Projected Income Statement: Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 -5,620 -5,840 -11,709 -13,602 -15,778 -17,111 -19,650 -22,797
Change - -203.91% -300.5% -216.17% -216% -208.45% -214.84% -216.02%
Announcement Date 26/04/20 29/04/21 10/03/22 28/04/23 26/04/24 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 408 561.6 569.6 1,578 2,375 2,146 1,557 1,503
Change - 37.66% 1.43% 177.06% 50.51% -9.66% -27.45% -3.47%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - 3,063 4,685 1,530 2,121 3,943 5,899 7,383
Change - - 52.95% -67.35% 38.64% 85.92% 49.6% 25.16%
Announcement Date 26/04/20 29/04/21 10/03/22 28/04/23 26/04/24 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 29.63% 26.3% 25.64% 28.44% 32.87% 33.71% 35.1% 35.87%
EBIT Margin (%) 27.1% 23.65% 23.37% 26.64% 31.02% 32.75% 34.04% 35.14%
EBT Margin (%) 27.58% 24.04% 23.9% 26.75% 31.26% 33.01% 34.1% 34.9%
Net margin (%) 20.14% 18.02% 17.32% 18.81% 22.66% 23.84% 24.74% 25.38%
FCF margin (%) - 29.76% 35.3% 9.15% 10.47% 16.13% 20.87% 22.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) - 165.16% 203.87% 48.67% 46.21% 67.65% 84.36% 89.59%

Profitability

        
ROA - 12.76% 11% - 14.07% 15.04% 16.17% 16.64%
ROE 25.55% 19.53% 21.25% 17.93% 22.92% 23.66% 24.54% 25.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.92% 5.46% 4.29% 9.44% 11.73% 8.78% 5.51% 4.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.22% 20.75% 16.74% 33.21% 35.68% 26.04% 15.69% 12.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - 18.34% 12.16% 103.18% 112.01% 54.42% 26.39% 20.36%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.821 7.192 10.18 - 8.504 12.54 15.45 17.43
Change - 88.21% 41.48% - - 47.44% 23.21% 12.82%
Dividend per Share 1 1.5 1.5 2.2 - 4.5 5.16 6.532 8.04
Change - 0% 46.67% - - 14.67% 26.58% 23.09%
Book Value Per Share 1 17.76 19.94 31.27 - 40.72 47.22 54.71 62.77
Change - 12.29% 56.8% - - 15.97% 15.85% 14.72%
EPS 1 4.17 3.68 4.45 5.95 8.68 11.04 13.28 15.68
Change - -11.75% 20.92% 33.71% 45.88% 27.16% 20.3% 18.1%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 503,600 503,600 528,600 528,600 528,600 528,600 528,600 528,600
Announcement Date 26/04/20 29/04/21 10/03/22 28/04/23 26/04/24 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 12.7x 10.6x
PBR 2.98x 2.57x
EV / Sales 2.06x 1.69x
Yield 3.67% 4.65%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
140.60CNY
Average target price
223.20CNY
Spread / Average Target
+58.75%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 000596 Stock
  4. Financials Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.
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