Projected Income Statement: 3SBio Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: 3SBio Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -177 -239 2,318 2,148 958 -9,793 -12,981 -16,309
Change - -35.03% 1,069.87% -7.33% -55.4% -1,121.88% -32.55% -25.64%
Announcement Date 30/03/21 28/03/22 21/03/23 20/03/24 25/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: 3SBio Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 893 1,029 909.6 624.7 681.6 914.7 729.2 766.8
Change - 15.24% -11.62% -31.32% 9.11% 34.2% -20.28% 5.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 451.6 549.2 1,271 1,458 2,520 9,416 3,203 3,455
Change - 21.62% 131.36% 14.75% 72.8% 273.69% -65.98% 7.87%
Announcement Date 30/03/21 28/03/22 21/03/23 20/03/24 25/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: 3SBio Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.74% 34.32% 40.77% 35.42% 37.36% 67.18% 39.28% 39.58%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.89% 25.73% 24.18% 24.51% 28.06% 66.13% 34.04% 35.31%
EBT Margin (%) 17.52% 29.28% 33.15% 25.31% 29.84% 64.96% 36.15% 34.97%
Net margin (%) 14.96% 25.87% 27.92% 19.82% 22.95% 51.98% 28.39% 27.45%
FCF margin (%) 8.08% 8.61% 18.53% 18.66% 27.66% 51.05% 27.88% 28.58%
FCF / Net Income (%) 54.03% 33.26% 66.36% 94.12% 120.54% 98.21% 98.22% 104.12%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.15% 8.95% 9.3% 6.79% 8.74% 28.95% 10.32% 8.55%
ROE 8.23% 15.07% 15.2% 11.49% 14.19% 43.91% 12.39% 11.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.83x 0.78x 0.28x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 1.82x 1.47x 0.38x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.98% 16.13% 13.26% 7.99% 7.48% 4.96% 6.35% 6.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 55.6% 46.99% 32.53% 22.57% 20.03% 7.38% 16.16% 16.03%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 197.75% 187.38% 71.58% 42.84% 27.05% 9.72% 22.76% 22.19%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4888 0.5698 0.8233 0.853 1.298 3.529 2.001 1.826
Change - 16.57% 44.49% 3.61% 52.15% 171.95% -43.3% -8.73%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.2 0.0912 0.2314 0.2334 0.7926 0.4949 0.3766
Change - - -54.41% 153.74% 0.88% 239.61% -37.57% -23.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.217 4.808 5.404 5.754 6.367 10.07 10.89 12.15
Change - 14.02% 12.4% 6.47% 10.65% 58.23% 8.12% 11.58%
EPS 1 0.33 0.62 0.74 0.62 0.85 3.918 1.332 1.358
Change - 87.88% 19.35% -16.22% 37.1% 360.96% -66.01% 1.94%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,543,601 2,522,355 2,438,845 2,398,563 2,355,216 2,497,648 2,497,648 2,497,648
Announcement Date 30/03/21 28/03/22 21/03/23 20/03/24 25/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 5.33x 15.7x
PBR 2.07x 1.92x
EV / Sales 2.3x 3.41x
Yield 3.8% 2.37%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
20.88CNY
Average target price
34.72CNY
Spread / Average Target
+66.29%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise