Projected Income Statement: Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -13,520 -35,787 -45,438 -40,921 -23,796 -46,102 -57,678 -82,010
Change - -164.7% -26.97% 9.94% 41.85% -93.74% -25.11% -42.19%
Announcement Date 25/03/22 27/03/23 19/03/24 24/03/25 24/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 15,202 26,388 14,167 10,946 9,366 9,175 9,100 12,045
Change - 73.58% -46.31% -22.74% -14.43% -2.04% -0.81% 32.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 18,698 -16,739 4,910 7,530 7,278 4,589 8,158 9,338
Change - -189.52% 129.33% 53.37% -3.35% -36.94% 77.77% 14.46%
Announcement Date 25/03/22 27/03/23 19/03/24 24/03/25 24/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 29.64% 20.36% 15.56% 19.92% 22.52% 22.27% 24.43% 26.61%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.1% 15.22% 10.28% 10.67% 12.37% 11.78% 13.09% 13.81%
EBT Margin (%) 26.29% 15.32% 9.84% 11.02% 12.63% 13.37% 14.46% 15.06%
Net margin (%) 19.81% 12.01% 7.58% 8.45% 9.83% 10.28% 12.24% 11.21%
FCF margin (%) 11.13% -12.68% 3.48% 8.27% 8.82% 7.1% 11.65% 10.77%
FCF / Net Income (%) 56.21% -105.54% 45.93% 97.84% 89.7% 69.06% 95.15% 96.07%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.4% 6.34% 4.36% 3.96% 3.99% 3.63% 3.83% 3.8%
ROE 19.27% 8.5% 5.8% 4.14% 4.27% 4.43% 4.58% 4.77%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.05% 19.99% 10.05% 12.02% 11.35% 10.83% 10.67% 13.89%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.54% 98.17% 64.57% 60.37% 50.4% 47.82% 43.56% 53.33%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 81.3% -157.64% 288.55% 145.37% 128.7% 199.93% 111.55% 128.99%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.397 1.821 3.79 3.5 3.15 3.542 3.648 4.123
Change - -71.54% 108.14% -7.65% -10% 12.45% 3% 13.02%
Dividend per Share 1 2.38 1.48 0.96 0.71 0.61 0.8652 0.9305 1.081
Change - -37.82% -35.14% -26.04% -14.08% 41.83% 7.56% 16.21%
Book Value Per Share 1 34.66 34.65 35.07 35.61 36.46 37.59 38.15 39.32
Change - -0.04% 1.21% 1.54% 2.39% 3.1% 1.5% 3.05%
EPS 1 6.28 2.96 1.97 1.46 1.537 1.656 1.855 2.067
Change - -52.87% -33.45% -25.89% 5.3% 7.74% 11.96% 11.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,299,303 5,299,303 5,284,238 5,277,060 5,277,060 5,277,060 5,277,060 5,277,060
Announcement Date 25/03/22 27/03/23 19/03/24 24/03/25 24/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 11.5x 10.2x
PBR 0.51x 0.5x
EV / Sales 0.54x 0.52x
Yield 4.55% 4.9%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
19.00CNY
Average target price
27.03CNY
Spread / Average Target
+42.29%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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