Projected Income Statement: Aecon Group Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aecon Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 69.8 247 532 -228 26.7 667 427 654
Change - 253.87% 115.38% -142.86% 111.71% 2,398.97% -35.98% 53.16%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 05/03/24 05/03/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aecon Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 37.74 35.38 32.71 18.52 51.73 42 53.75 51.33
Change - -6.25% -7.55% -43.39% 179.39% -18.81% 27.98% -4.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 235.2 -66.79 -145.6 32.56 -125 -122 66.5 89
Change - -128.39% -117.95% 122.36% -484.05% 2.42% 154.51% 33.83%
Announcement Date 25/02/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 05/03/24 05/03/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aecon Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.26% 6.01% 4.67% 3.09% 1.95% 4.11% 6.05% 6.15%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.11% 2.99% 2.07% 5.19% -1.42% 1.39% 3.64% 3.71%
EBT Margin (%) 3.4% - - - - 0.36% 2.3% 2.62%
Net margin (%) 2.42% 1.25% 0.65% 3.49% -1.4% 0.24% 2.07% 2.13%
FCF margin (%) 6.46% -1.68% -3.1% 0.7% -2.95% -2.32% 1.2% 1.51%
FCF / Net Income (%) 267.21% -134.43% -479.14% 20.11% 210.05% -977.09% 58.09% 70.78%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.75% 1.51% - - -1.85% 0.5% 2.5% 3.4%
ROE 10.16% 5.56% 3.25% 16.04% -5.87% 1.97% 10.03% 12.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.26x 1.03x 2.43x - 0.32x 3.09x 1.28x 1.8x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.3x -3.7x -3.65x - -0.21x -5.47x 6.42x 7.35x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.04% 0.89% 0.7% 0.4% 1.22% 0.8% 0.97% 0.87%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.27% 14.81% 14.92% 12.91% 62.63% 19.47% 16.05% 14.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.04% -52.97% -22.47% 56.87% -41.38% -34.43% 80.83% 57.68%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.206 1.337 1.138 0.3181 -1.113 -0.5678 2.826 3.301
Change - -58.3% -14.9% -72.03% -449.85% 48.98% 597.76% 16.8%
Dividend per Share 1 0.64 0.7 0.74 0.74 0.76 0.76 0.8 0.76
Change - 9.37% 5.71% 0% 2.7% 0% 5.26% -5%
Book Value Per Share 1 14.52 12.37 14.85 17.25 - - - -
Change - -14.77% 20.04% 16.13% - - - -
EPS 1 1.29 0.78 0.47 2.1 -0.95 0.24 1.51 1.8
Change - -39.53% -39.74% 346.81% -145.24% 125.26% 529.17% 19.21%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 59,880 60,321 61,012 61,787 62,366 64,093 64,093 64,093
Announcement Date 25/02/21 01/03/22 28/02/23 05/03/24 05/03/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 141x 22.4x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 0.54x 0.47x
Yield 2.25% 2.37%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
33.81CAD
Average target price
33.18CAD
Spread / Average Target
-1.86%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ARE Stock
  4. Financials Aecon Group Inc.