Projected Income Statement: AirAsia Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: AirAsia Group

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 13,479 15,472 17,393 22,982 1,147 914 606 418
Change - 14.79% 12.42% 32.13% -95.01% -20.31% -28.28% -31.02%
Announcement Date 29/03/21 28/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 28/02/25 25/02/26 - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AirAsia Group

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 172.2 27.18 26.73 272.4 206 116.7 119.5 65
Change - -84.21% -1.66% 919.19% -24.38% -43.33% -20.33% -45.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,324 -362.4 -14.67 774.3 3,138 5,388 160.6 337.5
Change - 84.4% 95.95% 5,378.45% 305.23% 71.72% 9,347.06% 110.15%
Announcement Date 29/03/21 28/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 28/02/25 25/02/26 - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AirAsia Group

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -22.15% -107.5% 5.46% 13.6% -44.28% -24.81% 16.38% 17.74%
EBIT Margin (%) -94.93% -283.27% -17.05% 1.9% -51.1% -30.22% 11.97% 12.91%
EBT Margin (%) -196.31% -378.04% -47.97% 3.61% -64.16% 449.29% 7.11% 8.13%
Net margin (%) -179.18% -312.88% -37.54% 5.67% -31.72% 653.5% 5.19% 6.41%
FCF margin (%) -81.7% -36.36% -0.22% 5.24% 209.5% 270.17% 4.33% 8.91%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.6% 11.62% 0.59% 92.52% -660.45% 41.34% 83.54% 138.89%

Profitability

        
ROA -15.61% -14.4% -9.84% 3.5% -1.64% 68.36% 3.2% 3.2%
ROE -217.8% 127.58% - - - - 19.6% 19.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -21.4x -14.44x 48.2x 11.44x -1.73x -1.85x 1x 0.62x
Debt / Free cash flow -5.8x -42.69x -1,185.65x 29.68x 0.37x 0.17x 3.77x 1.24x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.05% 2.73% 0.4% 1.84% 13.75% 5.85% 3.22% 1.72%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -27.33% -2.54% 7.41% 13.56% -31.07% -23.59% 19.68% 9.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -7.41% -7.5% -182.22% 35.18% 6.57% 2.17% 74.41% 19.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.6438 -0.0892 0.00298 0.2501 0.7801 1.268 1.6 2
Change - 86.15% 103.34% 8,292.62% 211.92% 62.52% 26.2% 25%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 -0.37 -0.8 -1.425 -2.081 -2.04 -0.58 0.26 0.32
Change - -116.22% -78.11% -46.07% 1.98% 71.57% 144.83% 23.08%
EPS 1 -1.525 -0.83 -0.612 0.2 -0.111 3.001 0.0537 0.0593
Change - 45.57% 26.27% 132.68% -155.5% 2,803.6% 875.82% 10.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,341,974 3,898,053 4,161,793 4,254,582 4,330,434 4,467,286 4,467,286 4,467,286
Announcement Date 29/03/21 28/02/22 28/02/23 29/02/24 28/02/25 25/02/26 - -
1MYR
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 0.14x 8.01x
PBR -0.74x 1.65x
EV / Sales 1.38x 0.68x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
0.4300MYR
Average target price
0.6349MYR
Spread / Average Target
+47.65%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 5099 Stock
  4. Financials AirAsia Group
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