Projected Income Statement: Arabian Drilling Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Arabian Drilling Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - - 1,754 2,441 2,434 2,156 1,777 1,472
Change - - - 39.17% -0.29% -11.44% -17.58% -17.16%
Announcement Date 19/09/22 19/03/23 18/03/24 12/03/25 28/02/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Arabian Drilling Company

Fiscal Period: December 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,884 1,860 720 681.2 595.2 628.4
Change - -1.29% -61.29% -5.38% -12.63% 5.58%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -524 -110.1 379.4 375.5 638.3 790
Change - 78.99% 444.57% -1.02% 70% 23.76%
Announcement Date 18/03/24 12/03/25 28/02/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Arabian Drilling Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - 42.33% 42.71% 38.77% 36.12% 35.3% 39.65% 40.43%
EBIT Margin (%) - 22.9% 23.04% 15.63% 4.9% 10.22% 16.12% 18.12%
EBT Margin (%) - 20.43% 19.79% 9.89% -1.39% 7.32% 12.21% 15.07%
Net margin (%) 12.44% 20.63% 17.4% 8.88% -2.19% 4.37% 10.57% 13.39%
FCF margin (%) - - -15.07% -3.04% 11.05% 10.9% 16.3% 19.03%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - -86.61% -34.26% -504.12% 249.53% 154.24% 142.12%

Profitability

        
ROA - - 5.97% 3.03% -0.73% -0.45% 3.06% 4.63%
ROE - - 10.47% 5.4% -1.29% 1.68% 6.86% 8.81%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 1.18x 1.74x 1.96x 1.77x 1.14x 0.88x
Debt / Free cash flow - - -3.35x -22.17x 6.42x 5.74x 2.78x 1.86x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - 54.18% 51.39% 20.97% 19.78% 15.2% 15.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - 126.87% 132.54% 58.05% 56.04% 38.34% 37.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - -359.54% -1,689.18% 189.79% 181.42% 93.24% 79.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 15.26 15.28 19.65 12.35 11.77 13.4 15.47
Change - - 0.16% 28.62% -37.15% -4.69% 13.84% 15.43%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 5.06 2.7 1.35 1.329 2.997 4.025
Change - - - -46.64% -50% -1.55% 125.47% 34.32%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - 66.98 66.72 64.56 64.91 67.64 70.34
Change - - - -0.39% -3.24% 0.55% 4.19% 4.01%
EPS 1 - 6.85 6.79 3.61 -0.85 1.598 4.475 6.016
Change - - -0.88% -46.83% -123.55% 288.02% 180.02% 34.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 89,000 89,000 89,000 89,000 89,000 89,000 89,000
Announcement Date - 19/03/23 18/03/24 12/03/25 28/02/26 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 55.9x 20x
PBR 1.38x 1.32x
EV / Sales 2.94x 2.48x
Yield 1.49% 3.35%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
89.35SAR
Average target price
98.53SAR
Spread / Average Target
+10.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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