Projected Income Statement: ArcelorMittal

Forecast Balance Sheet: ArcelorMittal

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 6,380 4,030 2,236 2,898 5,079 7,931 7,295 6,368
Change - -36.83% -44.52% 29.61% 75.26% 56.15% -5.26% -12.71%
Announcement Date 11/02/21 10/02/22 09/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ArcelorMittal

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,439 3,008 3,468 4,613 4,405 4,337 4,610 4,584
Change - 23.33% 15.29% 33.02% -4.51% -1.54% -2.5% -0.55%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,643 6,897 6,735 3,032 447 471 1,532 2,831
Change - 319.78% -2.35% -54.98% -85.26% 5.37% 801.11% 84.74%
Announcement Date 11/02/21 10/02/22 09/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ArcelorMittal

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.07% 25.34% 17.74% 11.07% 11.3% 10.66% 13.05% 14.58%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.96% 22.05% 14.5% 3.43% 5.3% 5.91% 8.04% 9.66%
EBT Margin (%) 2.04% 23.54% 14.1% 1.85% 4.67% 5.87% 7.22% 9.34%
Net margin (%) -1.38% 19.53% 11.65% 1.35% 2.14% 5.14% 5.53% 7.22%
FCF margin (%) 3.08% 9.01% 8.44% 4.44% 0.72% 0.77% 2.28% 4.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) -224.15% 46.12% 72.4% 329.92% 33.38% 14.94% 41.22% 55.94%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.86% 17.33% 10.05% 5.16% 1.46% 3.37% 3.67% 5.09%
ROE -1.91% 34.23% 18.19% 8.9% 2.6% 6.08% 6.75% 8.36%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.48x 0.21x 0.16x 0.38x 0.72x 1.21x 0.83x 0.62x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.88x 0.58x 0.33x 0.96x 11.36x 16.84x 4.76x 2.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.58% 3.93% 4.34% 6.76% 7.05% 7.07% 6.85% 6.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 56.71% 15.5% 24.49% 61.03% 62.46% 66.3% 52.51% 44.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 148.45% 43.61% 51.49% 152.14% 985.46% 920.81% 300.81% 161.94%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.581 8.94 11.16 9.047 6.134 6.277 7.666 9.885
Change - 149.66% 24.87% -18.95% -32.2% 2.33% 26.61% 28.95%
Dividend per Share 1 0.3 0.38 0.4 0.5 0.55 0.5643 0.6114 0.6543
Change - 26.67% 5.26% 25% 10% 2.6% 8.34% 7.03%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.58 53.9 66 65.89 64.05 71.38 76.06 82.47
Change - 60.52% 22.44% -0.17% -2.79% 11.46% 8.34% 8.44%
EPS 1 -0.64 13.49 10.18 1.09 1.69 4.11 4.887 6.723
Change - 2,207.81% -24.54% -89.29% 55.05% 143.2% 9.87% 37.57%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,066,637 911,415 816,000 838,000 785,388 760,600 760,600 760,600
Announcement Date 11/02/21 10/02/22 09/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 11.2x 11.7x
PBR 0.64x 0.75x
EV / Sales 0.7x 0.75x
Yield 0.99% 1.07%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
57.02USD
Average target price
63.86USD
Spread / Average Target
+12.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MT Stock
  4. Financials ArcelorMittal