 42.58% 52.56% 50.73% 49.65% 50.75% 51.95% 53.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x - - 0.16x 0.03x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.45x - - 0.2x 0.04x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.41% 0.49% 0.65% 0.51% 0.63% 0.61% 0.6% 0.6%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 0.56% 0.76% 0.89% 0.73% 0.96% 0.94% 0.9% 0.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 0.77% 1.05% 1.04% 0.91% 1.27% 1.26% 1.21% 1.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2106 0.1342 0.284 0.2827 0.3141 0.3422 0.3842 0.4261
Change - -36.28% 111.61% -0.45% 11.11% 8.94% 12.3% 10.9%
Dividend per Share 1 0.024 0.05 0.082 0.084 0.096 0.1043 0.1189 0.1324
Change - 108.33% 64% 2.44% 14.29% 8.66% 13.96% 11.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.1532 0.4747 0.4945 0.574 0.6121 0.6512 0.71 0.7889
Change - 209.94% 4.17% 16.07% 6.65% 6.39% 9.03% 11.11%
EPS 1 0.2208 0.1321 0.2556 0.2477 0.2807 0.3124 0.3529 0.3921
Change - -40.17% 93.49% -3.09% 13.32% 11.29% 12.97% 11.1%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 917,911 966,104 942,680 918,277 902,001 884,115 884,115 884,115
Announcement Date 25/06/20 10/06/21 26/05/22 01/06/23 30/05/24 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 25x 22.1x
PBR 12x 11x
EV / Sales 11.3x 10.4x
Yield 1.34% 1.52%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
7.810GBP
Average target price
8.523GBP
Spread / Average Target
+9.13%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. AUTO Stock
  4. Financials Auto Trader Group plc