Projected Income Statement: Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - -1,444 -2,769 -4,823 -3,052 -4,019 -5,700 -7,201
Change - - -91.76% -74.18% 36.72% -31.69% -41.83% -26.33%
Announcement Date 21/06/22 30/03/23 28/03/24 25/03/25 17/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 39.23 41.72 56.24 85.78 94.21 84.18 90.14
Change - 6.36% 34.79% 52.52% 9.83% -10.64% 7.08%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 244.4 1,947 1,670 1,907 2,235 2,567 3,084
Change - 696.47% -14.24% 14.21% 17.18% 14.85% 20.16%
Announcement Date 30/03/23 28/03/24 25/03/25 17/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - 18.75% 25.86% 24.44% 25.34% 24.13% 24.22% 24.16%
EBIT Margin (%) - 14.5% 19.8% 22.38% 23.56% 22.91% 23.23% 23.3%
EBT Margin (%) - - 21.05% 23.72% 24.14% 23.29% 23.52% 23.22%
Net margin (%) 6.75% 4.33% 15.8% 17.6% 16.56% 16.34% 16.56% 16.32%
FCF margin (%) - 10.8% 41.73% 23.04% 19.48% 17.87% 17.25% 17.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) - 249.18% 264.12% 130.92% 117.65% 109.34% 104.16% 108.45%

Profitability

        
ROA - 2.06% 15.91% 18.09% 20.56% 20.21% 20.84% 21.44%
ROE - 29.19% 55.31% 52.07% 53.51% 48.65% 46.01% 43.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 1.73% 0.89% 0.78% 0.88% 0.75% 0.57% 0.52%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 9.24% 3.46% 3.17% 3.46% 3.12% 2.34% 2.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - 16.05% 2.14% 3.37% 4.5% 4.22% 3.28% 2.92%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 2.23 4.794 12.41 14.26 16.43 17.83 21.77
Change - - 114.96% 158.87% 14.89% 15.22% 8.52% 22.1%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 1.087 - - 7.211 8.428 10.18
Change - - - - - - 16.88% 20.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 9.131 15.3 21.44 25.94 33.72 42.13 51.09
Change - - 67.51% 40.16% 20.99% 29.99% 24.95% 21.25%
EPS 1 - 0.78 5.34 9.18 11.61 14.68 17.48 20.48
Change - - 584.62% 71.91% 26.47% 26.45% 19.09% 17.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 130,407 137,595 137,595 137,595 137,460 137,460 137,460
Announcement Date - 30/03/23 28/03/24 25/03/25 17/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.4x 12.1x
PBR 6.27x 5.02x
EV / Sales 2x 1.57x
Yield 3.41% 3.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
211.33CNY
Average target price
337.76CNY
Spread / Average Target
+59.82%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ATAT Stock
  4. Financials Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited