Projected Income Statement: Admiral Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Admiral Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 298 642 858 1,088 1,592 1,820 1,820 1,820
Change - 115.44% 33.64% 26.81% 46.32% 14.29% 0% 0%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 08/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Admiral Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 69.2 101 75.9 61.7 74.3 43.2 51.8 89.8
Change - 45.95% -24.85% -18.71% 20.42% -41.86% 19.91% 73.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 175.4 266.3 - 307.3 362.2 700 699 805
Change - 51.82% - - 17.87% 93.26% -0.14% 15.16%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 08/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Admiral Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 87.6% 57.39% 14.96% - - 12.55% - -
EBIT Margin (%) 84.84% 52.79% 13.28% 18.13% 19.05% 18.81% 19.13% 20.39%
EBT Margin (%) 83.45% 51.48% 12.7% 17.57% 18.53% 16.63% 16.81% 18.3%
Net margin (%) 116.71% 40.94% 9.7% 13.89% 14.41% 12.6% 12.77% 14.15%
FCF margin (%) 20.51% 29.23% - 6.43% 7.03% 12.1% 11.49% 13.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) 17.58% 71.39% - 46.33% 48.77% 96% 90% 94.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.32% 4.46% 5.08% 8.82% 8.75% 8.36% 7.77% 7.3%
ROE 56% 35% 36% 56.16% 53% 47.04% 46.46% 46.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.4x 1.23x 1.64x - - 2.51x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.7x 2.41x - 3.54x 4.4x 2.6x 2.6x 2.26x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.09% 11.09% 2.18% 1.29% 1.44% 0.75% 0.85% 1.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.24% 19.32% 14.55% - - 5.95% - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 39.45% 37.93% - 20.08% 20.51% 6.17% 7.41% 11.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8198 1.218 - 1.205 1.421 1.62 2.06 -
Change - 48.58% - - 17.95% 14.01% 27.16% -
Dividend per Share 1 2.79 1.12 1.03 1.92 2.05 1.706 1.965 2.16
Change - -59.86% -8.04% 86.41% 6.77% -16.76% 15.18% 9.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.694 3.151 3.251 4.473 4.712 5.234 5.832 6.72
Change - -32.88% 3.18% 37.58% 5.34% 11.09% 11.42% 15.22%
EPS 1 3.345 1.237 1.108 2.166 2.417 2.414 2.583 2.885
Change - -63.02% -10.43% 95.49% 11.59% -0.12% 7.01% 11.69%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 291,245 294,894 297,726 300,565 302,980 305,124 305,124 305,124
Announcement Date 03/03/22 08/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.9x 13.9x
PBR 6.87x 6.16x
EV / Sales 2.21x 2.1x
Yield 4.75% 5.47%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
35.94GBP
Average target price
34.35GBP
Spread / Average Target
-4.42%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ADM Stock
  4. Financials Admiral Group plc