Projected Income Statement: Associated British Foods plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Associated British Foods plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,380 1,764 2,265 2,021 2,629 2,819 2,788 2,612
Change - 27.83% 28.4% -10.77% 30.08% 7.23% -1.1% -6.31%
Announcement Date 09/11/21 08/11/22 07/11/23 05/11/24 04/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Associated British Foods plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 551 680 997 1,124 1,234 1,235 1,210 1,230
Change - 23.41% 46.62% 12.74% 9.79% 0.04% -2.02% 1.65%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 862 473 657 1,750 648 555.2 646.6 734.3
Change - -45.13% 38.9% 166.36% -62.97% -14.32% 16.46% 13.56%
Announcement Date 09/11/21 08/11/22 07/11/23 05/11/24 04/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Associated British Foods plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.38% 13.3% 11.95% 14.5% 13.8% 12.62% 12.82% 13.39%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.28% 8.44% 7.66% 9.95% 8.91% 7.86% 7.97% 8.4%
EBT Margin (%) 5.22% 6.33% 6.78% 9.55% 7.26% 7.21% 7.41% 8.03%
Net margin (%) 3.44% 4.12% 5.29% 7.25% 5.27% 5.28% 5.25% 5.73%
FCF margin (%) 6.21% 2.78% 3.33% 8.72% 3.33% 2.85% 3.24% 3.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 180.33% 67.57% 62.93% 120.27% 63.22% 54% 61.68% 61.97%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.85% 3.82% 5.41% 7.69% 5.35% 5.41% 5.93% 6.15%
ROE 4.96% 6.55% 9.26% 13.06% 9.22% 9.34% 9.38% 9.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.74x 0.78x 0.96x 0.69x 0.98x 1.15x 1.09x 0.94x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.6x 3.73x 3.45x 1.15x 4.06x 5.08x 4.31x 3.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.97% 4% 5.05% 5.6% 6.34% 6.34% 6.05% 5.94%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.66% 30.08% 42.23% 38.63% 45.96% 50.24% 47.22% 44.39%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 63.92% 143.76% 151.75% 64.23% 190.43% 222.36% 187.07% 167.45%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.789 1.462 2.126 3.827 3.081 2.483 2.738 2.944
Change - -18.26% 45.42% 80% -19.48% -19.42% 10.26% 7.55%
Dividend per Share 1 0.267 0.437 0.6 0.63 0.63 0.6027 0.6189 0.6598
Change - 63.67% 37.3% 5% 0% -4.34% 2.69% 6.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.56 14.52 14.26 14.89 15.27 16.21 17.04 18.15
Change - 15.59% -1.77% 4.45% 2.55% 6.14% 5.08% 6.53%
EPS 1 0.605 0.886 1.342 1.937 1.416 1.458 1.516 1.741
Change - 46.45% 51.47% 44.34% -26.9% 2.97% 3.94% 14.89%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 790,004 790,327 764,973 739,294 711,515 699,826 699,826 699,826
Announcement Date 09/11/21 08/11/22 07/11/23 05/11/24 04/11/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.8x 13.3x
PBR 1.24x 1.18x
EV / Sales 0.87x 0.84x
Yield 2.99% 3.07%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
20.16GBP
Average target price
18.41GBP
Spread / Average Target
-8.68%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ABF Stock
  4. Financials Associated British Foods plc